Lenovo Center · at NC State
Closing line
NCSU -31.5✓ NCSU covered by 16.5
NCSU -31.5✓ NCSU covered by 16.5Closing total145.5Over by 34.5
 NCCU | This season | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCCU 61–85 NCSU · ✓ NCSU (98%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 26 | 40 | 66 |
| NCSU | 54 | 60 | 114 |
1st half: NCCU 26, NCSU 54 (NCSU by 28). The model had NCSU by 14.7 and a total of 68.1 (actual 80).
Team stats
| NCCU | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-48 44% | Field goals | 37-64 58% |
| 5-18 28% | 3-pointers | 19-40 48% |
| 19-28 68% | Free throws | 21-30 70% |
| 24 7 off | Rebounds | 40 14 off |
| 9 | Assists | 27 |
| 8 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 27 |
Players
| NCCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Lattimore G | 40 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 5-15 | 2-7 |
| Khouri Carvey F | 31 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Dionte Johnson G | 30 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Kyric Davis G | 28 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Kelechi Okworogwo F | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ramondo Battle II F | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Jonathan Dunn F | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jae Slack G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Archey G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tekao Carpenter G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Justin Edwards G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gbenga Olubi, Camren Daniels, Caleb Ellison, Khalil Arnold
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 27 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-7 |
| Tre Holloman G | 25 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Darrion Williams F | 24 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7-10 | 4-6 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 19 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Quadir Copeland G | 18 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Able G | 27 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 5-11 | 3-8 |
| Jerry Deng F | 16 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 15 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Scottie Ebube C | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Alyn Breed G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Colt Langdon F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Snell G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Zymicah Wilkins, Jayme Kontuniemi
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCSU -31.5
ModelNCSU -24.4
Model edgeNCCU +7.1
L NCSU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model145.4
Model edgeUnder 0.1
L Over
Projected score
NCCU 60.5 · NCSU 84.9
NCCU 66 · NCSU 114
Win probability
NCSU 98%
1st half
Spread
NCSU -14.7
NCSU -28.0
Total
68.1
80 points
Projected score
NCCU 26.7 · NCSU 41.4
NCCU 26 · NCSU 54
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -30.5
1 → NCSU
CloseNCSU -31.5
1 pt toward NCSU
Total
Open147.5
▼ 2
Close145.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -30.5 · closed NCSU -31.5 · moved 1 toward NCSUmodel NCSU -24.5
model NCSU -24.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 downmodel 145.5 matches the line
model 145.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| NCSU | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC Central
29 games played
Straight up
10-19
34% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-9
69% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ GMU | L 58-75 | +15.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs GWEB | L 82-88 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 12 | @ HPU | L 60-76 | +16.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | vs GASO | L 75-80 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs W&M | W 78-76 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 17 | @ WIN | L 75-77 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @ GAST | L 79-93 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 5 | vs RAD | L 67-70 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | @GWEB | W 78-77 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 10 | @ WVU | L 45-79 | +23.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 14 | @ LONG | W 77-70 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 20 | vsLONG | L 67-82 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 28 | @ NCAT | L 72-85 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 4 | @ COPP | L 61-63 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 7 | @ MORG | L 98-102 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 200 |
| Jan 11 | vs UMES | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 13 | vs DSU | W 75-72 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 25 | vs SCST | W 82-77 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 3 | @ NORF | L 78-81 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 8 | @ HOW | L 78-82 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 15 | vsCOPP | W 71-59 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 17 | vsMORG | L 78-92 | -9.5 | L −23.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 24 | @DSU | L 84-86 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 26 | @UMES | L 59-68 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Mar 1 | vsHOW | W 72-68 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 3 | vsNORF | W 91-87 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 178 |
| Mar 6 | @SCST | L 71-87 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Mar 13 | vsDSU | W 79-77 | -0.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 14 | vsSCST | L 67-88 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@GMU
GMUL 58-75
−1.5
8
vsGWEB
GWEBL 82-88
−7.5
12
@HPU
HPUL 60-76
+0.5
15
vsGASO
GASOL 75-80
+0.5
16
vsW&M
W&MW 78-76
+6.5
17
@WIN
WINL 75-77
+7.5
22
@GAST
GASTL 79-93
−9.5
5
vsRAD
RADL 67-70
−0.5
7
@GWEB
GWEBW 78-77
+7.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 45-79
−10.5
14
@LONG
LONGW 77-70
+15.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 67-82
−11.5
28
@NCAT
NCATL 72-85
−14.5
4
@COPP
COPPL 61-63
−10.5
7
@MORG
MORGL 98-102
−7.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsDSU
DSUW 75-72
−3.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-77
+3.5
3
@NORF
NORFL 78-81
+6.5
8
@HOW
HOWL 78-82
−2.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 71-59
−1.5
17
vsMORG
MORGL 78-92
−23.5
24
@DSU
DSUL 84-86
+1.5
26
@UMES
UMESL 59-68
−15.5
1
vsHOW
HOWW 72-68
+0.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 91-87
+9.5
6
@SCST
SCSTL 71-87
−6.5
13
vsDSU
DSUW 79-77
+1.5
14
vsSCST
SCSTL 67-88
−13.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@GMU
GMUL 58-75
−5.5
8
vsGWEB
GWEBL 82-88
+27.5
12
@HPU
HPUL 60-76
−22.5
15
vsGASO
GASOL 75-80
+3.5
16
vsW&M
W&MW 78-76
+3.5
17
@WIN
WINL 75-77
+4.5
22
@GAST
GASTL 79-93
+29.5
5
vsRAD
RADL 67-70
−4.5
7
@GWEB
GWEBW 78-77
+6.5
10
@WVU
WVUL 45-79
−17.5
14
@LONG
LONGW 77-70
+1.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 67-82
+5.5
28
@NCAT
NCATL 72-85
+0.5
4
@COPP
COPPL 61-63
−15.5
7
@MORG
MORGL 98-102
+44.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 88-69
+13.5
13
vsDSU
DSUW 75-72
−0.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-77
+12.5
3
@NORF
NORFL 78-81
+13.5
8
@HOW
HOWL 78-82
+4.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 71-59
−15.5
17
vsMORG
MORGL 78-92
+8.5
24
@DSU
DSUL 84-86
+14.5
26
@UMES
UMESL 59-68
−18.5
1
vsHOW
HOWW 72-68
−16.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 91-87
+26.5
6
@SCST
SCSTL 71-87
+4.5
13
vsDSU
DSUW 79-77
+3.5
14
vsSCST
SCSTL 67-88
+7.5
over 20under 9avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC State
31 games played
Straight up
12-19
39% wins
Against the spread
10-21
32% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-19
39% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UPST | W 97-66 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 8 | vs PRES | W 81-72 | -21.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 13 | vs CCU | W 82-70 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs COLG | W 72-49 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 22 | vsW&M | W 84-61 | -15.5 | W +7.5 | 165.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs PUR | L 61-71 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 29 | vs BYU | L 61-72 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | vs TEX | L 59-63 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 7 | vs FSU | W 84-74 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 10 | vsCOPP | W 66-56 | -32.5 | L −22.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 14 | @ KU | L 60-75 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 22 | vs RID | W 89-63 | -17.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 31 | @ UVA | L 67-70 | +0.5 | L −2.5 | 122.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 4 | @ WAKE | L 59-77 | +5.5 | L −12.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 8 | vs ND | W 66-65 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 11 | vs UNC | L 61-63 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 15 | @ VT | L 76-79 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 18 | vs CAL | L 62-65 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 25 | vs SMU | L 57-63 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 27 | @ DUKE | L 64-74 | +22.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 1 | vs CLEM | L 58-68 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 5 | @CAL | L 62-74 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 8 | @ STAN | L 73-74 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 12 | vs LOU | L 66-91 | +7.5 | L −17.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 15 | vs BC | W 70-62 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 19 | @UNC | L 73-97 | +10.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 22 | vsWAKE | W 85-73 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 26 | @ SYR | L 60-74 | +0.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 1 | @ GT | L 62-87 | +2.5 | L −22.5 | 138.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 5 | vs PITT | W 71-63 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 8 | @ MIA | L 70-72 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUPST
UPSTW 97-66
+6.5
8
vsPRES
PRESW 81-72
−12.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-70
−5.5
18
vsCOLG
COLGW 72-49
+10.5
22
vsW&M
W&MW 84-61
+7.5
28
vsPUR
PURL 61-71
−4.5
29
vsBYU
BYUL 61-72
−5.5
4
vsTEX
TEXL 59-63
−1.5
7
vsFSU
FSUW 84-74
+5.5
10
vsCOPP
COPPW 66-56
−22.5
14
@KU
KUL 60-75
−0.5
22
vsRID
RIDW 89-63
+8.5
31
@UVA
UVAL 67-70
−2.5
4
@WAKE
WAKEL 59-77
−12.5
8
vsND
NDW 66-65
−1.5
11
vsUNC
UNCL 61-63
+2.5
15
@VT
VTL 76-79
−4.5
18
vsCAL
CALL 62-65
−9.5
25
vsSMU
SMUL 57-63
−2.5
27
@DUKE
DUKEL 64-74
+12.5
1
vsCLEM
CLEML 58-68
−4.5
5
@CAL
CALL 62-74
−9.5
8
@STAN
STANL 73-74
+5.5
12
vsLOU
LOUL 66-91
−17.5
15
vsBC
BCW 70-62
−0.5
19
@UNC
UNCL 73-97
−13.5
22
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-73
+16.5
26
@SYR
SYRL 60-74
−13.5
1
@GT
GTL 62-87
−22.5
5
vsPITT
PITTW 71-63
+10.5
8
@MIA
MIAL 70-72
−4.5
covered 10didn’t cover 21avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUPST
UPSTW 97-66
+15.5
8
vsPRES
PRESW 81-72
−2.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-70
+13.5
18
vsCOLG
COLGW 72-49
−28.5
22
vsW&M
W&MW 84-61
−20.5
28
vsPUR
PURL 61-71
−15.5
29
vsBYU
BYUL 61-72
−20.5
4
vsTEX
TEXL 59-63
−25.5
7
vsFSU
FSUW 84-74
+10.5
10
vsCOPP
COPPW 66-56
−14.5
14
@KU
KUL 60-75
−7.5
22
vsRID
RIDW 89-63
+18.5
31
@UVA
UVAL 67-70
+14.5
4
@WAKE
WAKEL 59-77
−0.5
8
vsND
NDW 66-65
−8.5
11
vsUNC
UNCL 61-63
−27.5
15
@VT
VTL 76-79
+20.5
18
vsCAL
CALL 62-65
−16.5
25
vsSMU
SMUL 57-63
−26.5
27
@DUKE
DUKEL 64-74
+3.5
1
vsCLEM
CLEML 58-68
−6.5
5
@CAL
CALL 62-74
−3.5
8
@STAN
STANL 73-74
+8.5
12
vsLOU
LOUL 66-91
+12.5
15
vsBC
BCW 70-62
−8.5
19
@UNC
UNCL 73-97
+23.5
22
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-73
+20.5
26
@SYR
SYRL 60-74
−12.5
1
@GT
GTL 62-87
+10.5
5
vsPITT
PITTW 71-63
−5.5
8
@MIA
MIAL 70-72
−7.5
over 12under 19avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC Central
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
NC State
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.