Lenovo Center · at NC State · Conference game
Closing line
NCSU -17.5✓ GT covered by 21.5
NCSU -17.5✓ GT covered by 21.5Closing total154.5Under by 2.5
 GT | This season | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-8 | Record | 12-5 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 9-8 |
| 12-6 | O/U | 9-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GT 69–85 NCSU · ✗ NCSU (92%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT | 34 | 44 | 78 |
| NCSU | 35 | 39 | 74 |
1st half: GT 34, NCSU 35 (NCSU by 1). The model had NCSU by 9.4 and a total of 72.4 (actual 69).
Team stats
| GT | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-52 52% | Field goals | 23-62 37% |
| 10-22 45% | 3-pointers | 12-33 36% |
| 14-28 50% | Free throws | 16-25 64% |
| 43 8 off | Rebounds | 34 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| GT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kowacie Reeves Jr. F | 38 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 6-13 | 4-10 |
| Jaeden Mustaf G | 38 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Lamar Washington G | 33 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 7-12 | 1-3 |
| Akai Fleming G | 33 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-4 |
| Baye Ndongo F | 24 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cole Kirouac C | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chas Kelley III G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Kam Craft G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Peyton Marshall, Brandon Stores Jr., Dyllan Thompson, Eric Chatfield Jr., Mouhamed Sylla, Davi Remagen
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 31 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Darrion Williams F | 30 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 2-11 | 1-6 |
| Quadir Copeland G | 29 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 6-17 | 3-8 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3-11 | 3-10 |
| Alyn Breed G | 21 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Holloman G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Matt Able G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Terrance Arceneaux G | 17 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Scottie Ebube, Colt Langdon, Jerry Deng, Jordan Snell, Jayme Kontuniemi, Zymicah Wilkins
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -15.5
2 → NCSU
CloseNCSU -17.5
2 pts toward NCSU
Total
Open155.5
▼ 1
Close154.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
GT +1200 · NCSU -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -15.5 · closed NCSU -17.5 · moved 2 toward NCSUmodel NCSU -16
model NCSU -16
Opened 155.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 1 downmodel 154.5 matches the line
model 154.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NCSU -17.5 | NCSU -16.1 | GT +1.4 | W GT covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 154.5 | — | Under |
| Projected score | — | GT 69.2 · NCSU 85.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NCSU -9.4 | NCSU -1.0 |
| 1H total | 72.4 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | GT 31.5 · NCSU 40.9 | GT 34 · NCSU 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 9-1 90% |
| NCSU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GT 1–4 NCSUNCSU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · GT 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | NCSU 62 @ GT 87 | GT -2.5 | GT W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | GT 76 @ NCSU 82 | NCSU -8.5 | GT W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | GT 64 @ NCSU 72 | NCSU -14.5 | GT W |
| Jan 17, 2022-23 | NCSU 78 @ GT 66 | GT +5.5 | NCSU W |
| Feb 15, 2021-22 | NCSU 76 @ GT 61 | GT -1.5 | NCSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia Tech
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-6
67% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UMES | W 56-52 | -28.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 7 | vs BRY | W 74-45 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs SELA | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UGA | L 87-92 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs GASO | W 68-66 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | vs WGA | W 82-66 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs DEP | L 61-75 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs DRKE | L 74-84 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs MSST | L 73-85 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONM | W 79-67 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs MRST | W 87-76 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs LAF | W 95-81 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 28 | vs FAMU | W 89-65 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 31 | @ DUKE | L 79-85 | +27.5 | W +21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs BC | W 65-53 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs SYR | L 72-82 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ MIA | L 81-91 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 14 | vs PITT | L 66-89 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−24.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
+13.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−4.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+10.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−8.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
−2.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−12.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
−14.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
−10.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+4.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
−2.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+4.5
31
@DUKE
DUKEL 79-85
+21.5
3
vsBC
BCW 65-53
+5.5
6
vsSYR
SYRL 72-82
−7.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 81-91
+5.5
14
vsPITT
PITTL 66-89
−21.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−31.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
−19.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−3.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+23.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−30.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
+3.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−11.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
+20.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
+7.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+21.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
+28.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+7.5
31
@DUKE
DUKEL 79-85
+10.5
3
vsBC
BCW 65-53
−27.5
6
vsSYR
SYRL 72-82
+7.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 81-91
+15.5
14
vsPITT
PITTL 66-89
+9.5
over 12under 6avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC State
17 games played
Straight up
12-5
71% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NCCU | W 114-66 | -31.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UAB | W 94-70 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNCG | W 110-64 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs VCU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs HALL | L 74-85 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs BOIS | W 81-70 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TEX | L 97-102 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | @ AUB | L 73-83 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCA | W 75-63 | -28.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs LIB | W 85-45 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vs KU | L 76-77 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 17 | vs TXSO | W 108-72 | -34.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 21 | vs MISS | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vs WAKE | W 70-57 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs UVA | L 61-76 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 6 | @BC | W 79-71 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ FSU | W 113-69 | -4.5 | W +39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+4.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+15.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−5.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
−18.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
+4.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
−6.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−4.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−16.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
+27.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
−2.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+1.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
+6.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
+2.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−19.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
−3.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+39.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+1.5
12
vsUNCG
UNCGW 110-64
+20.5
17
vsVCU
VCUW 85-79
−0.5
24
vsHALL
HALLL 74-85
+15.5
25
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-70
−1.5
26
vsTEX
TEXL 97-102
+37.5
3
@AUB
AUBL 73-83
−6.5
6
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-63
−17.5
10
vsLIB
LIBW 85-45
−19.5
13
vsKU
KUL 76-77
+4.5
17
vsTXSO
TXSOW 108-72
+27.5
21
vsMISS
MISSW 76-62
−10.5
31
vsWAKE
WAKEW 70-57
−32.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 61-76
−14.5
6
@BC
BCW 79-71
+8.5
10
@FSU
FSUW 113-69
+21.5
over 9under 8avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia Tech
10-8 overall · 1-4 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Pitt66–89
- L@ Miami81–91
- Lvs Syracuse72–82
- Wvs Boston College65–53
- L@ Duke79–85
3 days since their last game.
NC State
12-5 overall · 3-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Florida St113–69
- W@ Boston College79–71
- Lvs Virginia61–76
- Wvs Wake Forest70–57
- Wvs Ole Miss76–62
A week or more of rest.