McCamish Pavilion · at Georgia Tech
Closing line
MSST -1.5✓ MSST covered by 10.5
Closing total150.5Over by 7.5
| This season | GT | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 5-3 |
| 0-7 | ATS | 2-6 |
| 4-3 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSST 79–75 GT · ✓ MSST (63%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSST | 37 | 48 | 85 |
| GT | 28 | 45 | 73 |
1st half: MSST 37, GT 28 (MSST by 9). The model had MSST by 2.4 and a total of 72.1 (actual 65).
Team stats
| MSST | GT | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-61 51% | Field goals | 26-77 34% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 8-30 27% |
| 17-22 77% | Free throws | 13-20 65% |
| 47 9 off | Rebounds | 42 17 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 9 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MSST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard G | 33 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 8-14 | 2-6 |
| Jayden Epps G | 30 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming F | 26 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee G | 21 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Walker F | 17 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shawn Jones Jr. G | 32 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Quincy Ballard C | 27 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Achor Achor F | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Sergej Macura F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tee Bartlett, Cameren Paul, King Grace, Amier Ali, Dellquan Warren, Gai Chol
| GT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kowacie Reeves Jr. F | 34 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 8-20 | 7-14 |
| Mouhamed Sylla C | 26 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Akai Fleming G | 26 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3-13 | 0-5 |
| Baye Ndongo F | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Jaeden Mustaf G | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lamar Washington G | 27 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Eric Chatfield Jr. F | 18 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Kam Craft G | 15 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Peyton Marshall C | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Chas Kelley III G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brandon Stores Jr., Cole Kirouac, Dyllan Thompson, Davi Remagen
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSST -2.5
1 → GT
CloseMSST -1.5
1 pt toward GT
Total
Open149.5
▲ 1
Close150.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MSST -130 · GT +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSST -2.5 · closed MSST -1.5 · moved 1 toward GTmodel MSST -3.5
model MSST -3.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSST -1.5 | MSST -3.7 | MSST +2.2 | W MSST covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 154.1 | Over 3.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MSST 78.9 · GT 75.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSST -2.4 | MSST -9.0 |
| 1H total | 72.1 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | MSST 37.3 · GT 34.9 | MSST 37 · GT 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4 43% | 0-7 0% | 4-3 57% | |
| 5-3 63% | 2-6 25% | 3-5 38% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MSST 0–1 GTGT leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MSST 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023-24 | MSST 59 @ GT 67 | GT +8.5 | GT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mississippi St
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
0-7
0% covers · avg −13.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs | W 86-62 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 10 | vs | L 80-96 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 75-68 | -27.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs | L 77-98 | -2.5 | L −23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 78-80 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 81-78 | -23.5 | L −20.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 81-87 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
UNA
W 86-62
−0.5
10
vs
ISU
L 80-96
−10.5
15
vs
SELA
W 75-68
−20.5
20
vs
KSU
L 77-98
−23.5
21
vs
UNM
L 78-80
−8.5
24
vs
NOLA
W 81-78
−20.5
28
vs
SMU
L 81-87
−7.5
covered 0didn’t cover 7avg −13.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
UNA
W 86-62
−3.5
10
vs
ISU
L 80-96
+25.5
15
vs
SELA
W 75-68
−7.5
20
vs
KSU
L 77-98
+10.5
21
vs
UNM
L 78-80
+6.5
24
vs
NOLA
W 81-78
−1.5
28
vs
SMU
L 81-87
+5.5
over 4under 3avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgia Tech
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg −5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 56-52 | -28.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 74-45 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ | L 87-92 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 68-66 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 82-66 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 61-75 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 74-84 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UMES
W 56-52
−24.5
7
vs
BRY
W 74-45
+13.5
10
vs
SELA
W 70-60
−4.5
14
@
UGA
L 87-92
+10.5
18
vs
GASO
W 68-66
−8.5
23
vs
WGA
W 82-66
−2.5
28
vs
DEP
L 61-75
−12.5
29
vs
DRKE
L 74-84
−14.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
UMES
W 56-52
−31.5
7
vs
BRY
W 74-45
−19.5
10
vs
SELA
W 70-60
−3.5
14
@
UGA
L 87-92
+23.5
18
vs
GASO
W 68-66
−30.5
23
vs
WGA
W 82-66
+3.5
28
vs
DEP
L 61-75
−11.5
29
vs
DRKE
L 74-84
+20.5
over 3under 5avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mississippi St
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs SMU81–87
- Wvs LSU N Orleans81–78
- Lvs New Mexico78–80
- Lvs Kansas St77–98
- Wvs SE Louisiana75–68
5 days since their last game.
Georgia Tech
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Drake74–84
- Lvs DePaul61–75
- Wvs West Georgia82–66
- Wvs GA Southern68–66
- L@ Georgia87–92
4 days since their last game.