Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs DePaul Blue Demons: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Nov 28, 7:00 PM ETRaider Arena · Neutral site

Final

#66DEPDePaul75▲ winner

Closing lineDEP -1.5✓ DEP covered by 12.5

Closing total147.5Under by 11.5

Season records: Georgia Tech and DePaul
GT	This season	DEP
5-1	Record	4-2
2-4	ATS	4-2
2-4	O/U	3-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: GT 72–73 DEP · ✓ DEP (56%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
GT	32	29	61
DEP	25	50	75

1st half: GT 32, DEP 25 (GT by 7). The model had DEP by 0.9 and a total of 67.8 (actual 57).

Team stats

GT		DEP
24-63 38%	Field goals	27-56 48%
2-18 11%	3-pointers	7-22 32%
11-14 79%	Free throws	14-17 82%
35 13 off	Rebounds	35 8 off
14	Assists	12
7	Steals	6
3	Blocks	4
11	Turnovers	10
16	Fouls	14
38	Points in paint	36
3	Fast-break points	19

Players

GT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Baye Ndongo F	32	6	8	2	2-3	0-0
Jaeden Mustaf G	28	9	2	2	4-10	1-2
Kam Craft G	26	9	0	1	4-11	1-5
Mouhamed Sylla C	24	10	7	0	5-7	0-0
Kowacie Reeves Jr. F	17	6	2	1	2-9	0-4
Bench
Lamar Washington G	26	0	0	7	0-6	0-3
Akai Fleming G	26	13	3	0	4-11	0-2
Peyton Marshall C	17	8	8	1	3-4	0-0
Eric Chatfield Jr. F	4	0	0	0	0-2	0-2

Did not play: Dyllan Thompson, Cole Kirouac, Brandon Stores Jr., Chas Kelley III, Davi Remagen

DEP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Layden Blocker G	34	18	4	4	5-9	1-3
NJ Benson F	28	9	9	1	4-5	0-0
Brandon Maclin G	27	16	4	3	6-12	2-5
CJ Gunn G	24	7	2	0	3-7	0-1
Theo Pierre-Justin F	15	0	3	0	0-7	0-6
Bench
RJ Smith G	22	9	5	1	3-5	1-1
Kaleb Banks F	19	7	0	1	2-5	2-3
Kruz McClure G	17	7	4	2	3-5	1-3
Fabian Flores C	12	2	2	0	1-1	0-0
Jeremy Lorenz F	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Ilija Milijasevic, Amsal Delalic, Nate Kasher, Isaiah Medina, Jonas Johnson, Khaman Maker

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	DEP -1.5	DEP -1.8	DEP +0.3	W DEP covered
Total	147.5	144.7	Under 2.8	W Under
Projected score	—	GT 71.5 · DEP 73.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	DEP -0.9	GT -7.0
1H total	67.8	57
1H projected score	GT 33.4 · DEP 34.4	GT 32 · DEP 25

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
GT WLWLL	2-4	33%	—	1-0
DEP LLWWW	4-2	67%	—	3-2

Venue/role: GT neutral site, as underdog; DEP neutral site, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
GT UUOUO	2-4	33%	5-1
DEP UUOUO	3-3	50%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GTlast 6	5-1 83%	2-4 33%	2-4 33%
DEPlast 6	4-2 67%	4-2 67%	3-3 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Georgia Tech

6 games played

Straight up

5-1

83% wins

Against the spread

2-4

33% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-4

33% overs · avg −9.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-183%

W W W L W W

2 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-433%

L W L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

2-433%

U U U O U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsUMES	W 56-52	-28.5	L −24.5	139.5	U 108
Nov 7	vsBRY	W 74-45	-15.5	W +13.5	138.5	U 119
Nov 10	vsSELA	W 70-60	-14.5	L −4.5	133.5	U 130
Nov 14	@UGA	L 87-92	+15.5	W +10.5	155.5	O 179
Nov 18	vsGASO	W 68-66	-10.5	L −8.5	164.5	U 134
Nov 23	vsWGA	W 82-66	-18.5	L −2.5	144.5	O 148

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UMES

W 56-52

−24.5

BRY

W 74-45

+13.5

SELA

W 70-60

−4.5

UGA

L 87-92

+10.5

GASO

W 68-66

−8.5

WGA

W 82-66

−2.5

covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UMES

W 56-52

−31.5

BRY

W 74-45

−19.5

SELA

W 70-60

−3.5

UGA

L 87-92

+23.5

GASO

W 68-66

−30.5

WGA

W 82-66

+3.5

over 2under 4avg −9.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

DePaul

6 games played

Straight up

4-2

67% wins

Against the spread

4-2

67% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-3

50% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-267%

W W L L W W

2 straight wins2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-267%

W L L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-350%

O U U O U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsCHST	W 92-62	-24.5	W +5.5	143.5	O 154
Nov 7	vsSTO	W 72-64	-22.5	L −14.5	147.5	U 136
Nov 11	vsBUF	L 53-66	-18.5	L −31.5	153.5	U 119
Nov 14	vsNU	L 79-81	+5.5	W +3.5	145.5	O 160
Nov 18	vsGWEB	W 93-62	-21.5	W +9.5	155.5	U 155
Nov 23	vsDETM	W 95-75	-19.5	W +0.5	151.5	O 170

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

CHST

W 92-62

+5.5

STO

W 72-64

−14.5

BUF

L 53-66

−31.5

L 79-81

+3.5

GWEB

W 93-62

+9.5

DETM

W 95-75

+0.5

covered 4didn’t cover 2avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

CHST

W 92-62

+10.5

STO

W 72-64

−11.5

BUF

L 53-66

−34.5

L 79-81

+14.5

GWEB

W 93-62

−0.5

DETM

W 95-75

+18.5

over 3under 3avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs DePaul Blue Demons

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Georgia Tech

DePaul

Georgia Tech

DePaul