Boston College Eagles at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Jan 3, 2:10 PM ETMcCamish Pavilion · at Georgia Tech · Conference game

Final

Closing lineGT -6.5✓ GT covered by 5.5

Closing total145.5Under by 27.5

Season records: Boston College and Georgia Tech
BC	This season	GT
7-6	Record	9-5
3-10	ATS	6-8
5-8	O/U	9-5

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: BC 70–75 GT · ✓ GT (66%) won

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
BC	24	29	53
GT	27	38	65

1st half: BC 24, GT 27 (GT by 3). The model had GT by 2.6 and a total of 68.0 (actual 51).

Team stats

BC		GT
18-66 27%	Field goals	21-53 40%
4-29 14%	3-pointers	3-13 23%
13-20 65%	Free throws	20-29 69%
34 14 off	Rebounds	49 11 off
6	Assists	13
5	Steals	6
4	Blocks	3
10	Turnovers	14
20	Fouls	17
24	Points in paint	34
0	Fast-break points	23

Players

BC	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Donald Hand Jr. G	36	13	5	1	2-13	1-6
Aidan Shaw F	27	3	7	0	1-2	0-1
Fred Payne G	23	2	2	0	1-13	0-7
Luka Toews G	22	5	1	3	2-9	1-4
Jayden Hastings F	19	9	5	0	4-7	0-0
Bench
Boden Kapke F	28	13	11	1	6-12	1-5
Chase Forte G	18	2	0	1	1-6	0-3
Caleb Steger G	17	6	0	0	1-2	1-2
Marko Radunovic F	10	0	1	0	0-2	0-1

Did not play: Jason Asemota, Will Eggemeier, Nick Petronio, Akbar Waheed III, Jack DiDonna, Jack Bailey, Kany Musungay

GT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Lamar Washington G	37	17	12	5	5-10	2-3
Akai Fleming G	28	8	5	0	2-8	0-3
Kowacie Reeves Jr. F	26	16	3	1	6-12	0-3
Baye Ndongo F	26	10	8	1	4-10	0-0
Peyton Marshall C	5	0	2	0	0-2	0-0
Bench
Jaeden Mustaf G	28	9	5	1	2-3	0-0
Cole Kirouac C	22	2	6	2	1-2	0-0
Chas Kelley III G	21	0	1	3	0-4	0-2
Kam Craft G	7	3	2	0	1-2	1-2

Did not play: Dyllan Thompson, Eric Chatfield Jr., Mouhamed Sylla, Davi Remagen, Brandon Stores Jr.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	GT -6.5	GT -4.6	BC +1.9	L GT covered
Total	145.5	145.2	Under 0.3	W Under
Projected score	—	BC 70.3 · GT 74.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	GT -2.6	GT -3.0
1H total	68.0	51
1H projected score	BC 32.7 · GT 35.3	BC 24 · GT 27

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BC LLLLL	3-10	23%	1-1	1-2
GT WWLWW	6-8	43%	4-6	4-6

Venue/role: BC away, as underdog; GT home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
BC UOOUU	5-8	38%	7-6
GT OOOOO	9-5	64%	9-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BC	6-4 60%	2-8 20%	4-6 40%
GT	6-4 60%	4-6 40%	8-2 80%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22

BC 2–4 GTGT leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · BC 2-4 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 22, 2024-25	GT 54 @ BC 69	BC +1.5	BC W
Jan 4, 2024-25	BC 64 @ GT 85	GT -7.5	GT W
Jan 6, 2023-24	BC 95 @ GT 87	GT -2.5	BC W
Mar 4, 2022-23	GT 73 @ BC 65	BC -4.5	GT W
Mar 5, 2021-22	BC 78 @ GT 82	GT -3	GT W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Boston College

13 games played

Straight up

7-6

54% wins

Against the spread

3-10

23% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

5-8

38% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-654%

L W L W W L L W L W L W W

2 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-1023%

L W L W L L L W L L L L L

5 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

5-838%

O U U O U U O U U O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@FAU	L 78-83	+1.5	L −3.5	148.5	O 161
Nov 6	vsCIT	W 76-47	-15.5	W +13.5	144.5	U 123
Nov 11	vsCCSU	L 59-60	-17.5	L −18.5	136.5	U 119
Nov 15	@TEM	W 76-71	+3.5	W +8.5	142.5	O 147
Nov 18	vsHAMP	W 63-52	-12.5	L −1.5	135.5	U 115
Nov 21	vsDAV	L 49-59	-1.5	L −11.5	140.5	U 108
Nov 23	vsTULN	L 90-93	-2.5	L −5.5	140.5	O 183
Nov 26	vsHARV	W 73-60	-7.5	W +5.5	138.5	U 133
Dec 3	vsLSU	L 69-78	+7.5	L −1.5	149.5	U 147
Dec 6	vsNHVN	W 67-63	-17.5	L −13.5	126.5	O 130
Dec 10	vsMASS	L 74-76	-1.5	L −3.5	143.5	O 150
Dec 22	vsFDU	W 72-61	-16.5	L −5.5	141.5	U 133
Dec 28	vsLEM	W 72-64	-12.5	L −4.5	146.5	U 136

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FAU

L 78-83

−3.5

CIT

W 76-47

+13.5

CCSU

L 59-60

−18.5

TEM

W 76-71

+8.5

HAMP

W 63-52

−1.5

DAV

L 49-59

−11.5

TULN

L 90-93

−5.5

HARV

W 73-60

+5.5

LSU

L 69-78

−1.5

NHVN

W 67-63

−13.5

MASS

L 74-76

−3.5

FDU

W 72-61

−5.5

LEM

W 72-64

−4.5

covered 3didn’t cover 10avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FAU

L 78-83

+12.5

CIT

W 76-47

−21.5

CCSU

L 59-60

−17.5

TEM

W 76-71

+4.5

HAMP

W 63-52

−20.5

DAV

L 49-59

−32.5

TULN

L 90-93

+42.5

HARV

W 73-60

−5.5

LSU

L 69-78

−2.5

NHVN

W 67-63

+3.5

MASS

L 74-76

+6.5

FDU

W 72-61

−8.5

LEM

W 72-64

−10.5

over 5under 8avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Georgia Tech

14 games played

Straight up

9-5

64% wins

Against the spread

6-8

43% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

9-5

64% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total

Straight up

9-564%

W W W L W W L L L W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

6-843%

L W L W L L L L L W W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

9-564%

U U U O U O U O O O O O O O

7 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsUMES	W 56-52	-28.5	L −24.5	139.5	U 108
Nov 7	vsBRY	W 74-45	-15.5	W +13.5	138.5	U 119
Nov 10	vsSELA	W 70-60	-14.5	L −4.5	133.5	U 130
Nov 14	@UGA	L 87-92	+15.5	W +10.5	155.5	O 179
Nov 18	vsGASO	W 68-66	-10.5	L −8.5	164.5	U 134
Nov 23	vsWGA	W 82-66	-18.5	L −2.5	144.5	O 148
Nov 28	vsDEP	L 61-75	+1.5	L −12.5	147.5	U 136
Nov 29	vsDRKE	L 74-84	-4.5	L −14.5	137.5	O 158
Dec 3	vsMSST	L 73-85	+1.5	L −10.5	150.5	O 158
Dec 6	vsMONM	W 79-67	-10.5	W +1.5	144.5	O 146
Dec 16	vsMRST	W 87-76	-6.5	W +4.5	141.5	O 163
Dec 20	vsLAF	W 95-81	-16.5	L −2.5	147.5	O 176
Dec 28	vsFAMU	W 89-65	-19.5	W +4.5	146.5	O 154
Dec 31	@DUKE	L 79-85	+27.5	W +21.5	153.5	O 164

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UMES

W 56-52

−24.5

BRY

W 74-45

+13.5

SELA

W 70-60

−4.5

UGA

L 87-92

+10.5

GASO

W 68-66

−8.5

WGA

W 82-66

−2.5

DEP

L 61-75

−12.5

DRKE

L 74-84

−14.5

MSST

L 73-85

−10.5

MONM

W 79-67

+1.5

MRST

W 87-76

+4.5

LAF

W 95-81

−2.5

FAMU

W 89-65

+4.5

DUKE

L 79-85

+21.5

covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UMES

W 56-52

−31.5

BRY

W 74-45

−19.5

SELA

W 70-60

−3.5

UGA

L 87-92

+23.5

GASO

W 68-66

−30.5

WGA

W 82-66

+3.5

DEP

L 61-75

−11.5

DRKE

L 74-84

+20.5

MSST

L 73-85

+7.5

MONM

W 79-67

+1.5

MRST

W 87-76

+21.5

LAF

W 95-81

+28.5

FAMU

W 89-65

+7.5

DUKE

L 79-85

+10.5

over 9under 5avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Boston College Eagles at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Boston College

Georgia Tech

Boston College

Georgia Tech