Petersen Events Center · at Pitt
Closing line
TA&M -3.5✓ TA&M covered by 4.5
TA&M -3.5✓ TA&M covered by 4.5Closing total152.5Over by 1.5
| TA&M | This season | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 5-3 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 2-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TA&M 78–72 PITT · ✓ TA&M (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M | 35 | 46 | 81 |
| PITT | 33 | 40 | 73 |
1st half: TA&M 35, PITT 33 (TA&M by 2). The model had TA&M by 3.6 and a total of 69.9 (actual 68).
Team stats
| TA&M | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-59 44% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 20-22 91% | Free throws | 7-11 64% |
| 36 14 off | Rebounds | 32 12 off |
| 16 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| TA&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacari Lane G | 31 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| Ruben Dominguez G | 30 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Rashaun Agee F | 28 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 7-14 | 1-1 |
| Mackenzie Mgbako F | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Marcus Hill G | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rylan Griffen G | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Zach Clemence F | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Ali Dibba G | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Josh Holloway G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Federiko Federiko F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Pop Isaacs G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jamie Vinson F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Shelby, Jeremiah Green, Chris McDermott
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Corhen F | 39 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 38 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 9-14 | 0-1 |
| Damarco Minor G | 34 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 32 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 2-10 | 1-4 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 25 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 6-14 | 3-8 |
| Brandin Cummings G | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Kieran Mullen C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jajuan Nelson, Dishon Jackson, Henry Lau, Amdy Ndiaye, Macari Moore, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTA&M -3.5
ModelTA&M -5.8
Model edgeTA&M +2.3
W TA&M covered
Total
Market152.5
Model149.3
Model edgeUnder 3.2
L Over
Projected score
TA&M 77.6 · PITT 71.8
TA&M 81 · PITT 73
Win probability
TA&M 69%
1st half
Spread
TA&M -3.6
TA&M -2.0
Total
69.9
68 points
Projected score
TA&M 36.8 · PITT 33.1
TA&M 35 · PITT 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTA&M -2.5
1 → TA&M
CloseTA&M -3.5
1 pt toward TA&M
Total
Open150.5
▲ 2
Close152.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
TA&M -180 · PITT +150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TA&M -2.5 · closed TA&M -3.5 · moved 1 toward TA&Mmodel TA&M -6
model TA&M -6
Opened 150.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TA&Mlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 4-4 50% | 5-3 63% |
| PITTlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% | 2-6 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas A&M
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NWST | W 98-68 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | vs TXSO | W 104-70 | -29.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 9 | @ OKST | L 63-87 | -2.5 | L −26.5 | 174.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCF | L 74-86 | -10.5 | L −22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONT | W 86-81 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MAN | W 109-68 | -23.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs MVSU | W 120-84 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 28 | vs FSU | W 95-59 | +1.5 | W +37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+8.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+4.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−26.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−22.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
−12.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+17.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
−6.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
+37.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+12.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+12.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−24.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−12.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
+2.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+14.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
+49.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
−20.5
over 5under 3avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pitt
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vsUCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
over 2under 6avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas A&M
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Florida St95–59
- Wvs Miss Valley St120–84
- Wvs Manhattan109–68
- Wvs Montana86–81
- Lvs UCF74–86
4 days since their last game.
Pitt
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ohio State67–66
- Lvs Quinnipiac75–83
- Lvs UCF67–77
- Wvs Bucknell84–50
- L@ West Virginia49–71
4 days since their last game.