Petersen Events Center · at Pitt
Closing line
PITT -15.5✓ EMU covered by 3.5
PITT -15.5✓ EMU covered by 3.5Closing total141.5Over by 2.5
 EMU | This season | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EMU 64–80 PITT · ✓ PITT (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 32 | 34 | 66 |
| PITT | 45 | 33 | 78 |
1st half: EMU 32, PITT 45 (PITT by 13). The model had PITT by 9.4 and a total of 67.1 (actual 77).
Team stats
| EMU | PITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-59 37% | Field goals | 30-60 50% |
| 4-14 29% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 18-21 86% | Free throws | 12-23 52% |
| 36 10 off | Rebounds | 38 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 14 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| EMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Habhab F | 37 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 5-13 | 1-2 |
| Carlos Hart G | 35 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 8-16 | 0-2 |
| Addison Patterson F | 34 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 6-13 | 0-3 |
| Mehki Ellison G | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Godslove Nwabude F | 19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Rubio G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Braelon Green G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jon Sanders II G | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Mak Manciel G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Merritt Alderink F | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| John Shanu II C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Gregory Lawson II G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mbaye N'Diaye G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Smith
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damarco Minor G | 38 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 37 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 30 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-4 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 28 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 24 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 21 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Papa Amadou Kante F | 18 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Macari Moore G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Amdy Ndiaye, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew, Brandin Cummings, Henry Lau, Kieran Mullen, Dishon Jackson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPITT -15.5
ModelPITT -15.8
Model edgePITT +0.3
L EMU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model143.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
W Over
Projected score
EMU 63.7 · PITT 79.5
EMU 66 · PITT 78
Win probability
PITT 92%
1st half
Spread
PITT -9.4
PITT -13.0
Total
67.1
77 points
Projected score
EMU 28.8 · PITT 38.3
EMU 32 · PITT 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPITT -18.5
3 → EMU
ClosePITT -15.5
3 pts toward EMU
Total
Open146.5
▼ 5
Close141.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
EMU +1100 · PITT -2500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PITT -18.5 · closed PITT -15.5 · moved 3 toward EMUmodel PITT -16
model PITT -16
Opened 146.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 5 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| PITTlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 0-2 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
E Michigan
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +18.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −29.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GAST | W 71-49 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
+18.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +18.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
−29.5
over 0under 1avg −29.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pitt
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −10 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
YSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vs
LONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
over 0under 2avg −10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
E Michigan
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgia St71–49
A week or more of rest.
Pitt
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Longwood78–60
- Wvs Youngstown St74–59
3 days since their last game.