Watsco Center · at Miami
Closing line
MIA -34.5✓ MIA covered by 6.5
Closing total161.5Over by 1.5
| This season | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STET 65–94 MIA · ✓ MIA (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STET | 36 | 25 | 61 |
| MIA | 55 | 47 | 102 |
1st half: STET 36, MIA 55 (MIA by 19). The model had MIA by 17.1 and a total of 74.4 (actual 91).
Team stats
| STET | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-57 33% | Field goals | 37-66 56% |
| 8-29 28% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 15-26 58% | Free throws | 18-26 69% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 45 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 28 |
| 8 | Steals | 11 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| STET | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Phillips Jr. G | 32 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2-11 | 1-4 |
| Calvin Sirmans III G | 29 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Ethan Copeland G | 24 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| Matar Diop F | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Collin Kuhl F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jake Johnson G | 22 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| J.R. Leonard G | 18 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Janusz Ratowski F | 12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Alex Doyle F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Sean Morgan G | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Finley Sheridan F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Jones G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ben Gladieux G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Miller McGowan G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Daniel Macgregor
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Reneau F | 23 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9-15 | 1-1 |
| Tru Washington G | 21 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Shelton Henderson F | 20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Timo Malovec F | 18 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Donaldson G | 25 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 5-9 | 0-4 |
| Marcus Allen F | 25 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Dante Allen G | 19 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Noam Dovrat G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| JJ Laboy G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jordyn Kee G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Treyvon Maddox
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIA -31.5
3 → MIA
CloseMIA -34.5
3 pts toward MIA
Total
Open162.5
▼ 1
Close161.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIA -31.5 · closed MIA -34.5 · moved 3 toward MIAmodel MIA -28.5
model MIA -28.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 1 downmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIA -34.5 | MIA -28.4 | STET +6.1 | L MIA covered |
| Total | 161.5 | 158.9 | Under 2.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | STET 65.3 · MIA 93.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MIA -17.1 | MIA -19.0 |
| 1H total | 74.4 | 91 |
| 1H projected score | STET 28.7 · MIA 45.7 | STET 36 · MIA 55 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | |
| 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
STET 0–1 MIAMIA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · STET 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2021-22 | STET 72 @ MIA 82 | MIA -14.5 | STET W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stetson
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −12.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 62-93 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
URI
L 62-93
−12.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
URI
L 62-93
+2.5
over 1under 0avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +11 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +10 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
JAX
W 86-69
−1.5
6
vs
BCU
W 101-61
+23.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +11 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
JAX
W 86-69
+12.5
6
vs
BCU
W 101-61
+7.5
over 2under 0avg +10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stetson
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Rhode Island62–93
A week or more of rest.
Miami
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bethune101–61
- Wvs Jacksonville86–69
4 days since their last game.