Watsco Center · at Miami · Conference game
Closing line
MIA -9.5✓ PITT covered by 2.5
MIA -9.5✓ PITT covered by 2.5Closing total144.5Over by 0.5
 PITT | This season | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 7-6 | Record | 11-2 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 8-5 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 8-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PITT 70–78 MIA · ✓ MIA (78%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 43 | 26 | 69 |
| MIA | 33 | 43 | 76 |
1st half: PITT 43, MIA 33 (PITT by 10). The model had MIA by 5.2 and a total of 69.3 (actual 76).
Team stats
| PITT | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 6-25 24% | 3-pointers | 4-22 18% |
| 9-17 53% | Free throws | 20-26 77% |
| 28 8 off | Rebounds | 43 15 off |
| 13 | Assists | 6 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Corhen F | 39 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 38 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 6-13 | 2-7 |
| Damarco Minor G | 33 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 24 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 22 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Omari Witherspoon G | 21 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Brandin Cummings G | 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Kieran Mullen C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dishon Jackson, Henry Lau, Amdy Ndiaye, Macari Moore, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Donaldson G | 36 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 6-14 | 1-4 |
| Shelton Henderson F | 35 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Tru Washington G | 33 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-6 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 30 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Malik Reneau F | 28 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 8-13 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dante Allen G | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Timo Malovec F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Noam Dovrat G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Treyvon Maddox, JJ Laboy, Jordyn Kee, Marcus Allen
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIA -11.5
2 → PITT
CloseMIA -9.5
2 pts toward PITT
Total
Open148.5
▼ 4
Close144.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
PITT +400 · MIA -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIA -11.5 · closed MIA -9.5 · moved 2 toward PITTmodel MIA -9
model MIA -9
Opened 148.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 4 downmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIA -9.5 | MIA -8.9 | PITT +0.6 | W PITT covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 147.8 | Over 3.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PITT 69.5 · MIA 78.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MIA -5.2 | PITT -10.0 |
| 1H total | 69.3 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | PITT 32 · MIA 37.2 | PITT 43 · MIA 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| MIA | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PITT 2–3 MIAMIA leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · PITT 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | MIA 65 @ PITT 74 | PITT -11.5 | MIA W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | PITT 68 @ MIA 72 | MIA -3.5 | MIA W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | PITT 76 @ MIA 78 | MIA -7.5 | PITT W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | MIA 68 @ PITT 71 | PITT -0.5 | PITT W |
| Feb 22, 2021-22 | MIA 85 @ PITT 64 | PITT +4.5 | MIA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pitt
13 games played
Straight up
7-6
54% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs TA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
over 6under 7avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami
13 games played
Straight up
11-2
85% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JAX | W 86-69 | -18.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 6 | vs BCU | W 101-61 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs STET | W 102-61 | -34.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs FLA | L 68-82 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 20 | vs ELON | W 99-72 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DSU | W 97-41 | -34.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 27 | vs BYU | L 62-72 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs GTWN | W 78-65 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 2 | @ MISS | W 75-66 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | vs USM | W 88-64 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ULM | W 104-79 | -35.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 16 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -22.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNF | W 105-67 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 171.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
−1.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+23.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+6.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−3.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+7.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
+21.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−2.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
+7.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
+10.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+4.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
−10.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−5.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
+12.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+7.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+1.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−21.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+6.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
−13.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−31.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
−8.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
−4.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+6.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
+29.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+17.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
over 8under 5avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pitt
7-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn State80–46
- Wvs Binghamton103–63
- L@ Villanova61–79
- Lvs Hofstra73–80
- Lvs Texas A&M73–81
A week or more of rest.
Miami
11-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs North Florida105–67
- Wvs FIU98–81
- Wvs UL Monroe104–79
- Wvs Southern Miss88–64
- W@ Ole Miss75–66
A week or more of rest.