Giant Center · Neutral site
Closing line
PSU -1.5✓ PITT covered by 35.5
PSU -1.5✓ PITT covered by 35.5Closing total146.5Under by 20.5
 PITT | This season | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | Record | 8-3 |
| 5-7 | ATS | 4-7 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PITT 75–75 PSU · ✗ PSU (51%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 40 | 40 | 80 |
| PSU | 20 | 26 | 46 |
1st half: PITT 40, PSU 20 (PITT by 20). The model had PSU by 0.0 and a total of 70.1 (actual 60).
Team stats
| PITT | PSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-60 50% | Field goals | 18-55 33% |
| 12-24 50% | 3-pointers | 4-23 17% |
| 8-14 57% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 42 10 off | Rebounds | 30 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 7 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damarco Minor G | 31 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 30 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 10-16 | 5-6 |
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 27 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 26 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 20 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Omari Witherspoon G | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
| Brandin Cummings G | 26 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Kieran Mullen C | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Macari Moore G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amdy Ndiaye, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew, Henry Lau, Papa Amadou Kante, Dishon Jackson
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo G | 37 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Josh Reed F | 31 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Ivan Juric F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Melih Tunca G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Freddie Dilione V G | 34 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 10-17 | 2-6 |
| Mason Blackwood F | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Tibor Mirtic F | 14 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Justin Houser C | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Eli Rice G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Reggie Grodin, Chris Lotito
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPITT -1.5
3 → PSU
ClosePSU -1.5
3 pts toward PSU
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
PITT -108 · PSU -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PITT -1.5 · closed PSU -1.5 · moved 3 toward PSUmodel PSU -0.5
model PSU -0.5
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PSU -1.5 | PSU -0.3 | PITT +1.2 | W PITT covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 149.7 | Over 3.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PITT 74.7 · PSU 75 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PSU -0.0 | PITT -20.0 |
| 1H total | 70.1 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | PITT 35 · PSU 35.1 | PITT 40 · PSU 20 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| PSU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pitt
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs TA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
over 6under 6avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Penn State
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs SHU | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs CAM | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 9 | @ IU | L 72-113 | +14.5 | L −26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSU | L 72-76 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
+16.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
−3.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
−26.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
−11.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
+8.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
+32.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+2.5
over 6under 5avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pitt
6-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Binghamton103–63
- L@ Villanova61–79
- Lvs Hofstra73–80
- Lvs Texas A&M73–81
- Wvs Ohio State67–66
4 days since their last game.
Penn State
8-3 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Michigan St72–76
- L@ Indiana72–113
- Wvs Campbell87–76
- Wvs Sacred Heart90–59
- Wvs Boston U96–87
A week or more of rest.