Truist Arena · at N Kentucky
Closing line
NKU -5.5✓ COFC covered by 16.5
Closing total153.5Over by 5.5
| This season | NKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | Record | 6-4 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COFC 76–78 NKU · ✗ NKU (57%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COFC | 40 | 45 | 85 |
| NKU | 30 | 44 | 74 |
1st half: COFC 40, NKU 30 (COFC by 10). The model had NKU by 1.1 and a total of 71.8 (actual 70).
Team stats
| COFC | NKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-53 55% | Field goals | 25-64 39% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 10-33 30% |
| 20-29 69% | Free throws | 14-16 88% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 33 14 off |
| 13 | Assists | 10 |
| 13 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| COFC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jlynn Counter G | 32 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9-13 | 1-3 |
| Connor Hickman G | 32 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 7-13 | 2-6 |
| Martin Kalu G | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Jaxon Prunty G | 22 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Chol Machot C | 19 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Djordje Curcic G | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Christian Reeves C | 22 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Chadlyn Traylor G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Chris Davis Jr. G | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Joey Scarpitti, Mister Dean, Colby Duggan, AJ Fowler, Bryce Baker, Will Mortimore, Kendall Taylor
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Gherezgher G | 36 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 5-15 | 3-10 |
| Kael Robinson F | 32 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 6-16 | 5-10 |
| Tae Dozier G | 30 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| LJ Wells F | 21 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Ethan Elliott G | 17 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donovan Oday G | 30 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 9-19 | 0-5 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ryan Tolliver F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryce Darbyshire, Addison Archer, Juanma Ruiz, JJ Apathjang, Mitchel Minor
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNKU -1.5
4 → NKU
CloseNKU -5.5
4 pts toward NKU
Total
Open151.5
▲ 2
Close153.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
COFC +180 · NKU -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NKU -1.5 · closed NKU -5.5 · moved 4 toward NKUmodel NKU -2
model NKU -2
Opened 151.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 upmodel 153.5 matches the line
model 153.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NKU -5.5 | NKU -2.0 | COFC +3.5 | W COFC covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 153.4 | Under 0.1 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | COFC 75.7 · NKU 77.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NKU -1.1 | COFC -10.0 |
| 1H total | 71.8 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | COFC 35.4 · NKU 36.4 | COFC 40 · NKU 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | |
| 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
COFC 1–0 NKUCOFC leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · COFC 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024-25 | NKU 64 @ COFC 79 | COFC -6.5 | COFC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Charleston
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 75-90 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 8 | vs | L 77-94 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 88-61 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 17 | vs | L 62-71 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 69-65 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 63-74 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 78-59 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 73-96 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 75-81 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 74-67 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 82-78 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
LIB
L 75-90
−5.5
8
vs
FAU
L 77-94
−11.5
14
vs
SCST
W 88-61
+8.5
17
vs
DRKE
L 62-71
−16.5
21
vs
MASS
W 69-65
+0.5
23
vs
YALE
L 63-74
−4.5
24
vs
EVAN
W 78-59
+14.5
30
vs
BEL
L 73-96
−20.5
10
@
USF
L 75-81
+7.5
14
vs
CLT
W 74-67
+1.5
17
vs
CIT
W 82-78
−13.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
LIB
L 75-90
+19.5
8
vs
FAU
L 77-94
+14.5
14
vs
SCST
W 88-61
−7.5
17
vs
DRKE
L 62-71
−20.5
21
vs
MASS
W 69-65
−27.5
23
vs
YALE
L 63-74
−11.5
24
vs
EVAN
W 78-59
−4.5
30
vs
BEL
L 73-96
+16.5
10
@
USF
L 75-81
−4.5
14
vs
CLT
W 74-67
+0.5
17
vs
CIT
W 82-78
+13.5
over 5under 6avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Kentucky
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vs | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
TENN
L 56-95
−11.5
12
@
ETSU
L 63-75
−5.5
20
@
CMU
W 90-66
+28.5
24
vs
EKU
W 82-71
+6.5
26
vs
WOF
W 93-83
+6.5
29
vs
BU
W 74-65
+1.5
3
vs
CLE
W 95-80
+0.5
6
@
PFW
L 77-79
−0.5
13
@
BELL
W 80-76
−0.5
17
vs
OAK
L 77-82
−8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
TENN
L 56-95
+13.5
12
@
ETSU
L 63-75
−4.5
20
@
CMU
W 90-66
+9.5
24
vs
EKU
W 82-71
−3.5
26
vs
WOF
W 93-83
+26.5
29
vs
BU
W 74-65
−4.5
3
vs
CLE
W 95-80
+16.5
6
@
PFW
L 77-79
+2.5
13
@
BELL
W 80-76
+9.5
17
vs
OAK
L 77-82
−4.5
over 6under 4avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Charleston
5-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs The Citadel82–78
- Wvs Charlotte74–67
- L@ South Florida75–81
- Lvs Belmont73–96
- Wvs Evansville78–59
4 days since their last game.
N Kentucky
6-4 overall · 1-2 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oakland77–82
- W@ Bellarmine80–76
- L@ Purdue FW77–79
- Wvs Cleveland St95–80
- Wvs Boston U74–65
4 days since their last game.