Freedom Hall (TN) · at ETSU
Closing line
ETSU -6.5✓ ETSU covered by 5.5
Closing total142.5Under by 4.5
| This season | ETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NKU 69–77 ETSU · ✓ ETSU (76%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 32 | 31 | 63 |
| ETSU | 33 | 42 | 75 |
1st half: NKU 32, ETSU 33 (ETSU by 1). The model had ETSU by 4.8 and a total of 68.4 (actual 65).
Team stats
| NKU | ETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-63 37% | Field goals | 26-44 59% |
| 7-30 23% | 3-pointers | 4-9 44% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 19-27 70% |
| 35 15 off | Rebounds | 32 3 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 12 | Steals | 13 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 31 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Gherezgher G | 34 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 8-19 | 5-12 |
| Donovan Oday G | 32 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 5-10 | 0-4 |
| Kael Robinson F | 26 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-6 |
| Ethan Elliott G | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| LJ Wells F | 17 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tae Dozier G | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 15 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Addison Archer F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: JJ Apathjang, Juanma Ruiz, Ryan Tolliver, Bryce Darbyshire, Mitchel Minor
| ETSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II G | 36 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 7-12 | 2-4 |
| Blake Barkley F | 34 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Allen Strothers G | 27 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cam Morris III F | 24 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 7-10 | 1-1 |
| Jordan McCullum F | 22 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maki Johnson G | 24 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Smith G | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Brayden Crump F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Joseph Carter, Maddox Huff, Frederico Whitaker Jr., Isaiah Sutherland, Henry Sisemore, Milton Matthews III, Gabe Sisk
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenETSU -6.5
no move
CloseETSU -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▼ 1
Close142.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NKU +240 · ETSU -290
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ETSU -6.5 · unchangedmodel ETSU -8
model ETSU -8
Opened 143.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ETSU -6.5 | ETSU -8.2 | ETSU +1.7 | W ETSU covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 146.0 | Over 3.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | NKU 68.9 · ETSU 77.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ETSU -4.8 | ETSU -1.0 |
| 1H total | 68.4 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | NKU 31.8 · ETSU 36.6 | NKU 32 · ETSU 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | |
| 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Kentucky
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −11.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +13.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
TENN
L 56-95
−11.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
TENN
L 56-95
+13.5
over 1under 0avg +13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
ETSU
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −10.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −9.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
PRES
L 64-68
−10.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
PRES
L 64-68
−9.5
over 0under 1avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Kentucky
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee56–95
4 days since their last game.
ETSU
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Presbyterian64–68
4 days since their last game.