Kirby Sports Center · at Lafayette · Conference game
Closing line
LAF -3.5✓ L-MD covered by 17.5
LAF -3.5✓ L-MD covered by 17.5Closing total147.5Under by 25.5
 L-MD | This season | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| 7-16 | Record | 7-17 |
| 12-11 | ATS | 10-13 |
| 13-10 | O/U | 13-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: L-MD 73–76 LAF · ✗ LAF (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 40 | 28 | 68 |
| LAF | 29 | 25 | 54 |
1st half: L-MD 40, LAF 29 (L-MD by 11). The model had LAF by 1.8 and a total of 69.4 (actual 69).
Team stats
| L-MD | LAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-59 44% | Field goals | 22-66 33% |
| 10-29 34% | 3-pointers | 4-33 12% |
| 6-8 75% | Free throws | 6-15 40% |
| 42 6 off | Rebounds | 41 13 off |
| 17 | Assists | 11 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| L-MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Speed G | 32 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Emmett Adair F | 30 | 26 | 9 | 0 | 10-16 | 4-7 |
| Jordan Stiemke G | 30 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Tyson Commander G | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Sam Springer F | 16 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Troy Cicero Jr. G | 19 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Carter Berg-McLean G | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Sebastien Emenalo F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Everett Barnes F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Theodosiou G | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Peter Sposito G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ben Menker G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Garrett Brennan G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Goap Kodi, Jonas Sirtautas
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler G | 34 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Andrew Phillips G | 31 | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8-22 | 3-10 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 28 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Ryan Pettit G | 28 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Caleb Williams G | 28 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-11 | 0-9 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Misha Bednostin C | 19 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| KaiMani Murdock F | 17 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Joshua Wyche F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Luke Bevilacqua F | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Wallace G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Folabomi Fayemi G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Azzinaro, Beckett Currie, TJ Berger, Shareef Jackson, Luka Savicevic, Chris Rubayo, Malik Rasul, Justin Vander Baan
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLAF -3.5
no move
CloseLAF -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 2
Close147.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
L-MD +136 · LAF -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LAF -3.5 · unchangedmodel LAF -3
model LAF -3
Opened 145.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LAF -3.5 | LAF -3.2 | L-MD +0.3 | W L-MD covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 148.2 | Over 0.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | L-MD 72.5 · LAF 75.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LAF -1.8 | L-MD -11.0 |
| 1H total | 69.4 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | L-MD 33.8 · LAF 35.6 | L-MD 40 · LAF 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| LAF | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
L-MD 4–5 LAFLAF leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · L-MD 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | LAF 79 @ L-MD 64 | L-MD +1.5 | LAF W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | L-MD 71 @ LAF 58 | LAF -4.5 | L-MD W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | LAF 80 @ L-MD 59 | L-MD -1.5 | LAF W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | L-MD 79 @ LAF 64 | LAF -9.5 | L-MD W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | LAF 70 @ L-MD 44 | L-MD +2.5 | LAF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Loyola MD
23 games played
Straight up
7-16
30% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TOW | L 56-67 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs NJIT | L 64-66 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs STO | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ FAIR | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 19 | @ DUQ | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ UK | L 46-88 | +35.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 30 | vs COPP | W 95-84 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 3 | @ HAMP | L 71-93 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ VMI | L 70-86 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSM | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 21 | @ GMU | L 79-86 | +23.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ AMER | L 69-84 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | vsLAF | L 64-79 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARMY | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ BUCK | L 67-70 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vs COLG | L 80-86 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | vs BU | W 74-57 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 19 | @ LEH | L 81-88 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vsBUCK | W 67-62 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | vsAMER | W 77-68 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 31 | @ NAVY | L 71-87 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 4 | vsLEH | W 89-84 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 7 | @BU | L 69-78 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−2.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−12.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
+4.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+2.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+0.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−6.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+1.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
−15.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
−18.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
−5.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+16.5
31
@AMER
AMERL 69-84
−6.5
3
vsLAF
LAFL 64-79
−13.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-76
+12.5
10
@BUCK
BUCKL 67-70
+3.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGL 80-86
+2.5
17
vsBU
BUW 74-57
+18.5
19
@LEH
LEHL 81-88
−3.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 67-62
+2.5
28
vsAMER
AMERW 77-68
+13.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 71-87
−6.5
4
vsLEH
LEHW 89-84
+2.5
7
@BU
BUL 69-78
−3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−18.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−9.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
−1.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+31.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+19.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−25.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+35.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
+21.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
+4.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
+2.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+18.5
31
@AMER
AMERL 69-84
−1.5
3
vsLAF
LAFL 64-79
−9.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-76
+13.5
10
@BUCK
BUCKL 67-70
−6.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGL 80-86
+15.5
17
vsBU
BUW 74-57
−17.5
19
@LEH
LEHL 81-88
+19.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 67-62
−18.5
28
vsAMER
AMERW 77-68
−2.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 71-87
+14.5
4
vsLEH
LEHW 89-84
+23.5
7
@BU
BUL 69-78
+1.5
over 13under 10avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lafayette
24 games played
Straight up
7-17
29% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ JOES | L 76-85 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | @ TEX | L 60-97 | +25.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 13 | vs COR | L 78-97 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ WVU | L 59-81 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | @STO | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEM | L 63-76 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs BALL | W 55-37 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs MONM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs MERC | W 79-71 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 8 | @ PENN | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | @ CLT | L 67-81 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ GT | L 81-95 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 31 | vsCOLG | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @L-MD | W 79-64 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | vsBU | L 67-83 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @NAVY | L 50-76 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 14 | @BUCK | L 69-76 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs HC | W 74-55 | -2.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @BU | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 24 | @LEH | L 59-64 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 28 | vsBUCK | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | @AMER | W 67-65 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 4 | vsNAVY | L 50-65 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 7 | @ARMY | W 63-60 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
−11.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
−14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+2.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−17.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
+19.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
−12.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
+5.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
−2.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+2.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
−1.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
+13.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
−14.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−17.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
−4.5
17
vsHC
HCW 74-55
+16.5
21
@BU
BUL 73-77
+0.5
24
@LEH
LEHL 59-64
−2.5
28
vsBUCK
BUCKW 81-79
−2.5
31
@AMER
AMERW 67-65
+7.5
4
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-65
−11.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 63-60
+1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
+3.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
+14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+4.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
+2.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−12.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
−48.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
+20.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
−4.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
+10.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+28.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
+15.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
−9.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
+7.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−15.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
+7.5
17
vsHC
HCW 74-55
−9.5
21
@BU
BUL 73-77
+4.5
24
@LEH
LEHL 59-64
−20.5
28
vsBUCK
BUCKW 81-79
+21.5
31
@AMER
AMERW 67-65
−10.5
4
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-65
−24.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 63-60
−19.5
over 13under 10avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Loyola MD
7-16 overall · 5-7 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boston U69–78
- Wvs Lehigh89–84
- L@ Navy71–87
- Wvs American77–68
- Wvs Bucknell67–62
4 days since their last game.
Lafayette
7-17 overall · 5-7 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Army63–60
- Lvs Navy50–65
- W@ American67–65
- Wvs Bucknell81–79
- L@ Lehigh59–64
4 days since their last game.