Schottenstein Center · at Ohio State · Conference game
Closing line
OSU -11.5✓ PSU covered by 5.5
OSU -11.5✓ PSU covered by 5.5Closing total153.5Over by 8.5
 PSU | This season | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-10 | Record | 13-6 |
| 7-12 | ATS | 9-10 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 9-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PSU 74–86 OSU · ✓ OSU (86%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 32 | 46 | 78 |
| OSU | 50 | 34 | 84 |
1st half: PSU 32, OSU 50 (OSU by 18). The model had OSU by 7.2 and a total of 74.7 (actual 82).
Team stats
| PSU | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-50 50% | Field goals | 30-54 56% |
| 10-25 40% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 18-21 86% | Free throws | 16-21 76% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 21 5 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Reed F | 38 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Ivan Juric F | 37 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Eli Rice G | 34 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 7-14 | 6-11 |
| Kayden Mingo G | 33 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Melih Tunca G | 18 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Freddie Dilione V G | 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Mason Blackwood F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Justin Houser C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Reggie Grodin, Tibor Mirtic, Chris Lotito
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Mobley Jr. G | 38 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 7-14 | 5-11 |
| Bruce Thornton G | 37 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Devin Royal F | 35 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Amare Bynum F | 30 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 7-12 | 0-3 |
| Ivan Njegovan C | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taison Chatman G | 17 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Puff Johnson G | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Colin White F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Christoph Tilly, Josh Ojianwuna, Braylen Nash, Myles Herro, Mathieu Grujicic, Gabe Cupps, Brandon Noel
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOSU -12.5
1 → PSU
CloseOSU -11.5
1 pt toward PSU
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
PSU +575 · OSU -850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OSU -12.5 · closed OSU -11.5 · moved 1 toward PSUmodel OSU -12.5
model OSU -12.5
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | OSU -11.5 | OSU -12.3 | OSU +0.8 | L PSU covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 159.6 | Over 6.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PSU 73.6 · OSU 85.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OSU -7.2 | OSU -18.0 |
| 1H total | 74.7 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | PSU 33.7 · OSU 40.9 | PSU 32 · OSU 50 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| OSU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
PSU 3–4 OSUOSU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · OSU has won the last 2 meetings · PSU 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | OSU 83 @ PSU 64 | PSU -3.5 | OSU W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | PSU 67 @ OSU 79 | OSU -9.5 | OSU W |
| Dec 9, 2023-24 | OSU 80 @ PSU 83 | PSU +4.5 | PSU W |
| Feb 23, 2022-23 | PSU 75 @ OSU 71 | OSU -2.5 | PSU W |
| Mar 10, 2021-22 | PSU 71 vs OSU 68 | OSU -5.5 | PSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn State
19 games played
Straight up
9-10
47% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs SHU | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs CAM | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 9 | @ IU | L 72-113 | +14.5 | L −26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSU | L 72-76 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs PITT | L 46-80 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 29 | vs NCCU | W 90-67 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vs ILL | L 65-73 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs MICH | L 72-74 | +24.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ PUR | L 85-93 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs UCLA | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 18 | @ MD | L 73-96 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 22 | vs WIS | L 71-98 | +5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
+16.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
−3.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
−26.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+8.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−35.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
−0.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
+6.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
+22.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+14.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−6.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
−21.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
−21.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
−11.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
+8.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
+32.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+2.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−20.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
+6.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
−18.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
−23.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+25.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−17.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
+20.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
+11.5
over 10under 9avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio State
19 games played
Straight up
13-6
68% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vs ND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ NU | W 86-82 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | vsILL | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs WVU | W 89-88 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 20 | vs UNC | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 23 | vs GRAM | W 89-63 | -28.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 2 | @ RUTG | W 80-73 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs NEB | L 69-72 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ ORE | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @ WASH | L 74-81 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vsUCLA | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs MINN | W 82-74 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 23 | @MICH | L 62-74 | +16.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+2.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
−4.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
−2.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
+1.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−2.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
−2.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−5.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
+11.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−5.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+7.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+0.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
+4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+12.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
+5.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
+31.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
−16.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−1.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
+1.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−14.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
−18.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−0.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+13.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+12.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
−29.5
over 9under 10avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn State
9-10 overall · 0-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wisconsin71–98
- L@ Maryland73–96
- Lvs UCLA60–71
- L@ Purdue85–93
- Lvs Michigan72–74
4 days since their last game.
Ohio State
13-6 overall · 5-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Michigan62–74
- Wvs Minnesota82–74
- Wvs UCLA86–74
- L@ Washington74–81
- W@ Oregon72–62
3 days since their last game.