Bryce Jordan Center · at Penn State · Conference game
Closing line
WIS -5.5✓ WIS covered by 21.5
WIS -5.5✓ WIS covered by 21.5Closing total157.5Over by 11.5
| WIS | This season | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| 13-5 | Record | 9-9 |
| 10-8 | ATS | 7-11 |
| 11-7 | O/U | 9-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIS 83–77 PSU · ✓ WIS (68%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 50 | 48 | 98 |
| PSU | 22 | 49 | 71 |
1st half: WIS 50, PSU 22 (WIS by 28). The model had WIS by 3.4 and a total of 75.0 (actual 72).
Team stats
| WIS | PSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-71 51% | Field goals | 23-64 36% |
| 15-35 43% | 3-pointers | 8-27 30% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 44 14 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 25 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 27 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 5-10 | 3-7 |
| Nolan Winter F | 24 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 22 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Nick Boyd G | 21 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-5 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 19 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Janicki G | 18 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Austin Rapp F | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Braeden Carrington G | 16 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 5-7 | 4-6 |
| Will Garlock F | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Zach Kinziger G | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Hayden Jones G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jack Robison G | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Isaac Gard G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Riccardo Greppi F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elijah Gray
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo G | 35 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3-14 | 0-3 |
| Josh Reed F | 32 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 5-7 | 3-3 |
| Ivan Juric F | 30 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Eli Rice G | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Freddie Dilione V G | 27 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 6-17 | 3-10 |
| Mason Blackwood F | 22 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Melih Tunca G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Justin Houser C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Reggie Grodin, Tibor Mirtic, Chris Lotito
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -5.5
no move
CloseWIS -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open161.5
▼ 4
Close157.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
WIS -270 · PSU +220
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -5.5 · unchangedmodel WIS -5.5 matches the line
model WIS -5.5 = line ✓
Opened 161.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 4 downmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WIS -5.5 | WIS -5.5 | — | WIS covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 160.2 | Over 2.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WIS 82.9 · PSU 77.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WIS -3.4 | WIS -28.0 |
| 1H total | 75.0 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | WIS 39.2 · PSU 35.8 | WIS 50 · PSU 22 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| PSU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WIS 3–2 PSUWIS leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · PSU has won the last 2 meetings · WIS 1-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | PSU 86 @ WIS 75 | WIS -11.5 | PSU W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | WIS 83 @ PSU 87 | PSU +5.5 | PSU W |
| Feb 8, 2022-23 | WIS 79 @ PSU 74 | PSU -4.5 | WIS W |
| Jan 17, 2022-23 | PSU 60 @ WIS 63 | WIS -3.5 | PSU W |
| Feb 5, 2021-22 | PSU 49 @ WIS 51 | WIS -9 | PSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wisconsin
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs PUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ MICH | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @ MINN | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs RUTG | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+4.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+22.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+1.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
−6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
−0.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+9.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+6.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
+33.5
over 11under 7avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Penn State
18 games played
Straight up
9-9
50% wins
Against the spread
7-11
39% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vsPROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs SHU | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vsCAM | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 9 | @ IU | L 72-113 | +14.5 | L −26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSU | L 72-76 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs PITT | L 46-80 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 29 | vs NCCU | W 90-67 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vs ILL | L 65-73 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vsMICH | L 72-74 | +24.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @PUR | L 85-93 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vsUCLA | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 18 | @ MD | L 73-96 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
+16.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
−3.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
−26.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+8.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−35.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
−0.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
+6.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
+22.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+14.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−6.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
−21.5
covered 7didn’t cover 11avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
−11.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
+8.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
+32.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+2.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−20.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
+6.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
−18.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
−23.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+25.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−17.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
+20.5
over 9under 9avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin
13-5 overall · 5-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rutgers96–87
- W@ Minnesota78–75
- W@ Michigan91–88
- Wvs UCLA80–72
- Lvs Purdue73–89
5 days since their last game.
Penn State
9-9 overall · 0-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Maryland73–96
- Lvs UCLA60–71
- L@ Purdue85–93
- Lvs Michigan72–74
- Lvs Illinois65–73
4 days since their last game.