Kohl Center · at Wisconsin · Conference game
Closing line
WIS -15.5✓ RUTG covered by 6.5
Closing total149.5Over by 33.5
| This season | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-8 | Record | 12-5 |
| 6-11 | ATS | 10-7 |
| 9-8 | O/U | 10-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RUTG 69–84 WIS · ✓ WIS (89%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 29 | 58 | 87 |
| WIS | 51 | 45 | 96 |
1st half: RUTG 29, WIS 51 (WIS by 22). The model had WIS by 8.3 and a total of 71.6 (actual 80).
Team stats
| RUTG | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-63 48% | Field goals | 29-60 48% |
| 12-30 40% | 3-pointers | 12-30 40% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 26-29 90% |
| 33 11 off | Rebounds | 29 8 off |
| 17 | Assists | 20 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 24 | Fouls | 19 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harun Zrno G | 28 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 5-10 | 5-9 |
| Jamichael Davis G | 28 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 5-8 | 1-4 |
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 25 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-2 |
| Kaden Powers G | 21 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Bryce Ruglass Dortch F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tariq Francis G | 24 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6-16 | 1-6 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 21 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Grant F | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Chris Nwuli F | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Lino Mark G | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Fradkin, Dorian Jones, Gevonte Ware, Denis Badalau, Baye Fall
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boyd G | 32 | 32 | 1 | 9 | 8-16 | 2-4 |
| Nolan Winter F | 32 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 6-6 | 2-2 |
| John Blackwell G | 32 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 5-13 | 3-8 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 22 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braeden Carrington G | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Jack Janicki G | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Austin Rapp F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Will Garlock F | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Zach Kinziger G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Gard G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Jones G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Riccardo Greppi F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jack Robison G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elijah Gray
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -14.5
1 → WIS
CloseWIS -15.5
1 pt toward WIS
Total
Open148.5
▲ 1
Close149.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
RUTG +950 · WIS -1650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -14.5 · closed WIS -15.5 · moved 1 toward WISmodel WIS -14
model WIS -14
Opened 148.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WIS -15.5 | WIS -14.1 | RUTG +1.4 | W RUTG covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 153.0 | Over 3.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | RUTG 69.4 · WIS 83.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WIS -8.3 | WIS -22.0 |
| 1H total | 71.6 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | RUTG 31.7 · WIS 40 | RUTG 29 · WIS 51 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | |
| 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
RUTG 3–3 WISSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · WIS has won the last 2 meetings · RUTG 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024-25 | WIS 75 @ RUTG 63 | RUTG +1.5 | WIS W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | RUTG 66 @ WIS 78 | WIS -10.5 | WIS W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | WIS 56 @ RUTG 78 | RUTG +3.5 | RUTG W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | RUTG 58 @ WIS 57 | WIS -0.5 | RUTG W |
| Feb 26, 2021-22 | WIS 66 @ RUTG 61 | RUTG -1.5 | WIS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rutgers
17 games played
Straight up
9-8
53% wins
Against the spread
6-11
35% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg −0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 60-101 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 59-81 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 70-69 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 65-50 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 2 | vs | L 73-80 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs | W 88-85 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | @ | L 55-81 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | vs | W 77-75 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
RID
W 81-53
+9.5
10
vs
ME
W 72-60
−6.5
14
vs
LEH
W 84-72
−6.5
18
vs
AMER
W 80-71
−7.5
21
vs
CCSU
L 54-67
−28.5
24
vs
TENN
L 60-85
−10.5
25
vs
ND
L 63-68
+1.5
27
vs
UNLV
W 80-65
+19.5
2
vs
PUR
L 65-81
−2.5
6
@
MICH
L 60-101
−15.5
13
@
HALL
L 59-81
−8.5
20
vs
PENN
W 70-69
−10.5
29
vs
DSU
W 65-50
−5.5
2
vs
OSU
L 73-80
+2.5
5
vs
ORE
W 88-85
+7.5
8
@
ILL
L 55-81
−3.5
11
vs
NU
W 77-75
+6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 11avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
RID
W 81-53
−5.5
10
vs
ME
W 72-60
+1.5
14
vs
LEH
W 84-72
+19.5
18
vs
AMER
W 80-71
+7.5
21
vs
CCSU
L 54-67
−16.5
24
vs
TENN
L 60-85
+3.5
25
vs
ND
L 63-68
−9.5
27
vs
UNLV
W 80-65
−8.5
2
vs
PUR
L 65-81
−0.5
6
@
MICH
L 60-101
+7.5
13
@
HALL
L 59-81
+3.5
20
vs
PENN
W 70-69
−11.5
29
vs
DSU
W 65-50
−20.5
2
vs
OSU
L 73-80
+1.5
5
vs
ORE
W 88-85
+33.5
8
@
ILL
L 55-81
−13.5
11
vs
NU
W 77-75
+7.5
over 9under 8avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wisconsin
17 games played
Straight up
12-5
71% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @ | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CAM
W 96-64
+11.5
7
vs
NIU
W 97-72
−3.5
11
vs
BALL
W 86-55
+4.5
17
vs
SIUE
W 94-69
−0.5
21
@
BYU
L 70-98
−23.5
27
vs
PROV
W 104-83
+14.5
28
vs
TCU
L 63-74
−16.5
3
vs
NU
W 85-73
+1.5
6
vs
MARQ
W 96-76
+8.5
10
@
NEB
L 60-90
−28.5
19
vs
VILL
L 66-76
−13.5
22
vs
CMU
W 88-61
+0.5
30
vs
MILW
W 80-60
+0.5
3
vs
PUR
L 73-89
−10.5
6
vs
UCLA
W 80-72
+4.5
10
@
MICH
W 91-88
+22.5
13
@
MINN
W 78-75
+1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
CAM
W 96-64
+8.5
7
vs
NIU
W 97-72
+11.5
11
vs
BALL
W 86-55
−15.5
17
vs
SIUE
W 94-69
+16.5
21
@
BYU
L 70-98
+2.5
27
vs
PROV
W 104-83
+20.5
28
vs
TCU
L 63-74
−20.5
3
vs
NU
W 85-73
+2.5
6
vs
MARQ
W 96-76
+11.5
10
@
NEB
L 60-90
−8.5
19
vs
VILL
L 66-76
−10.5
22
vs
CMU
W 88-61
−3.5
30
vs
MILW
W 80-60
−17.5
3
vs
PUR
L 73-89
+8.5
6
vs
UCLA
W 80-72
−0.5
10
@
MICH
W 91-88
+9.5
13
@
MINN
W 78-75
+6.5
over 10under 7avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rutgers
9-8 overall · 2-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northwestern77–75
- L@ Illinois55–81
- Wvs Oregon88–85
- Lvs Ohio State73–80
- Wvs Delaware St65–50
6 days since their last game.
Wisconsin
12-5 overall · 4-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Minnesota78–75
- W@ Michigan91–88
- Wvs UCLA80–72
- Lvs Purdue73–89
- Wvs Milwaukee80–60
4 days since their last game.