Bryce Jordan Center · at Penn State · Conference game
Closing line
MINN -2.5✓ PSU covered by 4.5
MINN -2.5✓ PSU covered by 4.5Closing total142.5Over by 9.5
| MINN | This season | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-11 | Record | 9-12 |
| 8-13 | ATS | 8-13 |
| 7-14 | O/U | 12-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MINN 72–71 PSU · ✗ MINN (54%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 31 | 44 | 75 |
| PSU | 41 | 36 | 77 |
1st half: MINN 31, PSU 41 (PSU by 10). The model had MINN by 0.8 and a total of 67.4 (actual 72).
Team stats
| MINN | PSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-51 53% | Field goals | 31-62 50% |
| 7-27 26% | 3-pointers | 7-18 39% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 8-9 89% |
| 28 8 off | Rebounds | 29 12 off |
| 17 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 7 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Asuma G | 37 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-6 |
| Bobby Durkin F | 37 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-11 | 4-9 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson F | 36 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4-12 | 0-5 |
| Langston Reynolds G | 32 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7-8 | 2-3 |
| Cade Tyson G | 28 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Grayson Grove F | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Kai Shinholster G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: BJ Omot, Nehemiah Turner, Chansey Willis Jr., Chance Stephens, Max Lorenson, Maximus Gizzi, RJ Spencer, Robert Vaihola
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo G | 37 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 6-17 | 1-4 |
| Josh Reed F | 35 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 6-10 | 4-5 |
| Freddie Dilione V G | 33 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 11-17 | 1-4 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 29 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Eli Rice G | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Melih Tunca G | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Justin Houser C | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Mason Blackwood F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Sasa Ciani, Ivan Juric, Reggie Grodin, Tibor Mirtic, Chris Lotito
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMINN -1.5
1 → MINN
CloseMINN -2.5
1 pt toward MINN
Total
Open142.5
no move
Close142.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MINN -155 · PSU +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MINN -1.5 · closed MINN -2.5 · moved 1 toward MINNmodel MINN -1
model MINN -1
Opened 142.5 · unchangedmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MINN -2.5 | MINN -1.0 | PSU +1.5 | W PSU covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 143.9 | Over 1.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MINN 72.4 · PSU 71.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MINN -0.8 | PSU -10.0 |
| 1H total | 67.4 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | MINN 34.1 · PSU 33.3 | MINN 31 · PSU 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| PSU | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MINN 4–4 PSUSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · MINN 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | PSU 69 @ MINN 60 | MINN -2.5 | PSU W |
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | MINN 69 @ PSU 61 | PSU -6.5 | MINN W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | PSU 70 @ MINN 75 | MINN -6.5 | PSU W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | MINN 83 @ PSU 74 | PSU -3.5 | MINN W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | PSU 76 @ MINN 69 | MINN +7.5 | MINN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Minnesota
21 games played
Straight up
10-11
48% wins
Against the spread
8-13
38% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-14
33% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GWEB | W 87-60 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALCN | W 95-50 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ MIZ | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | vs GB | W 72-65 | -25.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 18 | vs CHST | W 66-54 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 22 | vs SF | L 65-77 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs STAN | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SCU | L 75-86 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs IU | W 73-64 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ PUR | L 57-85 | +19.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 14 | vs TXSO | W 89-53 | -21.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs CAM | W 78-50 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | vs FDU | W 60-43 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 3 | @ NU | W 84-78 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs IOWA | W 70-67 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 9 | vs USC | L 69-70 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vs WIS | L 75-78 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | @ ILL | L 67-77 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 20 | @ OSU | L 74-82 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs NEB | L 57-76 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @WIS | L 63-67 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
+13.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−18.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−15.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
−13.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−1.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
−5.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
+16.5
10
@PUR
PURL 57-85
−8.5
14
vsTXSO
TXSOW 89-53
+14.5
21
vsCAM
CAMW 78-50
+14.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 60-43
−8.5
3
@NU
NUW 84-78
+10.5
6
vsIOWA
IOWAW 70-67
+7.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 69-70
−4.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 75-78
−1.5
17
@ILL
ILLL 67-77
+5.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
−0.5
24
vsNEB
NEBL 57-76
−14.5
28
@WIS
WISL 63-67
+5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 13avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 87-60
−1.5
8
vsALCN
ALCNW 95-50
−7.5
12
@MIZ
MIZL 60-83
−15.5
15
vsGB
GBW 72-65
−9.5
18
vsCHST
CHSTW 66-54
−24.5
22
vsSF
SFL 65-77
+1.5
27
vsSTAN
STANL 68-72
−2.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 75-86
+22.5
3
vsIU
IUW 73-64
−7.5
10
@PUR
PURL 57-85
−1.5
14
vsTXSO
TXSOW 89-53
−2.5
21
vsCAM
CAMW 78-50
−17.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 60-43
−36.5
3
@NU
NUW 84-78
+23.5
6
vsIOWA
IOWAW 70-67
+6.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 69-70
−8.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 75-78
+6.5
17
@ILL
ILLL 67-77
+1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
+12.5
24
vsNEB
NEBL 57-76
−7.5
28
@WIS
WISL 63-67
−16.5
over 7under 14avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Penn State
21 games played
Straight up
9-12
43% wins
Against the spread
8-13
38% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs SHU | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vsCAM | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 9 | @IU | L 72-113 | +14.5 | L −26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSU | L 72-76 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs PITT | L 46-80 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 29 | vs NCCU | W 90-67 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vsILL | L 65-73 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs MICH | L 72-74 | +24.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @PUR | L 85-93 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs UCLA | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 18 | @ MD | L 73-96 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 22 | vsWIS | L 71-98 | +5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 26 | @OSU | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 29 | @NU | L 73-94 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
+16.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
−3.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
−26.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+8.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−35.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
−0.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
+6.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
+22.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+14.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−6.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
−21.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
−21.5
26
@OSU
OSUL 78-84
+5.5
29
@NU
NUL 73-94
−13.5
covered 8didn’t cover 13avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
−11.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
+8.5
9
@IU
IUL 72-113
+32.5
13
vsMSU
MSUL 72-76
+2.5
21
vsPITT
PITTL 46-80
−20.5
29
vsNCCU
NCCUW 90-67
+6.5
3
vsILL
ILLL 65-73
−18.5
6
vsMICH
MICHL 72-74
−23.5
10
@PUR
PURL 85-93
+25.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAL 60-71
−17.5
18
@MD
MDL 73-96
+20.5
22
vsWIS
WISL 71-98
+11.5
26
@OSU
OSUL 78-84
+8.5
29
@NU
NUL 73-94
+18.5
over 12under 9avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Minnesota
10-11 overall · 3-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wisconsin63–67
- Lvs Nebraska57–76
- L@ Ohio State74–82
- L@ Illinois67–77
- Lvs Wisconsin75–78
4 days since their last game.
Penn State
9-12 overall · 0-10 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Northwestern73–94
- L@ Ohio State78–84
- Lvs Wisconsin71–98
- L@ Maryland73–96
- Lvs UCLA60–71
3 days since their last game.