Pinnacle Bank Arena · at Nebraska · Conference game
Closing line
NEB -1.5✓ ILL covered by 10.5
NEB -1.5✓ ILL covered by 10.5Closing total154.5Under by 7.5
 ILL | This season | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| 18-3 | Record | 20-1 |
| 13-8 | ATS | 13-8 |
| 8-13 | O/U | 6-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILL 75–75 NEB · ✓ ILL (53%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 33 | 45 | 78 |
| NEB | 39 | 30 | 69 |
1st half: ILL 33, NEB 39 (NEB by 6). The model had ILL by 0.6 and a total of 70.2 (actual 72).
Team stats
| ILL | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-54 44% | Field goals | 25-59 42% |
| 9-30 30% | 3-pointers | 15-35 43% |
| 21-26 81% | Free throws | 4-5 80% |
| 40 11 off | Rebounds | 27 6 off |
| 15 | Assists | 17 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| ILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Wagler G | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 7-15 | 4-9 |
| David Mirkovic F | 33 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Tomislav Ivisic C | 32 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
| Jake Davis F | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Andrej Stojakovic G | 29 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zvonimir Ivisic F | 20 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Ben Humrichous F | 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-6 |
Did not play: Brandon Lee, Blake Fagbemi, Mihailo Petrovic, Jason Jakstys, AJ Redd, Ty Rodgers, Kylan Boswell
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort F | 38 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-11 | 4-9 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 36 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Rienk Mast F | 26 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2-10 | 0-3 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 25 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-3 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 25 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braden Frager F | 31 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Cale Jacobsen G | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Leo Curtis, Quentin Rhymes, Will Cooper, Justin Bolis, Kendall Blue, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Connor Essegian, Henry Burt, Jared Garcia
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -2.5
1 → ILL
CloseNEB -1.5
1 pt toward ILL
Total
Open151.5
▲ 3
Close154.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
ILL -105 · NEB -115
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -2.5 · closed NEB -1.5 · moved 1 toward ILLmodel ILL -1
model ILL -1
Opened 151.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 3 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NEB -1.5 | ILL -0.8 | ILL +2.3 | W ILL covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 150.0 | Under 4.5 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | ILL 75.4 · NEB 74.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILL -0.6 | NEB -6.0 |
| 1H total | 70.2 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | ILL 35.4 · NEB 34.8 | ILL 33 · NEB 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| NEB | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 1-9 10% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
ILL 5–2 NEBILL leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · NEB has won the last 2 meetings · ILL 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025-26 | NEB 83 @ ILL 80 | ILL -9.5 | NEB W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | ILL 74 @ NEB 80 | NEB +4.5 | NEB W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | NEB 87 vs ILL 98 | ILL -4.5 | ILL W |
| Feb 4, 2023-24 | NEB 84 @ ILL 87 | ILL -10 | NEB W |
| Jan 31, 2022-23 | NEB 56 @ ILL 72 | ILL -13.5 | ILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois
21 games played
Straight up
18-3
86% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-13
38% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JKST | W 113-55 | -28.5 | W +29.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs FGCU | W 113-70 | -29.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs TTU | W 81-77 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs COLG | W 84-65 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALA | L 86-90 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 22 | vs LIU | W 98-58 | -34.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs RGV | W 87-73 | -33.5 | L −19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 28 | vs CONN | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | vs TENN | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 9 | @ OSU | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vsNEB | L 80-83 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs MIZ | W 91-48 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs SOU | W 90-55 | -33.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ PSU | W 73-65 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 8 | vs RUTG | W 81-55 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | @ IOWA | W 75-69 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ NU | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vs MINN | W 77-67 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 21 | vs MD | W 89-70 | -18.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ PUR | W 88-82 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 29 | vs WASH | W 75-66 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+29.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+13.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
+0.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−11.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−6.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
+5.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−19.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−8.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
+14.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+4.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
−12.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
+34.5
29
vsSOU
SOUW 90-55
+1.5
3
@PSU
PSUW 73-65
−6.5
8
vsRUTG
RUTGW 81-55
+3.5
11
@IOWA
IOWAW 75-69
+4.5
14
@NU
NUW 79-68
+1.5
17
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−5.5
21
vsMD
MDW 89-70
+0.5
24
@PUR
PURW 88-82
+11.5
29
vsWASH
WASHW 75-66
−3.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+10.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+22.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
−10.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−15.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−4.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
−4.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−4.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−15.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
−12.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+5.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
+6.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
−14.5
29
vsSOU
SOUW 90-55
−18.5
3
@PSU
PSUW 73-65
−18.5
8
vsRUTG
RUTGW 81-55
−13.5
11
@IOWA
IOWAW 75-69
+1.5
14
@NU
NUW 79-68
−4.5
17
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
+1.5
21
vsMD
MDW 89-70
+6.5
24
@PUR
PURW 88-82
+17.5
29
vsWASH
WASHW 75-66
−12.5
over 8under 13avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
21 games played
Straight up
20-1
95% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-15
29% overs · avg −8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs WIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vs WIS | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ILL | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs UND | W 78-55 | -29.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | vs UNH | W 86-55 | -31.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vs MSU | W 58-56 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | @OSU | W 72-69 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ IU | W 83-77 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs ORE | W 90-55 | -10.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @NU | W 77-58 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vsWASH | W 76-66 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @MINN | W 76-57 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 27 | @ MICH | L 72-75 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
+28.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+12.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−6.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−0.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−0.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
+5.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+10.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
+24.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
+14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−0.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
+14.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
+8.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
−8.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−18.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−5.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−32.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
−14.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+9.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
−1.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
−14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−10.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
−7.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
−10.5
over 6under 15avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois
18-3 overall · 9-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Washington75–66
- W@ Purdue88–82
- Wvs Maryland89–70
- Wvs Minnesota77–67
- W@ Northwestern79–68
3 days since their last game.
Nebraska
20-1 overall · 9-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Michigan72–75
- W@ Minnesota76–57
- Wvs Washington76–66
- W@ Northwestern77–58
- Wvs Oregon90–55
5 days since their last game.