State Farm Center · at Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
ILL -18.5✓ ILL covered by 0.5
ILL -18.5✓ ILL covered by 0.5Closing total152.5Over by 6.5
 MD | This season | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| 8-10 | Record | 15-3 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 11-7 |
| 12-6 | O/U | 6-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MD 67–85 ILL · ✓ ILL (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 30 | 40 | 70 |
| ILL | 47 | 42 | 89 |
1st half: MD 30, ILL 47 (ILL by 17). The model had ILL by 10.8 and a total of 71.3 (actual 77).
Team stats
| MD | ILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-65 40% | Field goals | 27-62 44% |
| 10-32 31% | 3-pointers | 15-40 38% |
| 8-16 50% | Free throws | 20-28 71% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 47 15 off |
| 11 | Assists | 17 |
| 3 | Steals | 2 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Adams G | 30 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 4-14 | 0-3 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 27 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| David Coit G | 25 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 5-15 | 1-8 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| George Turkson Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Solomon Washington F | 25 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Aleks Alston F | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Myles Rice G | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Andre Mills G | 17 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 6-9 | 4-5 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Guillermo Del Pino G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lukas Sotell, Pharrel Payne, Rakease Passmore, Jaziah Harper, Nick Blake
| ILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrej Stojakovic G | 33 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 9-18 | 4-7 |
| David Mirkovic F | 32 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Keaton Wagler G | 32 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 4-12 | 1-9 |
| Tomislav Ivisic C | 30 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Jake Davis F | 24 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Humrichous F | 22 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic F | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jason Jakstys C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mihailo Petrovic G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Brandon Lee G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Blake Fagbemi G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| AJ Redd G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ty Rodgers, Kylan Boswell
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILL -19.5
1 → MD
CloseILL -18.5
1 pt toward MD
Total
Open149.5
▲ 3
Close152.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MD +1100 · ILL -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILL -19.5 · closed ILL -18.5 · moved 1 toward MDmodel ILL -18.5 matches the line
model ILL -18.5 = line ✓
Opened 149.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 3 upmodel 152.5 matches the line
model 152.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILL -18.5 | ILL -18.4 | MD +0.1 | L ILL covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 152.3 | Under 0.2 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | MD 67 · ILL 85.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILL -10.8 | ILL -17.0 |
| 1H total | 71.3 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | MD 30.2 · ILL 41.1 | MD 30 · ILL 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| ILL | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MD 5–2 ILLMD leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MD has won the last 2 meetings · MD 5-1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | ILL 65 vs MD 88 | MD -1.5 | MD W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | MD 91 @ ILL 70 | ILL -5.5 | MD W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | ILL 85 @ MD 80 | MD +2.5 | ILL W |
| Jan 14, 2023-24 | MD 76 @ ILL 67 | ILL -9.5 | MD W |
| Dec 2, 2022-23 | ILL 66 @ MD 71 | MD -1.5 | MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Maryland
18 games played
Straight up
8-10
44% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-6
67% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALA | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs WAG | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ IOWA | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs MICH | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVA | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs ODU | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORE | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | vs IU | L 66-84 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ UCLA | L 55-67 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 13 | @ USC | L 71-88 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 18 | vs PSU | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
−18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+3.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
−8.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+1.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
+8.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
+0.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−8.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
−10.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
+1.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
−7.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+21.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
+10.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+8.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
+9.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+20.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
−1.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
−23.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−28.5
7
vsIU
IUL 66-84
+2.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 55-67
−25.5
13
@USC
USCL 71-88
+8.5
18
vsPSU
PSUW 96-73
+20.5
over 12under 6avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois
18 games played
Straight up
15-3
83% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-12
33% overs · avg −4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JKST | W 113-55 | -28.5 | W +29.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs FGCU | W 113-70 | -29.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs TTU | W 81-77 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs COLG | W 84-65 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vsALA | L 86-90 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 22 | vs LIU | W 98-58 | -34.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs RGV | W 87-73 | -33.5 | L −19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 28 | vs CONN | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | vs TENN | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 9 | @ OSU | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs NEB | L 80-83 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs MIZ | W 91-48 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs SOU | W 90-55 | -33.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @PSU | W 73-65 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 8 | vs RUTG | W 81-55 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | @IOWA | W 75-69 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ NU | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vs MINN | W 77-67 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+29.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+13.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
+0.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−11.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−6.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
+5.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−19.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−8.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
+14.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+4.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
−12.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
+34.5
29
vsSOU
SOUW 90-55
+1.5
3
@PSU
PSUW 73-65
−6.5
8
vsRUTG
RUTGW 81-55
+3.5
11
@IOWA
IOWAW 75-69
+4.5
14
@NU
NUW 79-68
+1.5
17
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+10.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+22.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
−10.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−15.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−4.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
−4.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−4.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−15.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
−12.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+5.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
+6.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
−14.5
29
vsSOU
SOUW 90-55
−18.5
3
@PSU
PSUW 73-65
−18.5
8
vsRUTG
RUTGW 81-55
−13.5
11
@IOWA
IOWAW 75-69
+1.5
14
@NU
NUW 79-68
−4.5
17
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
+1.5
over 6under 12avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Maryland
8-10 overall · 1-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn State96–73
- L@ USC71–88
- L@ UCLA55–67
- Lvs Indiana66–84
- Lvs Oregon54–64
3 days since their last game.
Illinois
15-3 overall · 6-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Minnesota77–67
- W@ Northwestern79–68
- W@ Iowa75–69
- Wvs Rutgers81–55
- W@ Penn State73–65
4 days since their last game.