State Farm Center · at Illinois
Closing line
ILL -33.5✓ ILL covered by 1.5
ILL -33.5✓ ILL covered by 1.5Closing total163.5Under by 18.5
 SOU | This season | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-8 | Record | 9-3 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 7-2 | O/U | 4-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SOU 66–97 ILL · ✓ ILL (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOU | 25 | 30 | 55 |
| ILL | 46 | 44 | 90 |
1st half: SOU 25, ILL 46 (ILL by 21). The model had ILL by 18.5 and a total of 76.0 (actual 71).
Team stats
| SOU | ILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-66 35% | Field goals | 30-58 52% |
| 3-14 21% | 3-pointers | 14-34 41% |
| 6-8 75% | Free throws | 16-18 89% |
| 26 13 off | Rebounds | 45 16 off |
| 9 | Assists | 22 |
| 10 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| SOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jacobs G | 30 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3-16 | 1-4 |
| Brandon Hardy G | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Malek Abdelgowad F | 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Terrance Dixon Jr. F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Puoch Dobuol F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Amboree G | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| DaMariee Jones F | 18 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Magee G | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Fazl Oshodi G | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Joe Manning G | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| AJ Barnes F | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Lionel Bell C | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Keith Lamar, Jayce Depron, Andre Nunley, Rondae Hill, Trey Shephard, Femi Olaniyan
| ILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Wagler G | 27 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Kylan Boswell G | 23 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Tomislav Ivisic C | 23 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Andrej Stojakovic G | 23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| David Mirkovic F | 21 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Humrichous F | 21 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Jake Davis F | 21 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic F | 13 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
| Mihailo Petrovic G | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Lee G | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jason Jakstys C | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Blake Fagbemi G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| AJ Redd G | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ty Rodgers
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILL -31.5
2 → ILL
CloseILL -33.5
2 pts toward ILL
Total
Open161.5
▲ 2
Close163.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SOU +5000 · ILL -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILL -31.5 · closed ILL -33.5 · moved 2 toward ILLmodel ILL -31
model ILL -31
Opened 161.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 2 upmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILL -33.5 | ILL -31.1 | SOU +2.4 | L ILL covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 162.4 | Under 1.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | SOU 65.7 · ILL 96.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILL -18.5 | ILL -21.0 |
| 1H total | 76.0 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | SOU 28.7 · ILL 47.2 | SOU 25 · ILL 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOUlast 9 | 1-8 11% | 4-5 44% | 7-2 78% |
| ILL | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SOU 0–1 ILLILL leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SOU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023-24 | SOU 60 @ ILL 88 | ILL -24.5 | ILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern
9 games played
Straight up
1-8
11% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-2
78% overs · avg +13.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ARK | L 77-109 | +26.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 5 | @ MARQ | L 82-100 | +24.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 18 | @ WASH | L 93-99 | +23.5 | W +17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 21 | @ SJSU | L 66-80 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 29 | @ NWST | W 75-73 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 8 | @ TEX | L 69-95 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 10 | @ TXST | L 83-86 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 16 | @ CBU | L 67-75 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | @ BAY | L 67-111 | +26.5 | L −17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ARK
ARKL 77-109
−5.5
5
@MARQ
MARQL 82-100
+6.5
18
@WASH
WASHL 93-99
+17.5
21
@SJSU
SJSUL 66-80
−8.5
29
@NWST
NWSTW 75-73
−1.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 69-95
−3.5
10
@TXST
TXSTL 83-86
+0.5
16
@CBU
CBUL 67-75
+4.5
21
@BAY
BAYL 67-111
−17.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ARK
ARKL 77-109
+35.5
5
@MARQ
MARQL 82-100
+26.5
18
@WASH
WASHL 93-99
+34.5
21
@SJSU
SJSUL 66-80
−4.5
29
@NWST
NWSTW 75-73
+3.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 69-95
+5.5
10
@TXST
TXSTL 83-86
+26.5
16
@CBU
CBUL 67-75
−13.5
21
@BAY
BAYL 67-111
+8.5
over 7under 2avg +13.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois
12 games played
Straight up
9-3
75% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JKST | W 113-55 | -28.5 | W +29.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs FGCU | W 113-70 | -29.5 | W +13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs TTU | W 81-77 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs COLG | W 84-65 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALA | L 86-90 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 22 | vs LIU | W 98-58 | -34.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs RGV | W 87-73 | -33.5 | L −19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 28 | vs CONN | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | vs TENN | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 9 | @ OSU | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs NEB | L 80-83 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs MIZ | W 91-48 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+29.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+13.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
+0.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−11.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−6.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
+5.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−19.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−8.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
+14.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+4.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
−12.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
+34.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJKST
JKSTW 113-55
+10.5
7
vsFGCU
FGCUW 113-70
+22.5
11
vsTTU
TTUW 81-77
−10.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGW 84-65
−15.5
19
vsALA
ALAL 86-90
−4.5
22
vsLIU
LIUW 98-58
−4.5
24
vsRGV
RGVW 87-73
−4.5
28
vsCONN
CONNL 61-74
−15.5
6
vsTENN
TENNW 75-62
−12.5
9
@OSU
OSUW 88-80
+5.5
13
vsNEB
NEBL 80-83
+6.5
22
vsMIZ
MIZW 91-48
−14.5
over 4under 8avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern
1-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Baylor67–111
- L@ CA Baptist67–75
- L@ Texas St83–86
- L@ Texas69–95
- W@ N'Western St75–73
A week or more of rest.
Illinois
9-3 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Missouri91–48
- Lvs Nebraska80–83
- W@ Ohio State88–80
- Wvs Tennessee75–62
- Lvs UConn61–74
A week or more of rest.