M&T Bank Arena · at Quinnipiac · Conference game
Closing line
QUIN -2.5✓ QUIN covered by 3.5
QUIN -2.5✓ QUIN covered by 3.5Closing total145.5Under by 23.5
 MRST | This season | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 8-4 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 6-6 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRST 69–72 QUIN · ✓ QUIN (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 25 | 33 | 58 |
| QUIN | 30 | 34 | 64 |
1st half: MRST 25, QUIN 30 (QUIN by 5). The model had QUIN by 1.6 and a total of 66.3 (actual 55).
Team stats
| MRST | QUIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 22-61 36% |
| 3-16 19% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 7-9 78% | Free throws | 13-20 65% |
| 37 12 off | Rebounds | 43 17 off |
| 11 | Assists | 7 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Menard G | 33 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Elijah Lewis G | 31 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Jadin Collins-Roberts G | 30 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 26 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Jason Schofield C | 18 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rhyjon Blackwell G | 24 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Tarik Watson C | 19 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 6-13 | 0-0 |
| Myles Parker F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Trace Salton F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Parby Kabamba F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Martin Kawa G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ricky McKenzie, Antoni Vlogianitis, Jordan Gabriel
| QUIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarri Monroe F | 37 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 4-15 | 1-5 |
| Asim Jones G | 37 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 8-21 | 2-4 |
| Grant Randall F | 36 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Spence Wewe F | 17 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Samson Reilly G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keith McKnight F | 28 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Sam Nosakhare C | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tai Turnage G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Braylan Ritvo F | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Nate Guerengomba, Jaden Zimmerman, Akintola Akinniyi, Jayden Reid, Christopher Skenderi, Ronell Giles Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketQUIN -2.5
ModelQUIN -3.0
Model edgeQUIN +0.5
W QUIN covered
Total
Market145.5
Model141.6
Model edgeUnder 3.9
W Under
Projected score
MRST 69.3 · QUIN 72.3
MRST 58 · QUIN 64
Win probability
QUIN 60%
1st half
Spread
QUIN -1.6
QUIN -5.0
Total
66.3
55 points
Projected score
MRST 32.3 · QUIN 34
MRST 25 · QUIN 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenQUIN -3.5
1 → MRST
CloseQUIN -2.5
1 pt toward MRST
Total
Open143.5
▲ 2
Close145.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MRST +120 · QUIN -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened QUIN -3.5 · closed QUIN -2.5 · moved 1 toward MRSTmodel QUIN -3
model QUIN -3
Opened 143.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| QUIN | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MRST 3–6 QUINQUIN leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MRST 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | QUIN 62 @ MRST 69 | MRST -1.5 | MRST W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | MRST 64 @ QUIN 73 | QUIN -4.5 | QUIN W |
| Jan 12, 2023-24 | QUIN 66 @ MRST 55 | MRST -1.5 | QUIN W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | MRST 75 vs QUIN 59 | QUIN -4.5 | MRST W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | QUIN 88 @ MRST 76 | MRST +3.5 | QUIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marist
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ XAV | L 62-66 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 9 | @ DART | W 75-56 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs HARV | L 54-56 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARMY | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs LEH | W 78-55 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 5 | vs MSM | W 64-56 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 7 | vs MAN | W 80-68 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ BRY | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 16 | @ GT | L 76-87 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs STBK | W 70-51 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
+8.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
+20.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−8.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
−1.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+15.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−0.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+4.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+6.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
−4.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
+12.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
−11.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
−7.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−20.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
+8.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+0.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−16.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+7.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+24.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
+21.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
−16.5
over 5under 5avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Quinnipiac
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SJU | L 74-108 | +26.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 6 | vs CCSU | W 71-49 | -9.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | vs YALE | L 60-97 | +6.5 | L −30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | @ ME | W 70-64 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | @ PITT | W 83-75 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 25 | @ UCF | L 91-102 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 30 | vs STO | W 76-62 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 5 | @ IONA | W 89-68 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs RID | W 72-58 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vs UML | W 75-71 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 17 | @ MONM | W 85-75 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ HOF | L 66-74 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SJU
SJUL 74-108
−7.5
6
vsCCSU
CCSUW 71-49
+12.5
11
vsYALE
YALEL 60-97
−30.5
16
@ME
MEW 70-64
+2.5
23
@PITT
PITTW 83-75
+20.5
25
@UCF
UCFL 91-102
+2.5
30
vsSTO
STOW 76-62
−1.5
5
@IONA
IONAW 89-68
+23.5
7
vsRID
RIDW 72-58
−0.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 75-71
−8.5
17
@MONM
MONMW 85-75
+11.5
21
@HOF
HOFL 66-74
−0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SJU
SJUL 74-108
+25.5
6
vsCCSU
CCSUW 71-49
−30.5
11
vsYALE
YALEL 60-97
+0.5
16
@ME
MEW 70-64
−3.5
23
@PITT
PITTW 83-75
+17.5
25
@UCF
UCFL 91-102
+30.5
30
vsSTO
STOW 76-62
−10.5
5
@IONA
IONAW 89-68
−6.5
7
vsRID
RIDW 72-58
−17.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 75-71
−7.5
17
@MONM
MONMW 85-75
+14.5
21
@HOF
HOFL 66-74
−7.5
over 5under 7avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marist
7-3 overall · 2-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Stony Brook70–51
- L@ Georgia Tech76–87
- W@ Bryant82–74
- Wvs Manhattan80–68
- Wvs Mount St Marys64–56
A week or more of rest.
Quinnipiac
8-4 overall · 2-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Hofstra66–74
- W@ Monmouth85–75
- Wvs UMass Lowell75–71
- Wvs Rider72–58
- W@ Iona89–68
A week or more of rest.