McCann Arena · at Marist · Conference game
Closing line
MRST -7.5✓ MRST covered by 4.5
MRST -7.5✓ MRST covered by 4.5Closing total140.5Over by 7.5
 MAN | This season | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 4-2 |
| 2-6 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MAN 66–77 MRST · ✓ MRST (85%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAN | 33 | 35 | 68 |
| MRST | 33 | 47 | 80 |
1st half: MAN 33, MRST 33 (tied). The model had MRST by 7.0 and a total of 67.0 (actual 66).
Team stats
| MAN | MRST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-58 38% | Field goals | 31-72 43% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 8-32 25% |
| 18-24 75% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 37 8 off | Rebounds | 48 16 off |
| 6 | Assists | 22 |
| 8 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston G | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 7-15 | 2-5 |
| Devin Dinkins G | 36 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Fraser Roxburgh F | 30 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Marko Ljubicic F | 29 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-5 |
| Erik Oliver-Bush G | 18 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Terrance Jones G | 31 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Isaac Jr. F | 13 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Quron Elliott G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will Sydnor, Louis Fairtlough, Jackson Delaney, Michael Lawlor, Aryan Arora, Jaeden Robley, Jameson Borodawka, Omari Moore, Nick Lukmann, Asier Miguel, Brett Rumpel
| MRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Lewis G | 36 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 8-15 | 1-4 |
| Justin Menard G | 33 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 3-14 | 2-12 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 23 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Jadin Collins-Roberts G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Parby Kabamba F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rhyjon Blackwell G | 32 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 5-13 | 3-9 |
| Jason Schofield C | 17 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Ricky McKenzie G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Tarik Watson C | 13 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Gabriel C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Myles Parker F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trace Salton, Antoni Vlogianitis, Martin Kawa
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRST -7.5
ModelMRST -11.8
Model edgeMRST +4.3
W MRST covered
Total
Market140.5
Model143.0
Model edgeOver 2.5
W Over
Projected score
MAN 65.6 · MRST 77.4
MAN 68 · MRST 80
Win probability
MRST 85%
1st half
Spread
MRST -7.0
tied
Total
67.0
66 points
Projected score
MAN 30 · MRST 37
MAN 33 · MRST 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRST -8.5
1 → MAN
CloseMRST -7.5
1 pt toward MAN
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MAN +275 · MRST -345
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRST -8.5 · closed MRST -7.5 · moved 1 toward MANmodel MRST -12
model MRST -12
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MANlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 2-6 25% | 4-4 50% |
| MRSTlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MAN 2–6 MRSTMRST leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MRST has won the last 5 meetings · MAN 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024-25 | MRST 82 @ MAN 75 | MAN +1.5 | MRST W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | MRST 57 @ MAN 50 | MAN +7.5 | MAN W |
| Dec 3, 2023-24 | MAN 56 @ MRST 70 | MRST -7.5 | MRST W |
| Mar 7, 2022-23 | MRST 61 vs MAN 50 | MAN -3.5 | MRST W |
| Feb 24, 2022-23 | MRST 81 @ MAN 58 | MAN -3.5 | MRST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Manhattan
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg −5.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ USC | L 83-114 | +28.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTU | W 79-75 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ HAW | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs MVSU | W 80-73 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 21 | @ TA&M | L 68-109 | +23.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs WAG | L 101-103 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 29 | @ ARMY | L 78-81 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs FAIR | W 70-66 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
−2.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
+6.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−13.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
−17.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
−4.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
−4.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
+41.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
−4.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−1.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
+14.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
+59.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
+6.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
−19.5
over 4under 4avg +10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Marist
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
XAV
XAVL 62-66
+8.5
9
@
DART
DARTW 75-56
+20.5
16
vs
HARV
HARVL 54-56
−8.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
−1.5
25
vs
LEH
LEHW 78-55
+15.5
5
vs
MSM
MSMW 64-56
−0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
−11.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
−7.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−20.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
+8.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+0.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−16.5
over 2under 4avg −7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Manhattan
3-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Fairfield70–66
- L@ Army78–81
- Lvs Wagner101–103
- L@ Texas A&M68–109
- Wvs Miss Valley St80–73
2 days since their last game.
Marist
4-2 overall · 1-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mount St Marys64–56
- Wvs Lehigh78–55
- Wvs Army76–65
- Lvs Harvard54–56
- W@ Dartmouth75–56
2 days since their last game.