MVP Arena · at Siena · Conference game
Closing line
SIE -17.5✓ SIE covered by 4.5
SIE -17.5✓ SIE covered by 4.5Closing total131.5Under by 5.5
 CAN | This season | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 8-2 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 2-6 | O/U | 3-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CAN 57–76 SIE · ✓ SIE (96%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAN | 23 | 29 | 52 |
| SIE | 41 | 33 | 74 |
1st half: CAN 23, SIE 41 (SIE by 18). The model had SIE by 11.6 and a total of 62.3 (actual 64).
Team stats
| CAN | SIE | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-54 31% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 4-20 20% | 3-pointers | 11-33 33% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 11-18 61% |
| 39 12 off | Rebounds | 38 10 off |
| 7 | Assists | 20 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 7 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| CAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahlil Singleton G | 30 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-10 | 1-7 |
| Mike Evbagharu G | 30 | 10 | 17 | 2 | 4-15 | 0-1 |
| Bryan Ndjonga F | 27 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Javantae Edwards G | 24 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Myles Wilmoth F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brendan Oliver F | 19 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Chris Kumu G | 18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Max Jusianiec G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Andreo Ash F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Evan van der Plas F | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Nicco DiGiulio G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Christian G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Trevor Augustine G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| King Ijeoma F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anthony Benard, Marcus Niblack
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Shoats G | 33 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Gavin Doty G | 27 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 26 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-11 | 3-11 |
| Antonio Chandler F | 25 | 16 | 12 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Tasman Goodrick F | 19 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Henderson G | 21 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Christian Jones G | 20 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Francis Folefac F | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Chris Torres G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Danny Murray G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cooper Nadler G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mosi Clayton G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Owen Schlager, Tajae Jones, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme, Riley Mulvey
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIE -17.5
ModelSIE -19.6
Model edgeSIE +2.1
W SIE covered
Total
Market131.5
Model132.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
L Under
Projected score
CAN 56.6 · SIE 76.2
CAN 52 · SIE 74
Win probability
SIE 96%
1st half
Spread
SIE -11.6
SIE -18.0
Total
62.3
64 points
Projected score
CAN 25.3 · SIE 36.9
CAN 23 · SIE 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -17.5
no move
CloseSIE -17.5
No change since the open
Total
Open130.5
▲ 1
Close131.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CAN +1100 · SIE -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -17.5 · unchangedmodel SIE -19.5
model SIE -19.5
Opened 130.5 · closed 131.5 · moved 1 upmodel 133
model 133
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CANlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 3-5 38% | 2-6 25% |
| SIE | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CAN 5–3 SIECAN leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CAN 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024-25 | CAN 93 @ SIE 88 | SIE -11.5 | CAN W |
| Dec 8, 2024-25 | SIE 66 @ CAN 53 | CAN +4.5 | SIE W |
| Feb 18, 2023-24 | CAN 73 @ SIE 64 | SIE +5.5 | CAN W |
| Jan 12, 2023-24 | SIE 63 @ CAN 67 | CAN -8.5 | SIE W |
| Jan 15, 2022-23 | SIE 62 @ CAN 66 | CAN +4.5 | CAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Canisius
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ DAY | L 48-88 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | @ SBU | L 70-89 | +21.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MERC | W 58-55 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 17 | @ HPU | L 50-93 | +23.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 21 | vs UMES | W 60-57 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 128.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 23 | vs BING | W 75-66 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs BUF | L 53-71 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | @ SPU | L 57-69 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@DAY
DAYL 48-88
−14.5
8
@SBU
SBUL 70-89
+2.5
12
vsMERC
MERCW 58-55
+4.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 50-93
−19.5
21
vsUMES
UMESW 60-57
−0.5
23
vsBING
BINGW 75-66
+6.5
29
vsBUF
BUFL 53-71
−8.5
5
@SPU
SPUL 57-69
−2.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DAY
DAYL 48-88
−6.5
8
@SBU
SBUL 70-89
+22.5
12
vsMERC
MERCW 58-55
−22.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 50-93
−9.5
21
vsUMES
UMESW 60-57
−11.5
23
vsBING
BINGW 75-66
+11.5
29
vsBUF
BUFL 53-71
−15.5
5
@SPU
SPUL 57-69
−3.5
over 2under 6avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Siena
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-7
30% overs · avg −7.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vs NIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
over 3under 7avg −7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Canisius
3-5 overall · 0-1 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Peter's57–69
- Lvs Buffalo53–71
- Wvs Binghamton75–66
- Wvs MD Eastern60–57
- L@ High Point50–93
2 days since their last game.
Siena
8-2 overall · 1-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Niagara83–54
- Wvs Maine64–60
- W@ American59–55
- Wvs Longwood70–63
- W@ Holy Cross73–69
2 days since their last game.