Bryant Bulldogs at Siena Saints: Model Line and Edge

Mon, Nov 3, 7:00 PM ETMVP Arena · at Siena

#290BRYBryant66final

Final

#260SIESiena82▲ winner

Closing lineSIE -13.5✓ SIE covered by 2.5

Closing total148.5Under by 0.5

Season records: Bryant and Siena
BRY	This season	SIE
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: BRY 73–76 SIE · ✓ SIE (60%) won

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
BRY	31	35	66
SIE	39	43	82

1st half: BRY 31, SIE 39 (SIE by 8). The model had SIE by 1.6 and a total of 70.1 (actual 70).

Team stats

BRY		SIE
24-56 43%	Field goals	31-67 46%
10-22 45%	3-pointers	5-16 31%
8-12 67%	Free throws	15-20 75%
34 14 off	Rebounds	36 18 off
13	Assists	19
5	Steals	12
4	Blocks	2
20	Turnovers	7
17	Fouls	13
28	Points in paint	52
4	Fast-break points	10

Players

BRY	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Timofei Rudovskii F	28	15	4	2	5-6	3-3
Quincy Allen G	25	6	6	0	2-8	0-2
Keegan Harvey F	21	6	1	0	2-5	0-2
Ty Tabales G	17	5	1	2	2-6	1-3
Daniel Akoue C	14	3	3	0	1-3	1-2
Bench
Aaron Davis III G	29	14	4	2	6-12	2-4
Khalil Williams G	23	12	4	4	4-11	3-4
Ashley Sims II F	22	2	3	2	1-2	0-1
Ethane Bourgade F	11	0	1	0	0-1	0-0
Lennart Weber F	8	3	1	1	1-2	0-1
Jakai Robinson G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Michael DeOrsey, Reed Woerner, Gio Sanford, Joe Green, Jaheim Nyam, Jason Sepe, Langston Bailey, Frankie Vassalluzzo

SIE	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Gavin Doty G	34	9	2	2	3-10	2-3
Justice Shoats G	34	17	0	9	7-16	0-1
Brendan Coyle G	32	13	5	4	3-9	2-7
Tasman Goodrick F	24	22	11	0	11-14	0-0
Antonio Chandler F	22	5	3	0	2-3	0-0
Bench
Francis Folefac F	13	11	4	2	4-7	0-0
Marcus Jackson G	12	0	4	0	0-2	0-1
Christian Jones G	10	3	0	0	1-5	1-4
Owen Schlager G	9	2	0	1	0-1	0-0
Riley Mulvey C	8	0	3	1	0-0	0-0
Isaiah Henderson G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Danny Murray, Cooper Nadler, Tajae Jones, Chris Torres, Mosi Clayton, Reid Ducharme

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	SIE -13.5	SIE -2.9	BRY +10.6	L SIE covered
Total	148.5	149.7	Over 1.2	L Under
Projected score	—	BRY 73.4 · SIE 76.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SIE -1.6	SIE -8.0
1H total	70.1	70
1H projected score	BRY 34.2 · SIE 35.8	BRY 31 · SIE 39

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2024-25 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BRY WLWWL	15-18	45%	7-10	1-7
SIE LLLLL	18-14	56%	8-6	6-7

Venue/role: BRY away, as underdog; SIE home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2024-25 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
BRY UUOUU	15-18	45%	21-12
SIE OOUUO	21-11	66%	14-18

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2024-25

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BRY	8-2 80%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%
SIE	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

BRY 1–1 SIESeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · BRY 1-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 8, 2024-25	SIE 90 @ BRY 88	BRY -10.5	SIE W
Dec 6, 2023-24	BRY 67 @ SIE 51	SIE +8	BRY W

ATS History · 2024-25

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Bryant

33 games played

Straight up

21-12

64% wins

Against the spread

15-18

45% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-18

45% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

21-1264%

L W W L L W L W L L L L L W W W W W W W W L W W W L W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1845%

L W L L L W L W L L L L L W W W W W L W W L L W L L L W W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-1845%

O U O U O O U O U O O U O U U O U O U O O U U O U U U O U U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	vsSIE	L 88-90	-10.5	L −12.5	148.5	O 178
Nov 14	@BUF	W 87-64	-6.5	W +16.5	163.5	U 151
Nov 18	@DEL	W 85-84	-2.5	L −1.5	160.5	O 169
Nov 21	@STO	L 66-67	-12.5	L −13.5	152.5	U 133
Nov 24	@SBU	L 70-85	+7.5	L −7.5	149.5	O 155
Nov 26	vsTNST	W 97-85	-8.5	W +3.5	159.5	O 182
Nov 27	@UTC	L 76-84	+5.5	L −2.5	160.5	U 160
Dec 2	@DREX	W 78-73	+1.5	W +6.5	148.5	O 151
Dec 6	vsBRWN	L 75-76	-5.5	L −6.5	154.5	U 151
Dec 11	@SJU	L 77-99	+21.5	L −0.5	159.5	O 176
Dec 14	vsFOR	L 84-86	-1.5	L −3.5	158.5	O 170
Dec 22	@TOW	L 65-70	+4.5	L −0.5	146.5	U 135
Dec 30	@GCU	L 66-112	+13.5	L −32.5	160.5	O 178
Jan 4	vsME	W 81-55	-2.5	W +23.5	151.5	U 136
Jan 11	vsUVM	W 73-53	-3.5	W +16.5	138.5	U 126
Jan 16	@UALB	W 89-79	-2.5	W +7.5	159.5	O 168
Jan 18	vsUML	W 85-62	-4.5	W +18.5	162.5	U 147
Jan 23	@UNH	W 95-76	-15.5	W +3.5	149.5	O 171
Jan 25	vsBING	W 83-69	-14.5	L −0.5	152.5	U 152
Jan 30	@UMBC	W 92-86	-5.5	W +0.5	168.5	O 178
Feb 1	@NJIT	W 92-70	-12.5	W +9.5	147.5	O 162
Feb 6	vsUALB	L 63-68	-10.5	L −15.5	158.5	U 131
Feb 8	@BING	W 78-71	-8.5	L −1.5	149.5	U 149
Feb 13	vsNJIT	W 88-66	-18.5	W +3.5	149.5	O 154
Feb 15	vsUMBC	W 81-79	-12.5	L −10.5	167.5	U 160
Feb 20	@UVM	L 55-59	+1.5	L −2.5	141.5	U 114
Feb 27	@UML	W 79-78	-3.5	L −2.5	162.5	U 157
Mar 1	@ME	W 80-72	-1.5	W +6.5	146.5	O 152
Mar 4	vsUNH	W 90-56	-18.5	W +15.5	153.5	U 146
Mar 8	vsUMBC	W 85-74	-15.5	L −4.5	163.5	U 159
Mar 11	vsUALB	W 91-78	-10.5	W +2.5	151.5	O 169
Mar 15	vsME	W 79-59	-7.5	W +12.5	142.5	U 138
Mar 21	vsMSU	L 62-87	+18.5	L −6.5	152.5	U 149

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SIE

L 88-90

−12.5

BUF

W 87-64

+16.5

DEL

W 85-84

−1.5

STO

L 66-67

−13.5

SBU

L 70-85

−7.5

TNST

W 97-85

+3.5

UTC

L 76-84

−2.5

DREX

W 78-73

+6.5

BRWN

L 75-76

−6.5

SJU

L 77-99

−0.5

FOR

L 84-86

−3.5

TOW

L 65-70

−0.5

GCU

L 66-112

−32.5

W 81-55

+23.5

UVM

W 73-53

+16.5

UALB

W 89-79

+7.5

UML

W 85-62

+18.5

UNH

W 95-76

+3.5

BING

W 83-69

−0.5

UMBC

W 92-86

+0.5

NJIT

W 92-70

+9.5

UALB

L 63-68

−15.5

BING

W 78-71

−1.5

NJIT

W 88-66

+3.5

UMBC

W 81-79

−10.5

UVM

L 55-59

−2.5

UML

W 79-78

−2.5

W 80-72

+6.5

UNH

W 90-56

+15.5

UMBC

W 85-74

−4.5

UALB

W 91-78

+2.5

W 79-59

+12.5

MSU

L 62-87

−6.5

covered 15didn’t cover 18avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SIE

L 88-90

+29.5

BUF

W 87-64

−12.5

DEL

W 85-84

+8.5

STO

L 66-67

−19.5

SBU

L 70-85

+5.5

TNST

W 97-85

+22.5

UTC

L 76-84

−0.5

DREX

W 78-73

+2.5

BRWN

L 75-76

−3.5

SJU

L 77-99

+16.5

FOR

L 84-86

+11.5

TOW

L 65-70

−11.5

GCU

L 66-112

+17.5

W 81-55

−15.5

UVM

W 73-53

−12.5

UALB

W 89-79

+8.5

UML

W 85-62

−15.5

UNH

W 95-76

+21.5

BING

W 83-69

−0.5

UMBC

W 92-86

+9.5

NJIT

W 92-70

+14.5

UALB

L 63-68

−27.5

BING

W 78-71

−0.5

NJIT

W 88-66

+4.5

UMBC

W 81-79

−7.5

UVM

L 55-59

−27.5

UML

W 79-78

−5.5

W 80-72

+5.5

UNH

W 90-56

−7.5

UMBC

W 85-74

−4.5

UALB

W 91-78

+17.5

W 79-59

−4.5

MSU

L 62-87

−3.5

over 15under 18avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Siena

32 games played

Straight up

14-18

44% wins

Against the spread

18-14

56% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

21-11

66% overs · avg +6.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

14-1844%

W W W L L L L W L W L L W W L L W L W L L W W L L W W L L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

18-1456%

W W W L W L L W W W L L W W L L W W W W W W W L L W W L L L L L

5 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

21-1166%

O O O U U U O U O U U O O O O U O U O O O O O U O O O O O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsBRWN	W 72-71	+2.5	W +3.5	140.5	O 143
Nov 8	@BRY	W 90-88	+10.5	W +12.5	148.5	O 178
Nov 12	vsAMER	W 74-66	+2.5	W +10.5	132.5	O 140
Nov 16	@UALB	L 60-70	+4.5	L −5.5	147.5	U 130
Nov 20	@XAV	L 55-80	+26.5	W +1.5	144.5	U 135
Nov 25	vsM-OH	L 58-70	+4.5	L −7.5	136.5	U 128
Nov 26	vsJAX	L 64-75	+5.5	L −5.5	129.5	O 139
Nov 30	vsBUCK	W 71-58	+3.5	W +16.5	133.5	U 129
Dec 6	@NIA	L 68-69	+2.5	W +1.5	127.5	O 137
Dec 8	@CAN	W 66-53	-4.5	W +8.5	133.5	U 119
Dec 17	vsSBU	L 48-65	+6.5	L −10.5	127.5	U 113
Dec 20	vsHC	L 70-78	-4.5	L −12.5	131.5	O 148
Dec 30	@COR	W 83-77	+12.5	W +18.5	148.5	O 160
Jan 3	vsMAN	W 103-95	-3.5	W +4.5	138.5	O 198
Jan 5	vsIONA	L 73-74	-2.5	L −3.5	135.5	O 147
Jan 10	@QUIN	L 53-72	+6.5	L −12.5	140.5	U 125
Jan 16	vsSHU	W 93-75	-1.5	W +16.5	143.5	O 168
Jan 18	@MRMK	L 58-64	+6.5	W +0.5	132.5	U 122
Jan 23	vsMSM	W 82-68	-3.5	W +10.5	137.5	O 150
Jan 25	@IONA	L 68-72	+4.5	W +0.5	137.5	O 140
Jan 31	@MRST	L 67-72	+5.5	W +0.5	127.5	O 139
Feb 2	vsQUIN	W 84-75	+5.5	W +14.5	143.5	O 159
Feb 6	vsSPU	W 77-63	-5.5	W +8.5	127.5	O 140
Feb 8	@RID	L 59-61	-2.5	L −4.5	139.5	U 120
Feb 14	vsMRST	L 64-65	-2.5	L −3.5	128.5	O 129
Feb 16	@SHU	W 80-73	+2.5	W +9.5	151.5	O 153
Feb 21	vsNIA	W 94-60	-5.5	W +28.5	135.5	O 154
Feb 23	vsCAN	L 88-93	-11.5	L −16.5	140.5	O 181
Mar 2	@MSM	L 79-85	+1.5	L −4.5	143.5	O 164
Mar 6	vsFAIR	W 68-64	-7.5	L −3.5	141.5	U 132
Mar 8	@MAN	L 66-78	+3.5	L −8.5	148.5	U 144
Mar 11	vsRID	L 76-78	-4.5	L −6.5	137.5	O 154

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BRWN

W 72-71

+3.5

BRY

W 90-88

+12.5

AMER

W 74-66

+10.5

UALB

L 60-70

−5.5

XAV

L 55-80

+1.5

M-OH

L 58-70

−7.5

JAX

L 64-75

−5.5

BUCK

W 71-58

+16.5

NIA

L 68-69

+1.5

CAN

W 66-53

+8.5

SBU

L 48-65

−10.5

L 70-78

−12.5

COR

W 83-77

+18.5

MAN

W 103-95

+4.5

IONA

L 73-74

−3.5

QUIN

L 53-72

−12.5

SHU

W 93-75

+16.5

MRMK

L 58-64

+0.5

MSM

W 82-68

+10.5

IONA

L 68-72

+0.5

MRST

L 67-72

+0.5

QUIN

W 84-75

+14.5

SPU

W 77-63

+8.5

RID

L 59-61

−4.5

MRST

L 64-65

−3.5

SHU

W 80-73

+9.5

NIA

W 94-60

+28.5

CAN

L 88-93

−16.5

MSM

L 79-85

−4.5

FAIR

W 68-64

−3.5

MAN

L 66-78

−8.5

RID

L 76-78

−6.5

covered 18didn’t cover 14avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BRWN

W 72-71

+2.5

BRY

W 90-88

+29.5

AMER

W 74-66

+7.5

UALB

L 60-70

−17.5

XAV

L 55-80

−9.5

M-OH

L 58-70

−8.5

JAX

L 64-75

+9.5

BUCK

W 71-58

−4.5

NIA

L 68-69

+9.5

CAN

W 66-53

−14.5

SBU

L 48-65

−14.5

L 70-78

+16.5

COR

W 83-77

+11.5

MAN

W 103-95

+59.5

IONA

L 73-74

+11.5

QUIN

L 53-72

−15.5

SHU

W 93-75

+24.5

MRMK

L 58-64

−10.5

MSM

W 82-68

+12.5

IONA

L 68-72

+2.5

MRST

L 67-72

+11.5

QUIN

W 84-75

+15.5

SPU

W 77-63

+12.5

RID

L 59-61

−19.5

MRST

L 64-65

+0.5

SHU

W 80-73

+1.5

NIA

W 94-60

+18.5

CAN

L 88-93

+40.5

MSM

L 79-85

+20.5

FAIR

W 68-64

−9.5

MAN

L 66-78

−4.5

RID

L 76-78

+16.5

over 21under 11avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Bryant Bulldogs at Siena Saints

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2024-25

Bryant

Siena

Bryant

Siena