MVP Arena · at Siena
Closing line
SIE -10.5✓ UALB covered by 0.5
SIE -10.5✓ UALB covered by 0.5Closing total140.5Under by 4.5
 UALB | This season | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 2-2 |
| 0-3 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 0-3 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UALB 66–77 SIE · ✓ SIE (84%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UALB | 31 | 32 | 63 |
| SIE | 46 | 27 | 73 |
1st half: UALB 31, SIE 46 (SIE by 15). The model had SIE by 6.7 and a total of 67.2 (actual 77).
Team stats
| UALB | SIE | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-45 53% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 5-11 45% | 3-pointers | 3-9 33% |
| 10-18 56% | Free throws | 18-20 90% |
| 21 5 off | Rebounds | 30 10 off |
| 5 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UALB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Lindsey G | 40 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 7-8 | 1-1 |
| Jaden Kempson G | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Okechukwu Okeke F | 30 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Zacharie Matulu G | 23 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Ife West-Ingram F | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaac Abidde F | 30 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Miles Rose G | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Nasir Muhammad PG | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Yaya Keita C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ma'Kye Taylor F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Abdoulaye Fall, Wilkin Paulino, Sully Adewale, Bautista Giralt, Tarique Foster, Will Richardson
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Doty G | 40 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 36 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Justice Shoats G | 34 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Chandler F | 30 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Tasman Goodrick F | 27 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Francis Folefac F | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Christian Jones G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Marcus Jackson G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Henderson, Danny Murray, Owen Schlager, Cooper Nadler, Tajae Jones, Chris Torres, Mosi Clayton, Reid Ducharme, Riley Mulvey
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIE -10.5
ModelSIE -11.4
Model edgeSIE +0.9
L UALB covered
Total
Market140.5
Model143.4
Model edgeOver 2.9
L Under
Projected score
UALB 66 · SIE 77.4
UALB 63 · SIE 73
Win probability
SIE 84%
1st half
Spread
SIE -6.7
SIE -15.0
Total
67.2
77 points
Projected score
UALB 30.2 · SIE 37
UALB 31 · SIE 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -9.5
1 → SIE
CloseSIE -10.5
1 pt toward SIE
Total
Open142.5
▼ 2
Close140.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UALB +500 · SIE -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -9.5 · closed SIE -10.5 · moved 1 toward SIEmodel SIE -11.5
model SIE -11.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 2 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UALBlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 0-3 0% | 0-3 0% |
| SIElast 4 | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UALB 2–1 SIEUALB leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UALB has won the last 2 meetings · UALB 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024-25 | SIE 60 @ UALB 70 | UALB -4.5 | UALB W |
| Nov 26, 2023-24 | UALB 86 @ SIE 51 | SIE -3.5 | UALB W |
| Nov 12, 2022-23 | UALB 62 @ SIE 75 | SIE -4.5 | SIE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UAlbany
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −12.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
MARQ
MARQL 53-80
−2.5
8
@
MASS
MASSL 62-83
−11.5
14
@
URI
URIL 61-80
−3.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MARQ
MARQL 53-80
−16.5
8
@MASS
MASSL 62-83
−10.5
14
@URI
URIL 61-80
−9.5
over 0under 3avg −12.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Siena
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −10 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@
BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@
SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vs
COLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
over 1under 3avg −10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UAlbany
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Rhode Island61–80
- L@ UMass62–83
- L@ Marquette53–80
A week or more of rest.
Siena
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Colgate69–72
- L@ St Bonaventure66–75
- W@ Brown62–46
- Wvs Bryant82–66
4 days since their last game.