Chace Athletic Center · at Bryant
Closing line
MRST -1.5✓ MRST covered by 6.5
MRST -1.5✓ MRST covered by 6.5Closing total131.5Over by 24.5
| MRST | This season | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 2-8 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 3-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRST 65–63 BRY · ✓ MRST (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 36 | 46 | 82 |
| BRY | 28 | 46 | 74 |
1st half: MRST 36, BRY 28 (MRST by 8). The model had MRST by 1.4 and a total of 60.0 (actual 64).
Team stats
| MRST | BRY | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-55 51% | Field goals | 26-52 50% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 11-31 35% |
| 20-21 95% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 24 6 off |
| 15 | Assists | 14 |
| 11 | Steals | 8 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| MRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Lewis G | 33 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Jadin Collins-Roberts G | 33 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Justin Menard G | 32 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 7-12 | 5-7 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Parby Kabamba F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Parker F | 22 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Jason Schofield C | 20 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Rhyjon Blackwell G | 19 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Tarik Watson C | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Ricky McKenzie G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trace Salton F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordan Gabriel, Martin Kawa, Antoni Vlogianitis
| BRY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Sims II F | 37 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Timofei Rudovskii F | 34 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Ty Tabales G | 31 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4-14 | 2-11 |
| Keegan Harvey F | 25 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Aaron Davis III G | 24 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quincy Allen G | 30 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| Jakai Robinson G | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ethane Bourgade F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joe Green, Michael DeOrsey, Reed Woerner, Daniel Akoue, Gio Sanford, Lennart Weber, Jaheim Nyam, Khalil Williams, Frankie Vassalluzzo, Langston Bailey, Jason Sepe
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRST -1.5
ModelMRST -2.1
Model edgeMRST +0.6
W MRST covered
Total
Market131.5
Model127.9
Model edgeUnder 3.6
L Over
Projected score
MRST 65 · BRY 62.9
MRST 82 · BRY 74
Win probability
MRST 57%
1st half
Spread
MRST -1.4
MRST -8.0
Total
60.0
64 points
Projected score
MRST 30.7 · BRY 29.3
MRST 36 · BRY 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRST -4.5
3 → BRY
CloseMRST -1.5
3 pts toward BRY
Total
Open126.5
▲ 5
Close131.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
MRST -135 · BRY +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRST -4.5 · closed MRST -1.5 · moved 3 toward BRYmodel MRST -2
model MRST -2
Opened 126.5 · closed 131.5 · moved 5 upmodel 128
model 128
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSTlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% |
| BRY | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marist
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
XAV
XAVL 62-66
+8.5
9
@
DART
DARTW 75-56
+20.5
16
vs
HARV
HARVL 54-56
−8.5
21
vs
ARMY
ARMYW 76-65
−1.5
25
vs
LEH
LEHW 78-55
+15.5
5
vs
MSM
MSMW 64-56
−0.5
7
vs
MAN
MANW 80-68
+4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
−11.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
−7.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−20.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
+8.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+0.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−16.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+7.5
over 3under 4avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bryant
10 games played
Straight up
2-8
20% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-7
30% overs · avg −11.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SIE | L 66-82 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ GT | L 45-74 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 12 | vsDART | W 82-75 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | @ VAL | L 50-68 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ VT | L 61-78 | +24.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | @ CONN | L 49-72 | +36.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @HARV | L 53-56 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 2 | vs STO | W 77-65 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 5 | @ BRWN | L 56-75 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 130.5 | O 131 |
| Dec 10 | @ IONA | L 63-69 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SIE
SIEL 66-82
−2.5
7
@GT
GTL 45-74
−13.5
12
vsDART
DARTW 82-75
+5.5
16
@VAL
VALL 50-68
−11.5
19
@VT
VTL 61-78
+7.5
23
@CONN
CONNL 49-72
+13.5
29
@HARV
HARVL 53-56
+4.5
2
vsSTO
STOW 77-65
+5.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNL 56-75
−12.5
10
@IONA
IONAL 63-69
+2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SIE
SIEL 66-82
−0.5
7
@GT
GTL 45-74
−19.5
12
vsDART
DARTW 82-75
+5.5
16
@VAL
VALL 50-68
−25.5
19
@VT
VTL 61-78
−12.5
23
@CONN
CONNL 49-72
−26.5
29
@HARV
HARVL 53-56
−28.5
2
vsSTO
STOW 77-65
+7.5
5
@BRWN
BRWNL 56-75
+0.5
10
@IONA
IONAL 63-69
−14.5
over 3under 7avg −11.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marist
5-2 overall · 2-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Manhattan80–68
- Wvs Mount St Marys64–56
- Wvs Lehigh78–55
- Wvs Army76–65
- Lvs Harvard54–56
6 days since their last game.
Bryant
2-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iona63–69
- L@ Brown56–75
- Wvs Stonehill77–65
- L@ Harvard53–56
- L@ UConn49–72
3 days since their last game.