Stonehill Skyhawks at Bryant Bulldogs: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Dec 2, 6:00 PM ETChace Athletic Center · at Bryant

#349STOStonehill65final

Final

#290BRYBryant77▲ winner

Closing lineBRY -6.5✓ BRY covered by 5.5

Closing total134.5Over by 7.5

Season records: Stonehill and Bryant
STO	This season	BRY
1-7	Record	1-6
5-3	ATS	4-3
3-5	O/U	1-6

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: STO 63–72 BRY · ✓ BRY (79%) won

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
STO	32	33	65
BRY	34	43	77

1st half: STO 32, BRY 34 (BRY by 2). The model had BRY by 5.4 and a total of 63.6 (actual 66).

Team stats

STO		BRY
26-58 45%	Field goals	29-57 51%
6-17 35%	3-pointers	9-26 35%
7-9 78%	Free throws	10-17 59%
31 11 off	Rebounds	33 11 off
11	Assists	18
8	Steals	5
4	Blocks	3
9	Turnovers	9
12	Fouls	7
40	Points in paint	36
2	Fast-break points	6

Players

STO	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Rex Sunderland G	37	10	1	4	3-7	0-0
Hermann Koffi G	37	13	0	0	4-10	3-9
Raymond Espinal-Guzman F	36	12	8	2	5-11	1-2
Davante Hackett G	33	16	6	0	7-13	2-5
Chas Stinson G	30	10	6	3	5-11	0-0
Bench
Anthony Holden G	12	2	1	1	1-2	0-0
Pearse McGuinn F	10	2	3	1	1-3	0-0
Trenton Ruth G	5	0	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Colin Byrne, Cory Lovell, Norbu Jenpa, Will Batchelder, Ethan Meuser, Ridvan Tutic, Charlie Diamantis, Eino Montin

BRY	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ty Tabales G	36	18	2	7	5-13	3-7
Timofei Rudovskii F	35	10	6	1	4-6	1-2
Ashley Sims II F	35	11	4	4	5-7	1-2
Keegan Harvey F	30	12	4	2	5-11	0-2
Quincy Allen G	27	13	5	1	5-13	3-10
Bench
Ethane Bourgade F	18	10	2	0	4-4	1-1
Jakai Robinson G	8	1	1	1	0-0	0-0
Aaron Davis III G	6	0	2	2	0-2	0-2
Gio Sanford G	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Lennart Weber F	2	2	0	0	1-1	0-0

Did not play: Daniel Akoue, Michael DeOrsey, Reed Woerner, Langston Bailey, Joe Green, Jaheim Nyam, Khalil Williams, Frankie Vassalluzzo, Jason Sepe

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	BRY -6.5	BRY -9.2	BRY +2.7	W BRY covered
Total	134.5	135.7	Over 1.2	W Over
Projected score	—	STO 63.3 · BRY 72.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	BRY -5.4	BRY -2.0
1H total	63.6	66
1H projected score	STO 29.1 · BRY 34.5	STO 32 · BRY 34

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
STO LWWLW	5-3	63%	4-1	5-2
BRY WLWWW	4-3	57%	1-0	1-0

Venue/role: STO away, as underdog; BRY home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
STO UOOUU	3-5	38%	1-7
BRY OUUUU	1-6	14%	1-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
STOlast 8	1-7 13%	5-3 63%	3-5 38%
BRYlast 7	1-6 14%	4-3 57%	1-6 14%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

STO 1–0 BRYSTO leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · STO 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 21, 2024-25	BRY 66 @ STO 67	STO +12.5	STO W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Stonehill

8 games played

Straight up

1-7

13% wins

Against the spread

5-3

63% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-5

38% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-713%

L L L L L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

5-363%

W L W L W W L W

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-538%

U U O U O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@DEP	L 64-72	+22.5	W +14.5	147.5	U 136
Nov 11	@URI	L 57-80	+16.5	L −6.5	151.5	U 137
Nov 14	@FAIR	L 71-73	+6.5	W +4.5	143.5	O 144
Nov 15	vsL-MD	L 63-74	+6.5	L −4.5	138.5	U 137
Nov 17	@ISU	L 57-96	+40.5	W +1.5	146.5	O 153
Nov 21	vsLAF	W 74-70	+1.5	W +5.5	141.5	O 144
Nov 26	vsUML	L 64-75	-2.5	L −13.5	148.5	U 139
Nov 30	@QUIN	L 62-76	+15.5	W +1.5	148.5	U 138

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DEP

L 64-72

+14.5

URI

L 57-80

−6.5

FAIR

L 71-73

+4.5

L-MD

L 63-74

−4.5

ISU

L 57-96

+1.5

LAF

W 74-70

+5.5

UML

L 64-75

−13.5

QUIN

L 62-76

+1.5

covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DEP

L 64-72

−11.5

URI

L 57-80

−14.5

FAIR

L 71-73

+0.5

L-MD

L 63-74

−1.5

ISU

L 57-96

+6.5

LAF

W 74-70

+2.5

UML

L 64-75

−9.5

QUIN

L 62-76

−10.5

over 3under 5avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Bryant

7 games played

Straight up

1-6

14% wins

Against the spread

4-3

57% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-6

14% overs · avg −15.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-614%

L L W L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-357%

L L W L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

1-614%

U U O U U U U

4 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SIE	L 66-82	+13.5	L −2.5	148.5	U 148
Nov 7	@GT	L 45-74	+15.5	L −13.5	138.5	U 119
Nov 12	vsDART	W 82-75	-1.5	W +5.5	151.5	O 157
Nov 16	@VAL	L 50-68	+6.5	L −11.5	143.5	U 118
Nov 19	@VT	L 61-78	+24.5	W +7.5	151.5	U 139
Nov 23	@CONN	L 49-72	+36.5	W +13.5	147.5	U 121
Nov 29	@HARV	L 53-56	+7.5	W +4.5	137.5	U 109

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SIE

L 66-82

−2.5

L 45-74

−13.5

DART

W 82-75

+5.5

VAL

L 50-68

−11.5

L 61-78

+7.5

CONN

L 49-72

+13.5

HARV

L 53-56

+4.5

covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SIE

L 66-82

−0.5

L 45-74

−19.5

DART

W 82-75

+5.5

VAL

L 50-68

−25.5

L 61-78

−12.5

CONN

L 49-72

−26.5

HARV

L 53-56

−28.5

over 1under 6avg −15.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Stonehill Skyhawks at Bryant Bulldogs

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Stonehill

Bryant

Stonehill

Bryant