Bob Carpenter Center · at Delaware · Conference game
Closing line
MOST -1.5✓ MOST covered by 16.5
MOST -1.5✓ MOST covered by 16.5Closing total131.5Under by 27.5
| MOST | This season | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 4-6 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 4-6 |
| 2-6 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MOST 68–70 DEL · ✗ DEL (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 27 | 34 | 61 |
| DEL | 17 | 26 | 43 |
1st half: MOST 27, DEL 17 (MOST by 10). The model had DEL by 1.1 and a total of 64.5 (actual 44).
Team stats
| MOST | DEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-50 40% | Field goals | 13-43 30% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 35 8 off | Rebounds | 30 6 off |
| 9 | Assists | 8 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 10 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 33 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Zaxton King G | 32 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| Keith Palek III F | 30 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Kobi Williams G | 28 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 20 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Antwan Burnett G | 23 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Darrion Sutton F | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Boone F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Logan Epes G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Melakih Cunningham G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Collin Clark, Ryder Cheesman, Tyrique Brooks, Amar Kuljuhovic
| DEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justyn Fernandez G | 36 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Macon Emory F | 36 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Christian Bliss G | 35 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3-11 | 0-3 |
| Tyler Houser F | 28 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Bouna Kebe F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Kazanecki G | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jayden Taylor F | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Nnanna Njoku F | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mason Ellison, Alex McFadden, Lance Piper, Brandon Baffone, Jameel Brown, Houston Emory, Cavan Reilly
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMOST -1.5
ModelDEL -2.1
Model edgeDEL +3.6
L MOST covered
Total
Market131.5
Model137.6
Model edgeOver 6.1
L Under
Projected score
MOST 67.8 · DEL 69.9
MOST 61 · DEL 43
Win probability
DEL 57%
1st half
Spread
DEL -1.1
MOST -10.0
Total
64.5
44 points
Projected score
MOST 31.7 · DEL 32.8
MOST 27 · DEL 17
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDEL -1.5
3 → MOST
CloseMOST -1.5
3 pts toward MOST
Total
Open134.5
▼ 3
Close131.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MOST -125 · DEL +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DEL -1.5 · closed MOST -1.5 · moved 3 toward MOSTmodel DEL -2
model DEL -2
Opened 134.5 · closed 131.5 · moved 3 downmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOSTlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 3-5 38% | 2-6 25% |
| DEL | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri St
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs ARST | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTA | L 49-67 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 22 | vs RGV | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIU | L 61-75 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ TLSA | L 74-98 | +7.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ XAV | L 57-75 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 16 | vs ORU | W 63-62 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 23 | vs LIN | W 70-65 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−18.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
−16.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
+0.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−3.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
+1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−9.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
+29.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
−19.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−21.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
−10.5
over 2under 6avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Delaware
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BUCK | L 70-78 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ BYU | L 68-85 | +35.5 | W +18.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 18 | vs SPU | W 81-70 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs SIU | L 59-79 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNCG | W 73-60 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 1 | vs IONA | L 66-89 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 6 | @ DSU | L 72-75 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 129.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 10 | @ GW | W 70-58 | +21.5 | W +33.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs CSUN | L 66-88 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 16 | vs RID | W 65-57 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 129.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BUCK
BUCKL 70-78
−5.5
11
@BYU
BYUL 68-85
+18.5
18
vsSPU
SPUW 81-70
+6.5
23
vsSIU
SIUL 59-79
−11.5
25
vsUNCG
UNCGW 73-60
+14.5
1
vsIONA
IONAL 66-89
−21.5
6
@DSU
DSUL 72-75
−10.5
10
@GW
GWW 70-58
+33.5
13
vsCSUN
CSUNL 66-88
−23.5
16
vsRID
RIDW 65-57
−0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUCK
BUCKL 70-78
−1.5
11
@BYU
BYUL 68-85
−11.5
18
vsSPU
SPUW 81-70
+13.5
23
vsSIU
SIUL 59-79
−15.5
25
vsUNCG
UNCGW 73-60
−9.5
1
vsIONA
IONAL 66-89
+5.5
6
@DSU
DSUL 72-75
+17.5
10
@GW
GWW 70-58
−24.5
13
vsCSUN
CSUNL 66-88
+9.5
16
vsRID
RIDW 65-57
−7.5
over 4under 6avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri St
3-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions70–65
- Wvs Oral Roberts63–62
- L@ Xavier57–75
- L@ Tulsa74–98
- Lvs Long Island61–75
6 days since their last game.
Delaware
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rider65–57
- Lvs CSU Northridge66–88
- W@ G Washington70–58
- L@ Delaware St72–75
- Lvs Iona66–89
A week or more of rest.