UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Delaware Blue Hens: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 25, 1:30 PM ETJohn Hurst Adams Gymnasium · Neutral site

Final

#206DELDelaware73▲ winner

Closing lineUNCG -1.5✓ DEL covered by 14.5

Closing total142.5Under by 9.5

Season records: UNC Greensboro and Delaware
UNCG	This season	DEL
1-5	Record	1-3
2-4	ATS	2-2
4-2	O/U	1-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: UNCG 76–76 DEL · ✓ DEL (52%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
UNCG	29	31	60
DEL	27	46	73

1st half: UNCG 29, DEL 27 (UNCG by 2). The model had DEL by 0.1 and a total of 71.2 (actual 56).

Team stats

UNCG		DEL
16-53 30%	Field goals	28-54 52%
10-30 33%	3-pointers	13-25 52%
18-22 82%	Free throws	4-8 50%
30 8 off	Rebounds	36 5 off
7	Assists	16
6	Steals	6
1	Blocks	2
9	Turnovers	11
5	Fouls	15
8	Points in paint	30
11	Fast-break points	3

Players

UNCG	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Justin Neely F	33	8	10	3	1-7	0-1
Donald Whitehead Jr. G	30	12	3	1	4-11	2-8
KJ Younger G	29	10	6	2	1-8	0-3
Lilian Marville G	27	17	3	0	6-10	5-7
Domas Kauzonas F	11	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Bench
Valentino Pinedo F	24	4	3	0	1-1	0-0
Assane Mandian G	24	6	0	0	2-7	2-5
Noah Norgaard G	15	3	1	1	1-6	1-4
Landon King G	7	0	0	0	0-3	0-2

Did not play: Clyde Bailey II, Clinton Efinda, Antwann Jones, Jordan Brown, Chane Bynum, Braylen Bowman

DEL	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Alex Kazanecki G	40	2	2	1	1-4	0-3
Christian Bliss G	40	17	6	11	6-13	4-8
Macon Emory F	38	18	5	1	7-11	2-4
Tyler Houser F	36	24	10	1	9-12	6-6
Justyn Fernandez G	33	12	7	2	5-11	1-3
Bench
Mason Ellison G	5	0	1	0	0-2	0-1
Houston Emory F	3	0	2	0	0-0	0-0
Jayden Taylor F	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Bouna Kebe F	2	0	0	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Alex McFadden, Lance Piper, Brandon Baffone, Jameel Brown, Cavan Reilly, Nnanna Njoku

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	UNCG -1.5	DEL -0.5	DEL +2.0	W DEL covered
Total	142.5	152.1	Over 9.6	L Under
Projected score	—	UNCG 75.8 · DEL 76.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	DEL -0.1	UNCG -2.0
1H total	71.2	56
1H projected score	UNCG 35.6 · DEL 35.7	UNCG 29 · DEL 27

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
UNCG LLLWW	2-4	33%	1-0	0-2
DEL LWWL	2-2	50%	0-1	1-2

Venue/role: UNCG neutral site, as favorite; DEL neutral site, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
UNCG OOUOU	4-2	67%	1-5
DEL UUOU	1-3	25%	1-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UNCGlast 6	1-5 17%	2-4 33%	4-2 67%
DELlast 4	1-3 25%	2-2 50%	1-3 25%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

UNCG 1–0 DELUNCG leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UNCG 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 25, 2023-24	DEL 77 vs UNCG 88	UNCG -2.5	UNCG W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

UNC Greensboro

6 games played

Straight up

1-5

17% wins

Against the spread

2-4

33% covers · avg −4.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-2

67% overs · avg +12.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-517%

L L L L L W

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-433%

L L L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

4-267%

O O O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@KSU	L 64-93	+18.5	L −10.5	148.5	O 157
Nov 8	vsELON	L 90-92	-4.5	L −6.5	142.5	O 182
Nov 12	@NCSU	L 64-110	+30.5	L −15.5	153.5	O 174
Nov 15	vsAPSU	L 63-69	-1.5	L −7.5	145.5	U 132
Nov 20	@QUC	L 94-101	+7.5	W +0.5	150.5	O 195
Nov 23	vsYSU	W 68-62	+5.5	W +11.5	152.5	U 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

KSU

L 64-93

−10.5

ELON

L 90-92

−6.5

NCSU

L 64-110

−15.5

APSU

L 63-69

−7.5

QUC

L 94-101

+0.5

YSU

W 68-62

+11.5

covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

KSU

L 64-93

+8.5

ELON

L 90-92

+39.5

NCSU

L 64-110

+20.5

APSU

L 63-69

−13.5

QUC

L 94-101

+44.5

YSU

W 68-62

−22.5

over 4under 2avg +12.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Delaware

4 games played

Straight up

1-3

25% wins

Against the spread

2-2

50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-3

25% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-325%

L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-250%

L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

1-325%

U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@BUCK	L 70-78	+2.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 148
Nov 11	@BYU	L 68-85	+35.5	W +18.5	164.5	U 153
Nov 18	vsSPU	W 81-70	-4.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 151
Nov 23	vsSIU	L 59-79	+8.5	L −11.5	153.5	U 138

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−5.5

BYU

L 68-85

+18.5

SPU

W 81-70

+6.5

SIU

L 59-79

−11.5

covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−1.5

BYU

L 68-85

−11.5

SPU

W 81-70

+13.5

SIU

L 59-79

−15.5

over 1under 3avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

UNC Greensboro vs Delaware

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

UNC Greensboro

Delaware

UNC Greensboro

Delaware