1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 7
  3. SIUE @ LIP
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 7

SIU Edwardsville Cougars at Lipscomb Bisons

Allen Arena · at Lipscomb
#256SIUESIUE
@
#214LIPLipscomb
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SIUEThis seasonLIP
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects LIP 73–68 · win probability LIP 66%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 141.0
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LIP has more of the edges

SIUE 1, LIP 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: SIUE plays 66.1 a game (306th fastest), LIP 70.8 (83rd). Faster games mean more points
LIPSmall
SIUE offense vs LIP defense
Offense 328th of 366 against a defense 226th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
SIUE has played the 365th-hardest schedule, LIP the 268th. A record against a soft schedule means less
LIPSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SIUE 17.9%, LIP 16.0%. Forced: SIUE 17.1%, LIP 17.7%
SIUESmall
Three-pointers
SIUE hits 35.0% and allows 30.2%; LIP hits 35.7% and allows 34.3%. Threes are 36.2% and 47.9% of their shots
LIPSmall
Home court
LIP at home. This season: LIP 0-0 at home, SIUE 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: SIUE 49.5 and allows 45.6; LIP 54.1 and allows 53.2
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SIUE 30.1%, LIP 25.8%. Defensive: SIUE 68.4%, LIP 69.8%
Even
LIP offense vs SIUE defense
Offense 191st of 366 against a defense 161st, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: SIUE 30.6, LIP 26.0. Allowed: SIUE 34.3, LIP 29.0
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SIUE 52%, LIP 44%. Transfers in: SIUE 2, LIP 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—LIP -4.8—
Total—141.0—
Projected score—SIUE 68.1 · LIP 72.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadLIP -2.7—
1H total66.0—
1H projected scoreSIUE 31.7 · LIP 34.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Lipscomb has the better starters

Position by position: SIUE 1, Lipscomb 3, even 1
SIUEBetterLipscomb
G G. Cobb TR9.8 pts · 2.6 reb · 3.6 ast Score 40
LIPBig
G T. Simpkins TR12.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.4 ast Score 79
G T. King10.1 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 66
LIPSmall
G M. Esmeraldo9.8 pts · 3.9 reb · 6.9 ast Score 81
G J. Pickett4.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 7
LIPSmall
F T. Sargiunas9.9 pts · 2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 28
F G. Liberis7 pts · 4.8 reb · 1 ast Score 9
Even
F O. Ashkenazi2.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 3
F D. Baker7.7 pts · 4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 40
SIUEBig
F T. Byrne TR3.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.9 ast Score 4
SIUEBetterLipscomb
SIUE offense328th of 366 · -10.6
LIPSmall
LIP defense226th of 366 · -6.0
SIUE defense161st of 366 · -3.6
Even
LIP offense191st of 366 · -5.9
Backcourt-3.6 · 3 players
LIPBig
Backcourt+3.0 · 2 players
Frontcourt-3.3 · 2 players
SIUEBig
Frontcourt-6.7 · 3 players
Bench-1.5 · 4 players
Even
Bench-1.1 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestSIUE betterLIP betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
SIUE
Guards
G. Cobb29 min · TRT. King22 minJ. Pickett20 minC. Efono9 minH. Alexander7 minD. McCaskillNew
Forwards
G. Liberis24 minD. Baker21 minI. Baganc2 minD. WilsonNewB. SohaibNewB. MillerNew
Centers
J. Martin1 min · TR
Lipscomb
Guards
T. Simpkins32 min · TRM. Esmeraldo31 minZ. WellsNewV. VisnjicNewH. TidareNewK. QuinnNew
Forwards
T. Sargiunas24 minO. Ashkenazi20 minT. Byrne16 min · TRK. Okpara13 minL. JackNewD. MartinNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SIUELIP
Scoring
67.7 #321Points per game77.6 #104
1.02 #304Points per possession1.10 #142
66.1 #306Pace (possessions)70.8 #83
Shooting
49.5 #266Effective FG%54.1 #67
35.0 #1233-point %35.7 #75
36.2 #2463-point attempt rate47.9 #24
30.6 #294Free throw rate26.0 #357
Possessions
17.9 #266Turnover rate16.0 #142
30.1 #195Offensive rebound rate25.8 #327
12.4 #255Assists per game17.2 #19
Defense
65.9 #13Points allowed77.0 #242
1.00 #26Points allowed per possession1.09 #187
45.6 #6Opponent effective FG%53.2 #273
30.2 #10Opponent 3-point %34.3 #207
17.1 #143Turnovers forced17.7 #113
68.4 #235Defensive rebound rate69.8 #171
6.9 #138Steals per game6.8 #141
4.0 #70Blocks per game2.6 #291
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

SIUE

16-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs E Illinois71–77
  • Wvs E Illinois77–50
  • Wvs W Illinois67–47
  • L@ Tennessee St53–80
  • L@ Tennessee Tech52–62

A week or more of rest.

Lipscomb

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs FGCU53–77
  • W@ E Kentucky80–77
  • L@ West Georgia78–84
  • Wvs North Alabama73–51
  • W@ Bellarmine75–72

A week or more of rest.