Clune Arena · at Air Force
Closing line
SIUE -2.5✓ AF covered by 16.5
SIUE -2.5✓ AF covered by 16.5Closing total130.5Over by 9.5
| SIUE | This season | AF |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 1-4 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 1-4 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 1-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIUE 68–65 AF · ✗ SIUE (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIUE | 27 | 36 | 63 |
| AF | 36 | 41 | 77 |
1st half: SIUE 27, AF 36 (AF by 9). The model had SIUE by 1.7 and a total of 62.3 (actual 63).
Team stats
| SIUE | AF | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-54 39% | Field goals | 23-54 43% |
| 5-20 25% | 3-pointers | 7-24 29% |
| 16-24 67% | Free throws | 24-33 73% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 26 | Fouls | 19 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SIUE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickett G | 33 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2-12 | 1-6 |
| Myles Thompson F | 32 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Ring Malith G | 32 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 7-17 | 2-8 |
| Jack Campion G | 21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Arnas Sakenis C | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jo Valrie F | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Darrion Baker F | 13 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Thomas F | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| CJ Hall G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Darius Robinson Jr. G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Corentin Efono G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler King G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Iwo Baganc, Dehrio McCaskill, Harrison Alexander
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin F | 38 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 38 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Eli Robinson F | 32 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 6-13 | 2-4 |
| Kam Sanders G | 30 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 17 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Walker F | 23 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 14 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Sam Imade, Chris Catchings, Justin Hinds, Brendan Martin, Keaton Frisch, Riley Dering, Elliott Taite, Kyle Marshall, Josh Gatete
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIUE -2.5
ModelSIUE -2.5
Model edge—
AF covered
Total
Market130.5
Model133.0
Model edgeOver 2.5
W Over
Projected score
SIUE 67.7 · AF 65.3
SIUE 63 · AF 77
Win probability
SIUE 59%
1st half
Spread
SIUE -1.7
AF -9.0
Total
62.3
63 points
Projected score
SIUE 32 · AF 30.3
SIUE 27 · AF 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIUE -2.5
no move
CloseSIUE -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open131.5
▼ 1
Close130.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SIUE -140 · AF +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIUE -2.5 · unchangedmodel SIUE -2.5 matches the line
model SIUE -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 131.5 · closed 130.5 · moved 1 downmodel 133
model 133
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIUElast 4 | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% |
| AFlast 5 | 1-4 20% | 1-4 20% | 1-4 20% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SIUE
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −15.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
UTSA
UTSAW 77-60
+23.5
10
vs
INST
INSTL 55-64
−11.5
14
@
DRKE
DRKEW 61-59
+9.5
17
@
WIS
WISL 69-94
+0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@UTSA
UTSAW 77-60
−16.5
10
vsINST
INSTL 55-64
−40.5
14
@DRKE
DRKEW 61-59
−22.5
17
@WIS
WISL 69-94
+16.5
over 1under 3avg −15.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Air Force
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
1-4
20% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vs
APSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vs
LIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vs
M-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vs
ALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 4avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
over 1under 4avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SIUE
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wisconsin69–94
- W@ Drake61–59
- Lvs Indiana St55–64
- W@ UTSA77–60
4 days since their last game.
Air Force
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alabama St66–64
- Lvs Miami OH61–76
- Lvs Long Island72–76
- Lvs Austin Peay54–74
- L@ Belmont63–79
2 days since their last game.