James T. Morris Arena · at IU Indy
#341UTMUT Martin
@
#340IUINIU Indy
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
Season records: UT Martin and IU Indy
UTMThis seasonIUIN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IUIN 76–74 · win probability IUIN 57%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
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no line yet
Total
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model 149.1
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
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No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UTM has more of the edges

UTM 4, IUIN 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UTMBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: UTM 37.4, IUIN 21.7. Allowed: UTM 35.8, IUIN 46.6
UTMBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTM 37.0%, IUIN 28.7%. Defensive: UTM 68.0%, IUIN 64.5%
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: UTM plays 66.2 a game (303rd fastest), IUIN 75.3 (4th). Faster games mean more points
UTMBig
Three-pointers
UTM hits 30.4% and allows 30.2%; IUIN hits 32.4% and allows 38.5%. Threes are 47.1% and 42.1% of their shots
IUINSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UTM 21.4%, IUIN 15.8%. Forced: UTM 20.0%, IUIN 19.2%
UTMSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UTM 48.7 and allows 46.1; IUIN 52.2 and allows 58.2
Context
Schedule so far
UTM has played the 364th-hardest schedule, IUIN the 284th. A record against a soft schedule means less
IUINSmall
Home court
IUIN at home. This season: IUIN 0-0 at home, UTM 0-0 away
Even
IUIN offense vs UTM defense
Offense 249th of 366 against a defense 276th, on the model’s ratings
Even
UTM offense vs IUIN defense
Offense 352nd of 366 against a defense 364th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTM 20%, IUIN 14%. Transfers in: UTM 1, IUIN 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—IUIN -2.1—
Total—149.1—
Projected score—UTM 73.5 · IUIN 75.6

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadIUIN -1.1—
1H total69.7—
1H projected scoreUTM 34.3 · IUIN 35.4—

The starting fives are even

Position by position: UT Martin 0, IU Indy 0, even 5
UT MartinBetterIU Indy
G F. Petkovski5.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 5
Even
G B. Smith TR8.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 18
G D. Remagen TR1.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.7 ast Not ranked
No call
G G. Etchison TR9 pts · 1.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 93
G E. Moya NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G J. Clarke TR3.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 34
F V. Khryapa2.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 5
Even
F K. Tinsley7.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 17
F G. Sulaberidze NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F R. Hagy2.1 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 2
UT MartinBetterIU Indy
UTM offense352nd of 366 · -13.0
Even
IUIN defense364th of 366 · -12.3
UTM defense276th of 366 · -7.0
Even
IUIN offense249th of 366 · -7.5
Backcourt-4.5 · 3 players
IUINSmall
Backcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.8 · 2 players
UTMSmall
Frontcourt-3.2 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestUTM betterIUIN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
UT Martin
Guards
F. Petkovski27 minD. Remagen11 min · TRE. MoyaNewR. ConleyNewS. SavkovNewN. StuknysNew
Forwards
V. Khryapa14 minG. SulaberidzeNewA. BanceviciusNewO. SambeNewG. BubnysNewA. VilkasNew
IU Indy
Guards
B. Smith24 min · TRG. Etchison14 min · TRJ. Clarke13 min · TRM. Pastorcic-StraunNewP. HeissNewT. DrexlerNew
Forwards
K. Tinsley18 minR. Hagy11 minP. IdiaruNewA. ArnettNewM. StackhouseNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UTMIUIN
Scoring
67.8 #319Points per game80.9 #49
1.03 #294Points per possession1.07 #200
66.2 #303Pace (possessions)75.3 #4
Shooting
48.7 #297Effective FG%52.2 #136
30.4 #3373-point %32.4 #258
47.1 #323-point attempt rate42.1 #134
37.4 #118Free throw rate21.7 #365
Possessions
21.4 #358Turnover rate15.8 #127
37.0 #17Offensive rebound rate28.7 #243
12.9 #222Assists per game18.9 #3
Defense
64.7 #5Points allowed89.2 #364
0.98 #11Points allowed per possession1.19 #353
46.1 #11Opponent effective FG%58.2 #362
30.2 #9Opponent 3-point %38.5 #361
20.0 #24Turnovers forced19.2 #41
68.0 #259Defensive rebound rate64.5 #348
8.3 #27Steals per game8.0 #39
4.1 #65Blocks per game2.9 #243

UT Martin

19-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-8 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Tennessee St55–68
  • Wvs E Illinois66–63
  • Lvs Tennessee St42–67
  • Wvs Tennessee Tech64–49
  • L@ Little Rock65–67

A week or more of rest.

IU Indy

5-25 in 2025-26 overall · 3-18 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Cleveland St93–101
  • Lvs Purdue FW81–87
  • Lvs Oakland74–86
  • L@ Wright St73–85
  • L@ Purdue FW78–83

A week or more of rest.