1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 20
  3. UTM vs SIU
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 20

UT Martin Skyhawks vs Southern Illinois Salukis

Elridge Blake Sports and Fitness Center · Neutral site
#341UTMUT Martin
vs
#195SIUS Illinois
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UTMThis seasonSIU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SIU 74–65 · win probability SIU 78%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 139.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SIU has more of the edges

UTM 0, SIU 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
UTM has played the 364th-hardest schedule, SIU the 139th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SIUBig
UTM offense vs SIU defense
Offense 352nd of 366 against a defense 181st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: UTM plays 66.2 a game (303rd fastest), SIU 70.6 (91st). Faster games mean more points
SIUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UTM 21.4%, SIU 17.1%. Forced: UTM 20.0%, SIU 18.5%
SIUSmall
SIU offense vs UTM defense
Offense 227th of 366 against a defense 276th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTM 37.0%, SIU 30.9%. Defensive: UTM 68.0%, SIU 72.7%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UTM 48.7 and allows 46.1; SIU 49.1 and allows 49.0
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: UTM 37.4, SIU 31.3. Allowed: UTM 35.8, SIU 31.4
Even
Three-pointers
UTM hits 30.4% and allows 30.2%; SIU hits 27.8% and allows 30.4%. Threes are 47.1% and 29.2% of their shots
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTM 20%, SIU 22%. Transfers in: UTM 1, SIU 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SIU -8.7—
Total—139.0—
Projected score—UTM 65.2 · SIU 73.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSIU -5.0—
1H total65.1—
1H projected scoreUTM 30 · SIU 35.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

S Illinois has the better starters

Position by position: UT Martin 0, S Illinois 1, even 4
UT MartinBetterS Illinois
G F. Petkovski5.5 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 5
SIUBig
G J. Haynes7.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.1 ast Score 71
G D. Remagen TR1.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.7 ast Not ranked
No call
G C. Hawkins1.1 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
G E. Moya NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F M. Pikaar1.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast Score 19
F V. Khryapa2.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 5
No call
F D. Hill NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F G. Sulaberidze NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
C J. Webber1.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
UT MartinBetterS Illinois
UTM offense352nd of 366 · -13.0
SIUBig
SIU defense181st of 366 · -4.1
UTM defense276th of 366 · -7.0
Even
SIU offense227th of 366 · -7.0
Backcourt-4.5 · 3 players
SIUBig
Backcourt+0.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.8 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.0 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestUTM betterSIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
UT Martin
Guards
F. Petkovski27 minD. Remagen11 min · TRE. MoyaNewR. ConleyNewS. SavkovNewN. StuknysNew
Forwards
V. Khryapa14 minG. SulaberidzeNewA. BanceviciusNewO. SambeNewG. BubnysNewA. VilkasNew
S Illinois
Guards
J. Haynes21 minC. Hawkins5 minB. McClureNewJ. FugateNewL. WalshNewJ. JacksonNew
Forwards
M. Pikaar11 minD. HillNewD. PauliukonisNewP. RanieriNewT. LaurNew
Centers
J. Webber7 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UTMSIU
Scoring
67.8 #319Points per game72.7 #229
1.03 #294Points per possession1.03 #285
66.2 #303Pace (possessions)70.6 #91
Shooting
48.7 #297Effective FG%49.1 #286
30.4 #3373-point %27.8 #363
47.1 #323-point attempt rate29.2 #355
37.4 #118Free throw rate31.3 #275
Possessions
21.4 #358Turnover rate17.1 #207
37.0 #17Offensive rebound rate30.9 #167
12.9 #222Assists per game13.3 #188
Defense
64.7 #5Points allowed70.5 #62
0.98 #11Points allowed per possession1.00 #25
46.1 #11Opponent effective FG%49.0 #70
30.2 #9Opponent 3-point %30.4 #17
20.0 #24Turnovers forced18.5 #74
68.0 #259Defensive rebound rate72.7 #44
8.3 #27Steals per game8.0 #38
4.1 #65Blocks per game3.4 #157
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UT Martin

19-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-8 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Tennessee St55–68
  • Wvs E Illinois66–63
  • Lvs Tennessee St42–67
  • Wvs Tennessee Tech64–49
  • L@ Little Rock65–67

A week or more of rest.

S Illinois

15-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Drake63–67
  • W@ Evansville81–67
  • Wvs Indiana St66–55
  • W@ Northern Iowa59–57
  • W@ Drake66–61

A week or more of rest.