Athletics-Recreation Center · at Valparaiso · Conference game
Closing line
VAL -1.5✓ VAL covered by 4.5
Closing total142.5Under by 10.5
| This season | VAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-11 | Record | 8-10 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 11-7 |
| 6-12 | O/U | 9-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIU 73–73 VAL · ✗ VAL (50%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 20 | 43 | 63 |
| VAL | 39 | 30 | 69 |
1st half: SIU 20, VAL 39 (VAL by 19). The model had SIU by 0.2 and a total of 68.5 (actual 59).
Team stats
| SIU | VAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-51 41% | Field goals | 21-43 49% |
| 3-14 21% | 3-pointers | 7-16 44% |
| 18-30 60% | Free throws | 20-30 67% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 31 4 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 24 | Fouls | 22 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Haynes G | 37 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 4-14 | 0-4 |
| Drew Steffe G | 35 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-5 |
| Prince Aligbe F | 27 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 27 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 27 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Max Pikaar F | 18 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jorge Moreno F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Davion Sykes G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Caden Hawkins G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jaheem Webber, Isaiah Stafford, Luke Walsh, Daniel Pauliukonis, Quel'Ron House
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shon Tupuola F | 27 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Rakim Chaney G | 26 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Owen Dease F | 25 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| JT Pettigrew F | 24 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justus McNair G | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 6-8 | 4-6 |
| Isaiah Barnes G | 16 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Sader Servilus G | 16 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mark Brown Jr. G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Tucker Tornatta F | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joe Vick, Kobe Walker, Camden Webster, Jayden Watson, Nick Lombardi
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAL -1.5
no move
CloseVAL -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
no move
Close142.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SIU +114 · VAL -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAL -1.5 · unchangedmodel SIU -0
model SIU -0
Opened 142.5 · unchangedmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VAL -1.5 | SIU -0.1 | SIU +1.6 | L VAL covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 146.3 | Over 3.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | SIU 73.2 · VAL 73.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SIU -0.2 | VAL -19.0 |
| 1H total | 68.5 | 59 |
| 1H projected score | SIU 34.3 · VAL 34.2 | SIU 20 · VAL 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | |
| 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SIU 7–1 VALSIU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SIU 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | VAL 70 @ SIU 75 | SIU -7.5 | VAL W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | VAL 83 @ SIU 79 | SIU -5.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 28, 2024-25 | SIU 79 @ VAL 75 | VAL -0.5 | SIU W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | VAL 69 @ SIU 75 | SIU -13.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | SIU 77 @ VAL 68 | VAL +9.5 | VAL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Illinois
18 games played
Straight up
7-11
39% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-12
33% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs | W 101-78 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 81-86 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 85-92 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 79-59 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 26 | @ | L 58-74 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 74-65 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ | W 86-84 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 83-54 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 84-93 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 18 | vs | L 68-75 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ | L 69-73 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 81-84 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 75-70 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @ | W 68-67 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 57-70 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 73-76 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
KC
W 101-78
+10.5
12
@
NEV
L 81-86
+6.5
17
@
NDSU
L 85-92
−5.5
23
vs
DEL
W 79-59
+11.5
24
vs
UAB
L 73-81
−5.5
26
@
MEM
L 58-74
−5.5
29
vs
LR
W 74-65
−4.5
3
@
HPU
W 86-84
+11.5
10
vs
UTM
W 83-54
+20.5
13
@
RICH
L 84-93
−5.5
18
vs
ILST
L 68-75
−8.5
21
@
BRAD
L 69-73
+2.5
29
@
MUR
L 81-84
+3.5
1
vs
VAL
W 75-70
−2.5
4
@
BEL
W 68-67
+7.5
7
@
UIC
L 57-70
−14.5
14
vs
DRKE
L 73-76
−8.5
17
vs
BEL
L 68-73
−1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vs
KC
W 101-78
+37.5
12
@
NEV
L 81-86
+14.5
17
@
NDSU
L 85-92
+23.5
23
vs
DEL
W 79-59
−15.5
24
vs
UAB
L 73-81
−7.5
26
@
MEM
L 58-74
−24.5
29
vs
LR
W 74-65
−2.5
3
@
HPU
W 86-84
+7.5
10
vs
UTM
W 83-54
−9.5
13
@
RICH
L 84-93
+23.5
18
vs
ILST
L 68-75
−10.5
21
@
BRAD
L 69-73
−10.5
29
@
MUR
L 81-84
−0.5
1
vs
VAL
W 75-70
−0.5
4
@
BEL
W 68-67
−23.5
7
@
UIC
L 57-70
−19.5
14
vs
DRKE
L 73-76
+4.5
17
vs
BEL
L 68-73
−10.5
over 6under 12avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Valparaiso
18 games played
Straight up
8-10
44% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 59-107 | +32.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 68-63 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs | W 68-50 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ | W 90-75 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 56-64 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 84-55 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 72-75 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 70-73 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 16 | @ | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs | L 79-85 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 48-58 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 66-59 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 79-92 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 74-78 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 54-44 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
EIU
W 66-63
−2.5
7
@
UK
L 59-107
−15.5
12
vs
NICH
W 68-63
+2.5
16
vs
BRY
W 68-50
+11.5
19
@
CLE
W 90-75
+17.5
26
vs
USI
L 56-64
−17.5
29
vs
WMU
W 84-55
+24.5
2
@
MARQ
L 72-75
+14.5
13
vs
UNCW
L 70-73
+1.5
16
@
NU
L 70-86
−1.5
21
vs
MUR
L 79-85
−0.5
29
@
UNI
L 48-58
−1.5
1
@
SIU
L 70-75
+2.5
4
vs
UIC
W 66-59
+4.5
7
vs
ILST
W 77-71
+12.5
10
@
MUR
L 79-92
−0.5
13
@
BEL
L 74-78
+7.5
17
vs
UNI
W 54-44
+11.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
EIU
W 66-63
−15.5
7
@
UK
L 59-107
+8.5
12
vs
NICH
W 68-63
−13.5
16
vs
BRY
W 68-50
−25.5
19
@
CLE
W 90-75
+6.5
26
vs
USI
L 56-64
−30.5
29
vs
WMU
W 84-55
−7.5
2
@
MARQ
L 72-75
+0.5
13
vs
UNCW
L 70-73
+6.5
16
@
NU
L 70-86
+10.5
21
vs
MUR
L 79-85
+8.5
29
@
UNI
L 48-58
−25.5
1
@
SIU
L 70-75
−0.5
4
vs
UIC
W 66-59
−19.5
7
vs
ILST
W 77-71
+9.5
10
@
MUR
L 79-92
+18.5
13
@
BEL
L 74-78
+5.5
17
vs
UNI
W 54-44
−32.5
over 9under 9avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Illinois
7-11 overall · 2-6 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Belmont68–73
- Lvs Drake73–76
- L@ UIC57–70
- W@ Belmont68–67
- Wvs Valparaiso75–70
4 days since their last game.
Valparaiso
8-10 overall · 3-5 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northern Iowa54–44
- L@ Belmont74–78
- L@ Murray St79–92
- Wvs Illinois St77–71
- Wvs UIC66–59
4 days since their last game.