Athletics-Recreation Center · at Valparaiso · Conference game
Closing line
VAL -2.5✓ VAL covered by 4.5
VAL -2.5✓ VAL covered by 4.5Closing total144.5Under by 19.5
 UIC | This season | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| 3-9 | Record | 5-8 |
| 5-7 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 7-5 | O/U | 6-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UIC 72–74 VAL · ✓ VAL (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UIC | 32 | 27 | 59 |
| VAL | 31 | 35 | 66 |
1st half: UIC 32, VAL 31 (UIC by 1). The model had VAL by 1.4 and a total of 68.4 (actual 63).
Team stats
| UIC | VAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-48 48% | Field goals | 15-41 37% |
| 2-12 17% | 3-pointers | 5-11 45% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 31-40 78% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 28 9 off |
| 12 | Assists | 8 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 26 | Fouls | 16 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| UIC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Johnson G | 29 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Jayce Nathaniel F | 28 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Mekhi Lowery G | 23 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Ahmad Henderson II G | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Rashund Washington Jr. G | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Abdul Momoh F | 27 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Sam Silverstein G | 24 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Crawford G | 23 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Josiah Hammons G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Ante Beljan F | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tai Walters-Whitaker, AJ Morgan, Nano Barrantes, Carlos Harris III, Chris Walker
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Pettigrew F | 35 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 5-12 | 1-1 |
| Owen Dease F | 30 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 30 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Rakim Chaney G | 25 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 23 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justus McNair G | 17 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mark Brown Jr. G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Barnes G | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tucker Tornatta F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kobe Walker, Camden Webster, Sader Servilus, Nick Lombardi, Jayden Watson, Joe Vick
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAL -3.5
1 → UIC
CloseVAL -2.5
1 pt toward UIC
Total
Open142.5
▲ 2
Close144.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UIC +130 · VAL -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAL -3.5 · closed VAL -2.5 · moved 1 toward UICmodel VAL -2.5 matches the line
model VAL -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 142.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VAL -2.5 | VAL -2.6 | VAL +0.1 | W VAL covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 146.0 | Over 1.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UIC 71.7 · VAL 74.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VAL -1.4 | UIC -1.0 |
| 1H total | 68.4 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | UIC 33.5 · VAL 34.9 | UIC 32 · VAL 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UIC | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| VAL | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UIC 5–3 VALUIC leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UIC 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | VAL 67 vs UIC 50 | UIC -3.5 | VAL W |
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | VAL 73 @ UIC 77 | UIC -6.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | UIC 81 @ VAL 74 | VAL +1.5 | UIC W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | UIC 77 @ VAL 84 | VAL +2.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | VAL 64 @ UIC 70 | UIC -12.5 | VAL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UIC
12 games played
Straight up
3-9
25% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DETM | W 91-71 | -9.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | @ ORST | L 73-76 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ CHST | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs HPU | L 80-90 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs USI | W 84-73 | -11.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | @ RMU | L 74-88 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs UAPB | L 62-63 | -16.5 | L −17.5 | 163.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 7 | @ YALE | L 66-80 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 13 | @ BEL | L 84-87 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs UNI | L 54-60 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 21 | @ CLT | L 76-88 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 1 | vs MUR | L 77-81 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDETM
DETMW 91-71
+10.5
7
@ORST
ORSTL 73-76
+3.5
15
@CHST
CHSTW 67-63
−5.5
20
vsHPU
HPUL 80-90
+0.5
22
vsUSI
USIW 84-73
−0.5
26
@RMU
RMUL 74-88
−15.5
3
vsUAPB
UAPBL 62-63
−17.5
7
@YALE
YALEL 66-80
−1.5
13
@BEL
BELL 84-87
+9.5
17
vsUNI
UNIL 54-60
−0.5
21
@CLT
CLTL 76-88
−10.5
1
vsMUR
MURL 77-81
+1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDETM
DETMW 91-71
+19.5
7
@ORST
ORSTL 73-76
+2.5
15
@CHST
CHSTW 67-63
−26.5
20
vsHPU
HPUL 80-90
+11.5
22
vsUSI
USIW 84-73
+3.5
26
@RMU
RMUL 74-88
+10.5
3
vsUAPB
UAPBL 62-63
−38.5
7
@YALE
YALEL 66-80
−2.5
13
@BEL
BELL 84-87
+16.5
17
vsUNI
UNIL 54-60
−19.5
21
@CLT
CLTL 76-88
+26.5
1
vsMUR
MURL 77-81
−1.5
over 7under 5avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Valparaiso
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EIU | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ UK | L 59-107 | +32.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs NICH | W 68-63 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs BRY | W 68-50 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ CLE | W 90-75 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | vsUSI | L 56-64 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | vs WMU | W 84-55 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ MARQ | L 72-75 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNCW | L 70-73 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 16 | @ NU | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vsMUR | L 79-85 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @UNI | L 48-58 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | @ SIU | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−17.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
+24.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+14.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+1.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
−0.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−1.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
+2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−30.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
−7.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+0.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+6.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
+10.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
+8.5
29
@UNI
UNIL 48-58
−25.5
1
@SIU
SIUL 70-75
−0.5
over 6under 7avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UIC
3-9 overall · 0-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Murray St77–81
- L@ Charlotte76–88
- Lvs Northern Iowa54–60
- L@ Belmont84–87
- L@ Yale66–80
3 days since their last game.
Valparaiso
5-8 overall · 0-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ S Illinois70–75
- L@ Northern Iowa48–58
- Lvs Murray St79–85
- L@ Northwestern70–86
- Lvs UNC Wilmington70–73
3 days since their last game.