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NCAAB · 2026-27

NCAAB games · Sunday, January 4, 2026

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Day in numbers40 finalFavorites 21-19 ATS8 upsetsO/U 18-22Model Favorite 31-9OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games4040 final · 0 to play
Lines moved301+ pt since the open · 40 with a line
Totals moved371+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS21-1953% covered
Upsets8outright
Over / Under18-2245% over
Model Favorite31-978% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
LEM @ MERCLEM -1.5 → MERC -2.54 → MERC145.5 → 141.5▼ 4
SHU @ CANSHU -2.5 → SHU -5.53 → SHU143.5 → 141.5▼ 2
MSM @ QUINQUIN -10.5 → QUIN -7.53 → MSM149.5 → 150.5▲ 1
RMU @ OAKOAK -4.5 → OAK -1.53 → RMU159.5 → 161.5▲ 2
NMSU @ MOSTNMSU -1.5 → MOST -1.53 → MOST135.5 → 134.5▼ 1
USD @ SCUSCU -14.5 → SCU -17.53 → SCU162.5 → 161.5▼ 1
IONA @ MRSTMRST -4.5 → MRST -4.5no move142.5 → 148.5▲ 6
INST @ DRKEDRKE -5.5 → DRKE -6.51 → DRKE144.5 → 149.5▲ 5
UNI @ EVANUNI -4.5 → UNI -4.5no move126.5 → 131.5▲ 5
UAB @ USFUSF -6.5 → USF -8.52 → USF162.5 → 163.5▲ 1
Top 10 of 39; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalConference
Richmond
9-4 · #104
83
Fordham
6-5 · #100
75
Spread
RICH -2.5
✓ RICH W ATS
Total
142.5 ▲1
▲ Over 158
Projected
71–71
✓ RICH won
Model: FOR by 2.3 ✗ Model: Under 0.4 ✗
FinalConference
Creighton
9-5 · #37
54
Seton Hall
12-2 · #67
56
Spread
HALL -3.5
✓ CREI W ATS
Total
143.5 ▲3
▼ Under 110
Projected
69–70
✓ HALL won
Model: CREI by 3.2 ✓ Model: Under 4.3 ✓
FinalConference
Sacred Heart
4-10 · #311
78
Canisius
5-8 · #359
82
Spread
SHU -5.5
✓ CAN W ATS
Total
141.5 ▼2
▲ Over 160
Projected
73–68
✗ SHU lost
Model: CAN by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 0.2 ✓
FinalConference
Manhattan
6-8 · #330
66
Merrimack
8-7 · #225
73
Spread
MRMK -6.5
✓ MRMK W ATS
Total
148.5 ▲3
▼ Under 139
Projected
71–78
✓ MRMK won
Model: MRMK by 0.3 ✓ Model: Over 0.5 ✗
FinalConference
FAU
7-5 · #109
66
Tulane
9-4 · #130
69
Spread
FAU -3.5
✓ TULN W ATS
Total
158.5 ▲2
▼ Under 135
Projected
81–76
✗ FAU lost
Model: FAU by 0.7 ✗ Model: Under 1.7 ✓
FinalConference
UAB
8-5 · #102
109
South Florida
7-5 · #84
106
Spread
USF -8.5
✓ UAB W ATS
Total
163.5 ▲1
▲ Over 215
Projected
79–85
✗ USF lost
Model: UAB by 2.0 ✓ Model: Over 0.9 ✓
FinalConference
Denver
5-8 · #263
88
St Thomas
8-4 · #212
92
Spread
STMN -11.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
163.5 ▲2
▲ Over 180
Projected
75–86
✓ STMN won
Model: DEN by 1.2 ✓ Model: Under 2.5 ✗
FinalConference
New Haven
3-8 · #355
61
C Connecticut
4-6 · #337
72
Spread
CCSU -7.5
✓ CCSU W ATS
Total
130.5 ▲1
▲ Over 133
Projected
64–69
✓ CCSU won
Model: NHVN by 1.9 ✗ Model: Over 2.6 ✓
FinalConference
Marquette
5-9 · #42
57
UConn
13-1 · #6 AP #4
73
Spread
CONN -17.5
✓ MARQ W ATS
Total
144.5
▼ Under 130
Projected
64–83
✓ CONN won
Model: CONN by 0.8 ✗ Model: Over 2.2 ✗
FinalConference
Cleveland St
2-10 · #315
71
Purdue FW
5-8 · #249
74
Spread
PFW -11.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
159.5 ▲2
▼ Under 145
Projected
75–85
✓ PFW won
Model: CLE by 2.0 ✓
FinalConference
Wright St
6-7 · #180
81
IU Indy
2-12 · #340
77
Spread
WRST -8.5
✓ IUIN W ATS
Total
162.5 ▼2
▼ Under 158
Projected
88–78
✓ WRST won
Model: WRST by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.8 ✗
FinalConference
Siena
9-5 · #260
74
Rider
0-11 · #347
65
Spread
SIE -8.5
✓ SIE W ATS
Total
135.5 ▲1
▲ Over 139
Projected
72–63
✓ SIE won
Model: RID by 0.1 ✗ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
FinalConference
Mount St Marys
4-10 · #278
69
Quinnipiac
9-5 · #241
80
Spread
QUIN -7.5
✓ QUIN W ATS
Total
150.5 ▲1
▼ Under 149
Projected
70–80
✓ QUIN won
Model: QUIN by 3.1 ✓ Model: Under 0.9 ✓
FinalConference
Fairfield
7-7 · #239
83
Niagara
3-9 · #346
75
Spread
FAIR -3.5
✓ FAIR W ATS
Total
138.5 ▼1
▲ Over 158
Projected
72–69
✓ FAIR won
Model: NIA by 0.6 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓
FinalConference
Iona
10-5 · #233
38
Marist
7-5 · #236
83
Spread
MRST -4.5
✓ MRST W ATS
Total
148.5 ▲6
▼ Under 121
Projected
69–74
✓ MRST won
Model: Under 5.3 ✓
FinalConference
Long Island
7-7 · #324
74
Chicago St
1-12 · #362
55
Spread
LIU -7.5
✓ LIU W ATS
Total
151.5 ▼1
▼ Under 129
Projected
79–74
✓ LIU won
Model: CHST by 1.8 ✗ Model: Over 1.6 ✗
FinalConference
Le Moyne
5-8 · #332
60
Mercyhurst
3-9 · #331
74
Spread
MERC -2.5
✓ MERC W ATS
Total
141.5 ▼4
▼ Under 134
Projected
70–72
✓ MERC won
Model: LEM by 1.1 ✗ Model: Over 0.7 ✗
FinalConference
Kennesaw St
5-5 · #148
52
Delaware
4-8 · #206
67
Spread
KENN -8.5
✓ DEL W ATS
Total
148.5 ▼4
▼ Under 119
Projected
82–75
✗ KENN lost
Model: DEL by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 7.8 ✗
FinalConference
Jax State
4-6 · #198
69
Liberty
7-3 · #160
78
Spread
LIB -9.5
✓ JXST W ATS
Total
134.5
▲ Over 147
Projected
64–73
✓ LIB won
Model: JXST by 0.4 ✓ Model: Over 1.8 ✓
FinalConference
Sam Houston
5-5 · #189
67
MTSU
5-5 · #154
68
Spread
MTSU -4.5
✓ SHSU W ATS
Total
156.5 ▼1
▼ Under 135
Projected
76–81
✓ MTSU won
Model: MTSU by 0.8 ✗ Model: Over 0.4 ✗
FinalConference
UIC
3-9 · #110
59
Valparaiso
5-8 · #176
66
Spread
VAL -2.5
✓ VAL W ATS
Total
144.5 ▲2
▼ Under 125
Projected
72–74
✓ VAL won
Model: VAL by 0.1 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✗
FinalConference
Indiana St
6-7 · #207
72
Drake
5-7 · #144
74
Spread
DRKE -6.5
✓ INST W ATS
Total
149.5 ▲5
▼ Under 146
Projected
72–79
✓ DRKE won
Model: Over 1.7 ✗
FinalConference
Robert Morris
9-5 · #168
73
Oakland
6-8 · #204
96
Spread
OAK -1.5
✓ OAK W ATS
Total
161.5 ▲2
▲ Over 169
Projected
78–84
✓ OAK won
Model: OAK by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.1 ✓
FinalConference
Louisiana Tech
5-5 · #244
61
Western KY
6-5 · #129
66
Spread
WKU -9.5
✓ LT W ATS
Total
145.5 ▲3
▼ Under 127
Projected
68–76
✓ WKU won
Model: LT by 2.0 ✓ Model: Under 1.7 ✓
FinalConference
New Mexico St
5-4 · #133
82
Missouri St
5-5 · #250
89
Spread
MOST -1.5
✓ MOST W ATS
Total
134.5 ▼1
▲ Over 171
Projected
70–67
✗ NMSU lost
Model: NMSU by 4.2 ✗ Model: Over 2.4 ✓
FinalConference
Northern Iowa
10-3 · #131
62
Evansville
2-11 · #255
48
Spread
UNI -4.5
✓ UNI W ATS
Total
131.5 ▲5
▼ Under 110
Projected
67–60
✓ UNI won
Model: UNI by 3.1 ✓ Model: Under 4.5 ✓
FinalConference
Tulsa
11-1 · #108
67
North Texas
7-5 · #112
72
Spread
TLSA -2.5
✓ UNT W ATS
Total
138.5 ▼1
▲ Over 139
Projected
72–69
✗ TLSA lost
Model: TLSA by 0.8 ✗ Model: Over 2.2 ✓
FinalConference
Youngstown St
6-7 · #265
79
N Kentucky
8-5 · #230
94
Spread
NKU -4.5
✓ NKU W ATS
Total
146.5
▲ Over 173
Projected
72–75
✓ NKU won
Model: YSU by 2.3 ✗ Model: Over 0.6 ✓
FinalConference
Stonehill
1-11 · #349
69
Wagner
3-6 · #354
60
Spread
WAG -7.5
✓ STO W ATS
Total
139.5 ▲3
▼ Under 129
Projected
66–73
✗ WAG lost
Model: STO by 0.8 ✓ Model: Under 0.4 ✓
FinalConference
FDU
1-10 · #356
82
Saint Francis Red Wolves
0-12 · #88
85
Spread
FDU -2.5
✓ SFPA W ATS
Total
143.5 ▼2
▲ Over 167
Projected
74–72
✗ FDU lost
Model: FDU by 0.3 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓
FinalConference
UTEP
1-9 · #190
64
FIU
5-5 · #178
76
Spread
FIU -6.5
✓ FIU W ATS
Total
152.5 ▲2
▼ Under 140
Projected
73–79
✓ FIU won
Model: UTEP by 0.4 ✗ Model: Under 0.1 ✓
FinalConference
Bradley
9-5 · #167
66
Murray St
12-3 · #132
86
Spread
MUR -5.5
✓ MUR W ATS
Total
162.5 ▲2
▼ Under 152
Projected
78–82
✓ MUR won
Model: BRAD by 1.1 ✗ Model: Under 3.0 ✓
FinalConference
S Illinois
6-8 · #195
68
Belmont
12-2 · #138
67
Spread
BEL -6.5
✓ SIU W ATS
Total
158.5 ▼1
▼ Under 135
Projected
77–83
✗ BEL lost
Model: SIU by 0.4 ✓ Model: Over 0.8 ✗
FinalConference
San Diego
5-9 · #146
70
Santa Clara
11-4 · #106
98
Spread
SCU -17.5
✓ SCU W ATS
Total
161.5 ▼1
▲ Over 168
Projected
71–87
✓ SCU won
Model: USD by 1.9 ✗ Model: Under 4.0 ✗
FinalConference
Portland
5-9 · #169
68
San Francisco
9-6 · #161
73
Spread
SF -11.5
✓ PORT W ATS
Total
147.5 ▼1
▼ Under 141
Projected
68–81
✓ SF won
Model: SF by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 1.0 ✗
FinalConference
Pepperdine
3-11 · #172
69
Pacific
8-6 · #163
74
Spread
PAC -11.5
✓ PEPP W ATS
Total
138.5 ▲1
▲ Over 143
Projected
64–75
✓ PAC won
Model: PEPP by 0.3 ✓ Model: Over 1.0 ✓
FinalConference
Oregon St
8-8 · #99
67
Washington St
6-9 · #139
81
Spread
WSU -6.5
✓ WSU W ATS
Total
140.5 ▼4
▲ Over 148
Projected
70–76
✓ WSU won
Model: ORST by 1.0 ✗ Model: Over 5.7 ✓
FinalConference
Seattle U
10-4 · #119
76
Saint Mary's
13-2 · #97
93
Spread
SMC -11.5
✓ SMC W ATS
Total
139.5 ▲1
▲ Over 169
Projected
62–74
✓ SMC won
Model: SMC by 0.6 ✓ Model: Under 3.3 ✗
FinalConference
Washington
9-4 · #56
80
Indiana
10-3 · #38
90
Spread
IU -9.5
✓ IU W ATS
Total
152.5 ▲3
▲ Over 170
Projected
73–80
✓ IU won
Model: WASH by 2.9 ✗ Model: Over 0.4 ✓
FinalConference
LMU
9-6 · #121
47
Gonzaga
15-1 · #17 AP #7
82
Spread
GONZ -25.5
✓ GONZ W ATS
Total
154.5 ▲1
▼ Under 129
Projected
64–87
✓ GONZ won
Model: LMU by 2.6 ✗ Model: Under 3.1 ✓
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
Richmond
9-4 · #104
83
Fordham
6-5 · #100
75
 RICH -2.5 142.5 RICH -0.2 FOR +2.3 142.1 Under 0.4 51% RICH L L ›
Final
Creighton
9-5 · #37
54
Seton Hall
12-2 · #67
56
 HALL -3.5 143.5 HALL -0.3 CREI +3.2 139.2 Under 4.3 51% HALL W W ›
Final
Sacred Heart
4-10 · #311
78
Canisius
5-8 · #359
82
 SHU -5.5 141.5 SHU -5.0 CAN +0.5 141.7 Over 0.2 67% SHU W W ›
Final
Manhattan
6-8 · #330
66
Merrimack
8-7 · #225
73
 MRMK -6.5 148.5 MRMK -6.8 MRMK +0.3 149.0 Over 0.5 73% MRMK W L ›
Final
FAU
7-5 · #109
66
Tulane
9-4 · #130
69
 FAU -3.5 158.5 FAU -4.2 FAU +0.7 156.8 Under 1.7 64% FAU L W ›
Final
UAB
8-5 · #102
109
South Florida
7-5 · #84
106
 USF -8.5 163.5 USF -6.5 UAB +2.0 164.4 Over 0.9 72% USF W W ›
Final
Denver
5-8 · #263
88
St Thomas
8-4 · #212
92
 STMN -11.5 163.5 STMN -10.3 DEN +1.2 161.0 Under 2.5 82% STMN W L ›
Final
New Haven
3-8 · #355
61
C Connecticut
4-6 · #337
72
 CCSU -7.5 130.5 CCSU -5.6 NHVN +1.9 133.1 Over 2.6 69% CCSU L W ›
Final
Marquette
5-9 · #42
57
UConn
13-1 · #6
73
 CONN -17.5 144.5 CONN -18.3 CONN +0.8 146.7 Over 2.2 94% CONN L L ›
Final
Cleveland St
2-10 · #315
71
Purdue FW
5-8 · #249
74
 PFW -11.5 159.5 PFW -9.5 CLE +2.0 159.5 — 80% PFW W ›
Final
Wright St
6-7 · #180
81
IU Indy
2-12 · #340
77
 WRST -8.5 162.5 WRST -10.0 WRST +1.5 166.3 Over 3.8 81% WRST L L ›
Final
Siena
9-5 · #260
74
Rider
0-11 · #347
65
 SIE -8.5 135.5 SIE -8.4 RID +0.1 135.0 Under 0.5 77% SIE L L ›
Final
Mount St Marys
4-10 · #278
69
Quinnipiac
9-5 · #241
80
 QUIN -7.5 150.5 QUIN -10.6 QUIN +3.1 149.6 Under 0.9 82% QUIN W W ›
Final
Fairfield
7-7 · #239
83
Niagara
3-9 · #346
75
 FAIR -3.5 138.5 FAIR -2.9 NIA +0.6 141.0 Over 2.5 60% FAIR L W ›
Final
Iona
10-5 · #233
38
Marist
7-5 · #236
83
 MRST -4.5 148.5 MRST -4.5 — 143.2 Under 5.3 65% MRST W ›
Final
Long Island
7-7 · #324
74
Chicago St
1-12 · #362
55
 LIU -7.5 151.5 LIU -5.7 CHST +1.8 153.1 Over 1.6 69% LIU L L ›
Final
Le Moyne
5-8 · #332
60
Mercyhurst
3-9 · #331
74
 MERC -2.5 141.5 MERC -1.4 LEM +1.1 142.2 Over 0.7 55% MERC L L ›
Final
Kennesaw St
5-5 · #148
52
Delaware
4-8 · #206
67
 KENN -8.5 148.5 KENN -7.0 DEL +1.5 156.3 Over 7.8 73% KENN W L ›
Final
Jax State
4-6 · #198
69
Liberty
7-3 · #160
78
 LIB -9.5 134.5 LIB -9.1 JXST +0.4 136.3 Over 1.8 79% LIB W W ›
Final
Sam Houston
5-5 · #189
67
MTSU
5-5 · #154
68
 MTSU -4.5 156.5 MTSU -5.3 MTSU +0.8 156.9 Over 0.4 68% MTSU L L ›
Final
UIC
3-9 · #110
59
Valparaiso
5-8 · #176
66
 VAL -2.5 144.5 VAL -2.6 VAL +0.1 146.0 Over 1.5 59% VAL W L ›
Final
Indiana St
6-7 · #207
72
Drake
5-7 · #144
74
 DRKE -6.5 149.5 DRKE -6.5 — 151.2 Over 1.7 71% DRKE L ›
Final
Robert Morris
9-5 · #168
73
Oakland
6-8 · #204
96
 OAK -1.5 161.5 OAK -6.0 OAK +4.5 162.6 Over 1.1 70% OAK W W ›
Final
Louisiana Tech
5-5 · #244
61
Western KY
6-5 · #129
66
 WKU -9.5 145.5 WKU -7.5 LT +2.0 143.8 Under 1.7 74% WKU W W ›
Final
New Mexico St
5-4 · #133
82
Missouri St
5-5 · #250
89
 MOST -1.5 134.5 NMSU -2.7 NMSU +4.2 136.9 Over 2.4 59% NMSU L W ›
Final
Northern Iowa
10-3 · #131
62
Evansville
2-11 · #255
48
 UNI -4.5 131.5 UNI -7.6 UNI +3.1 127.0 Under 4.5 75% UNI W W ›
Final
Tulsa
11-1 · #108
67
North Texas
7-5 · #112
72
 TLSA -2.5 138.5 TLSA -3.3 TLSA +0.8 140.7 Over 2.2 61% TLSA L W ›
Final
Youngstown St
6-7 · #265
79
N Kentucky
8-5 · #230
94
 NKU -4.5 146.5 NKU -2.2 YSU +2.3 147.1 Over 0.6 58% NKU L W ›
Final
Stonehill
1-11 · #349
69
Wagner
3-6 · #354
60
 WAG -7.5 139.5 WAG -6.7 STO +0.8 139.1 Under 0.4 72% WAG W W ›
Final
FDU
1-10 · #356
82
Saint Francis Red Wolves
0-12 · #88
85
 FDU -2.5 143.5 FDU -2.8 FDU +0.3 146.0 Over 2.5 59% FDU L W ›
Final
UTEP
1-9 · #190
64
FIU
5-5 · #178
76
 FIU -6.5 152.5 FIU -6.1 UTEP +0.4 152.4 Under 0.1 70% FIU L W ›
Final
Bradley
9-5 · #167
66
Murray St
12-3 · #132
86
 MUR -5.5 162.5 MUR -4.4 BRAD +1.1 159.5 Under 3.0 65% MUR L W ›
Final
S Illinois
6-8 · #195
68
Belmont
12-2 · #138
67
 BEL -6.5 158.5 BEL -6.1 SIU +0.4 159.3 Over 0.8 70% BEL W L ›
Final
San Diego
5-9 · #146
70
Santa Clara
11-4 · #106
98
 SCU -17.5 161.5 SCU -15.6 USD +1.9 157.5 Under 4.0 91% SCU L L ›
Final
Portland
5-9 · #169
68
San Francisco
9-6 · #161
73
 SF -11.5 147.5 SF -13.0 SF +1.5 148.5 Over 1.0 87% SF L L ›
Final
Pepperdine
3-11 · #172
69
Pacific
8-6 · #163
74
 PAC -11.5 138.5 PAC -11.2 PEPP +0.3 139.5 Over 1.0 84% PAC W W ›
Final
Oregon St
8-8 · #99
67
Washington St
6-9 · #139
81
 WSU -6.5 140.5 WSU -5.5 ORST +1.0 146.2 Over 5.7 68% WSU L W ›
Final
Seattle U
10-4 · #119
76
Saint Mary's
13-2 · #97
93
 SMC -11.5 139.5 SMC -12.1 SMC +0.6 136.2 Under 3.3 86% SMC W L ›
Final
Washington
9-4 · #56
80
Indiana
10-3 · #38
90
 IU -9.5 152.5 IU -6.6 WASH +2.9 152.9 Over 0.4 72% IU L W ›
Final
LMU
9-6 · #121
47
Gonzaga
15-1 · #17
82
 GONZ -25.5 154.5 GONZ -22.9 LMU +2.6 151.4 Under 3.1 98% GONZ L W ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record