Liberty Arena (VA) · at Liberty · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -9.5✓ JXST covered by 0.5
LIB -9.5✓ JXST covered by 0.5Closing total134.5Over by 12.5
 JXST | This season | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 7-3 |
| 2-8 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 7-3 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JXST 64–73 LIB · ✓ LIB (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JXST | 27 | 42 | 69 |
| LIB | 27 | 51 | 78 |
1st half: JXST 27, LIB 27 (tied). The model had LIB by 5.3 and a total of 63.9 (actual 54).
Team stats
| JXST | LIB | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-57 40% | Field goals | 24-54 44% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 17-19 89% | Free throws | 22-28 79% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 14 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Bryant G | 38 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 7-13 | 5-11 |
| Jacoby Hill G | 31 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-0 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 29 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3-15 | 0-4 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. G | 26 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 22 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 29 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 8-11 | 1-1 |
| Jaye Nash G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Toby Nnadozie G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Connor Loy, Jordan Vick, Aitor Anabitarte, Aidan Driggers, Jamar Franklin, Ben Vungo, Thomas Tut
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Metheny G | 38 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 7-13 | 5-9 |
| Colin Porter G | 37 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Zach Cleveland F | 34 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 32 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-5 |
| JJ Harper G | 28 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith F | 21 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Zander Carter G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zander Yates F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: TJ Drain, Brady Kester, Torr Sorensen, Isaiah Ihnen, Drew Grimes, JC Shirer Jr.
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -10.5
1 → JXST
CloseLIB -9.5
1 pt toward JXST
Total
Open134.5
no move
Close134.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
JXST +410 · LIB -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -10.5 · closed LIB -9.5 · moved 1 toward JXSTmodel LIB -9
model LIB -9
Opened 134.5 · unchangedmodel 136.5
model 136.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LIB -9.5 | LIB -9.1 | JXST +0.4 | W JXST covered |
| Total | 134.5 | 136.3 | Over 1.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | JXST 63.6 · LIB 72.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LIB -5.3 | PK |
| 1H total | 63.9 | 54 |
| 1H projected score | JXST 29.3 · LIB 34.6 | JXST 27 · LIB 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JXST | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
| LIB | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
JXST 4–4 LIBSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · LIB has won the last 2 meetings · JXST 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | JXST 67 vs LIB 79 | LIB -5.5 | LIB W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | JXST 55 @ LIB 59 | LIB -6.5 | JXST W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | LIB 61 @ JXST 72 | JXST +3.5 | JXST W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | LIB 62 @ JXST 73 | JXST +5.5 | JXST W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | JXST 61 @ LIB 51 | LIB -11.5 | JXST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jax State
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
2-8
20% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14 | vs CCU | W 74-67 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs USA | L 65-71 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARST | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs NDSU | L 43-56 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Dec 1 | vs UNA | L 66-73 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ GAST | L 73-77 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 17 | vs EKU | L 59-62 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 20 | @ ETSU | W 81-75 | +9.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 29 | vs WKU | W 78-67 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | @ DEL | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
−0.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
−8.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−6.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−9.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
−13.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
−7.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−5.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+15.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+13.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
−1.5
covered 2didn’t cover 8avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
+1.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
+0.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−18.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−43.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
+4.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
+10.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−21.5
20
@ETSU
ETSUW 81-75
+21.5
29
vsWKU
WKUW 78-67
+2.5
2
@DEL
DELW 67-64
+4.5
over 7under 3avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Liberty
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @ FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vs KENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
over 5under 5avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jax State
4-6 overall · 2-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Delaware67–64
- Wvs Western KY78–67
- W@ ETSU81–75
- Lvs E Kentucky59–62
- L@ Georgia St73–77
2 days since their last game.
Liberty
7-3 overall · 2-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kennesaw St81–73
- W@ FIU97–94
- W@ Dayton64–61
- L@ NC State45–85
- Wvs Coppin St92–50
2 days since their last game.