Murphy Center · at MTSU · Conference game
Closing line
MTSU -4.5✓ SHSU covered by 3.5
MTSU -4.5✓ SHSU covered by 3.5Closing total156.5Under by 21.5
 SHSU | This season | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 5-5 |
| 8-2 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 8-2 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SHSU 76–81 MTSU · ✓ MTSU (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 34 | 33 | 67 |
| MTSU | 34 | 34 | 68 |
1st half: SHSU 34, MTSU 34 (tied). The model had MTSU by 3.1 and a total of 73.5 (actual 68).
Team stats
| SHSU | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 24-62 39% |
| 5-11 45% | 3-pointers | 11-29 38% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 9-10 90% |
| 40 10 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 10 |
| 7 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| SHSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Po'Boigh King G | 31 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Veljko Ilic F | 30 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| Damon Nicholas Jr. G | 29 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-1 |
| Kashie Natt G | 20 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Justin Begg G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Walker G | 24 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Isaiah Manning G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jacobe Coleman G | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| CJ Beaumont G | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaxson Ford F | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Matt Dann F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nathan Nguyen, Noah Benny, Cheikh Sadibou Ndiaye, Jackson Rogers
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Oglesby G | 36 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-7 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 33 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 5-9 | 4-5 |
| Chris Loofe F | 29 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-4 |
| Kamari Lands G | 28 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-13 | 1-5 |
| Torey Alston F | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sean Smith G | 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-2 |
| Tre Green G | 17 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jarred Hall, Marcus Whitlock Jr., Savon Wykle, Brandon Oloumou, Jax Howard, Charvez Ambrose, James Dent Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMTSU -4.5
ModelMTSU -5.3
Model edgeMTSU +0.8
L SHSU covered
Total
Market156.5
Model156.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
L Under
Projected score
SHSU 75.8 · MTSU 81.1
SHSU 67 · MTSU 68
Win probability
MTSU 68%
1st half
Spread
MTSU -3.1
tied
Total
73.5
68 points
Projected score
SHSU 35.2 · MTSU 38.3
SHSU 34 · MTSU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTSU -5.5
1 → SHSU
CloseMTSU -4.5
1 pt toward SHSU
Total
Open157.5
▼ 1
Close156.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SHSU +180 · MTSU -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTSU -5.5 · closed MTSU -4.5 · moved 1 toward SHSUmodel MTSU -5.5
model MTSU -5.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 downmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% |
| MTSU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SHSU 2–2 MTSUSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · MTSU has won the last 2 meetings · SHSU 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | SHSU 70 @ MTSU 74 | MTSU -4.5 | SHSU W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | MTSU 77 @ SHSU 75 | SHSU +1.5 | MTSU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | MTSU 64 @ SHSU 81 | SHSU -8.5 | SHSU W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | SHSU 60 @ MTSU 51 | MTSU +1.5 | SHSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sam Houston
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
8-2
80% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-2
80% overs · avg +8.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ TTU | L 77-98 | +31.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTAH | L 79-85 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs WYO | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDST | W 84-81 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDHO | W 94-68 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | @ OKST | L 83-93 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 6 | @ TXSO | W 82-70 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORST | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ NMSU | L 78-87 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @ WKU | L 91-102 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+10.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+6.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
+6.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+1.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+27.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+3.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
+4.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+13.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
−3.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
−5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 2avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+18.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+4.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
−8.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+22.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+7.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+6.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
−6.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+6.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
+11.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
+24.5
over 8under 2avg +8.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
MTSU
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ EVAN | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ MICH | L 61-86 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs MUR | W 90-87 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs GW | L 79-92 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MCN | L 62-72 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | vs UAB | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs BEL | L 62-83 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vs KENN | W 68-67 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ HOU | L 60-69 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 2 | vs LT | W 88-51 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−17.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−2.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
+16.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+30.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−25.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
−9.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+4.5
over 4under 6avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sam Houston
5-5 overall · 0-2 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Western KY91–102
- L@ New Mexico St78–87
- W@ Oregon St85–75
- W@ Texas Southern82–70
- L@ Oklahoma St83–93
2 days since their last game.
MTSU
5-5 overall · 2-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Louisiana Tech88–51
- L@ Houston60–69
- Wvs Kennesaw St68–67
- Lvs Belmont62–83
- Wvs UAB76–61
2 days since their last game.