Pan American Center · at New Mexico St · Conference game
Closing line
NMSU -5.5✓ NMSU covered by 3.5
NMSU -5.5✓ NMSU covered by 3.5Closing total153.5Over by 11.5
 SHSU | This season | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 4-3 |
| 8-0 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 6-2 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SHSU 75–78 NMSU · ✓ NMSU (61%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 28 | 50 | 78 |
| NMSU | 48 | 39 | 87 |
1st half: SHSU 28, NMSU 48 (NMSU by 20). The model had NMSU by 1.8 and a total of 71.6 (actual 76).
Team stats
| SHSU | NMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-68 37% | Field goals | 35-68 51% |
| 10-31 32% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 18-26 69% | Free throws | 8-11 73% |
| 43 17 off | Rebounds | 35 7 off |
| 8 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SHSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damon Nicholas Jr. G | 29 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3-11 | 0-3 |
| Kashie Natt G | 28 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Po'Boigh King G | 28 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Justin Begg G | 26 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 7-15 | 4-10 |
| Veljko Ilic F | 20 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Manning G | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Jacobe Coleman G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Jacob Walker G | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Jaxson Ford F | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Matt Dann F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| CJ Beaumont G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Rogers, Cheikh Sadibou Ndiaye, Noah Benny, Nathan Nguyen
| NMSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Mims F | 29 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz G | 28 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 3-8 |
| Gabe Pickens G | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jemel Jones G | 18 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Cyr Malonga C | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Elliott G | 22 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 8-13 | 2-4 |
| Jayland Randall G | 20 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kyrese Mullen F | 14 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Chris Terrell G | 12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Augustine Ekwe C | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Teysean Eaglestaff, Christian Villegas, Omarr Smith, Amarco Doyle
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNMSU -1.5
4 → NMSU
CloseNMSU -5.5
4 pts toward NMSU
Total
Open156.5
▼ 3
Close153.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
SHSU +180 · NMSU -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NMSU -1.5 · closed NMSU -5.5 · moved 4 toward NMSUmodel NMSU -3
model NMSU -3
Opened 156.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 3 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NMSU -5.5 | NMSU -3.1 | SHSU +2.4 | L NMSU covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 152.9 | Under 0.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | SHSU 74.9 · NMSU 78 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NMSU -1.8 | NMSU -20.0 |
| 1H total | 71.6 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | SHSU 34.9 · NMSU 36.7 | SHSU 28 · NMSU 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSUlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 8-0 100% | 6-2 75% |
| NMSUlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 4-3 57% | 5-2 71% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
SHSU 5–1 NMSUSHSU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · SHSU 5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | NMSU 69 @ SHSU 76 | SHSU -1.5 | SHSU W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | SHSU 71 @ NMSU 75 | NMSU -0.5 | NMSU W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | SHSU 79 @ NMSU 58 | NMSU +1.5 | SHSU W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | NMSU 67 @ SHSU 79 | SHSU -5 | SHSU W |
| Dec 31, 2022-23 | SHSU 75 @ NMSU 62 | NMSU -1.5 | SHSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sam Houston
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
8-0
100% covers · avg +9.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ TTU | L 77-98 | +31.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTAH | L 79-85 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs WYO | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDST | W 84-81 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDHO | W 94-68 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | @ OKST | L 83-93 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 6 | @ TXSO | W 82-70 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORST | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+10.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+6.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
+6.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+1.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+27.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+3.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
+4.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+13.5
covered 8didn’t cover 0avg +9.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+18.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+4.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
−8.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+22.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+7.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+6.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
−6.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+6.5
over 6under 2avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Mexico St
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
15
vs
UNM
UNMW 76-68
+11.5
21
vs
SAM
SAMW 81-72
+0.5
25
vs
UCI
UCIW 57-45
+14.5
26
vs
GAST
GASTW 77-58
+6.5
2
vs
USA
USAL 75-77
−4.5
6
@
ACU
ACUL 69-77
−9.5
13
vs
TLSA
TLSAL 70-83
−8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+4.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+7.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
−37.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
−1.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
+16.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
+14.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
+6.5
over 5under 2avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sam Houston
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oregon St85–75
- W@ Texas Southern82–70
- L@ Oklahoma St83–93
- Wvs Idaho94–68
- Wvs Idaho St84–81
4 days since their last game.
New Mexico St
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tulsa70–83
- L@ Abilene Chrstn69–77
- Lvs South Alabama75–77
- Wvs Georgia St77–58
- Wvs UC Irvine57–45
A week or more of rest.