Wintrust Arena · at DePaul · Conference game
Closing line
CONN -12.5✓ CONN covered by 5.5
CONN -12.5✓ CONN covered by 5.5Closing total133.5Under by 7.5
| CONN | This season | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| 11-1 | Record | 8-4 |
| 4-8 | ATS | 8-4 |
| 4-8 | O/U | 4-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CONN 77–62 DEP · ✓ CONN (90%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN | 33 | 39 | 72 |
| DEP | 30 | 24 | 54 |
1st half: CONN 33, DEP 30 (CONN by 3). The model had CONN by 8.8 and a total of 65.2 (actual 63).
Team stats
| CONN | DEP | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-57 47% | Field goals | 20-55 36% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 3-13 23% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 11-21 52% |
| 40 11 off | Rebounds | 28 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 7 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 8 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| CONN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban F | 36 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 7-12 | 3-6 |
| Silas Demary Jr. G | 31 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Braylon Mullins G | 29 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. C | 27 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Jaylin Stewart F | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Ross F | 24 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Malachi Smith G | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Eric Reibe C | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Alec Millender G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Rrezon Elezaj C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Uros Paunovic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Furphy G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Ross, Solo Ball, Dwayne Koroma
| DEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Smith G | 35 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Layden Blocker G | 29 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5-13 | 1-5 |
| Kaleb Banks F | 29 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| CJ Gunn G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| NJ Benson F | 23 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 3-12 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kruz McClure G | 27 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Fabian Flores C | 17 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Maclin G | 11 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Ilija Milijasevic G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Theo Pierre-Justin, Nate Kasher, Amsal Delalic, Khaman Maker, Isaiah Medina, Jeremy Lorenz, Jonas Johnson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCONN -12.5
ModelCONN -14.4
Model edgeCONN +1.9
W CONN covered
Total
Market133.5
Model139.2
Model edgeOver 5.7
L Under
Projected score
CONN 76.8 · DEP 62.4
CONN 72 · DEP 54
Win probability
CONN 90%
1st half
Spread
CONN -8.8
CONN -3.0
Total
65.2
63 points
Projected score
CONN 37 · DEP 28.2
CONN 33 · DEP 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCONN -14.5
2 → DEP
CloseCONN -12.5
2 pts toward DEP
Total
Open136.5
▼ 3
Close133.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
CONN -1050 · DEP +675
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CONN -14.5 · closed CONN -12.5 · moved 2 toward DEPmodel CONN -14.5
model CONN -14.5
Opened 136.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 3 downmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN | 9-1 90% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| DEP | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CONN 8–0 DEPCONN leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CONN has won the last 8 meetings · CONN 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | DEP 61 @ CONN 72 | CONN -13.5 | DEP W |
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | CONN 81 @ DEP 68 | DEP +12.5 | CONN W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | CONN 101 @ DEP 65 | DEP +24.5 | CONN W |
| Jan 2, 2023-24 | DEP 56 @ CONN 85 | CONN -22.5 | CONN W |
| Mar 1, 2022-23 | DEP 59 @ CONN 88 | CONN -17.5 | CONN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UConn
12 games played
Straight up
11-1
92% wins
Against the spread
4-8
33% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NHVN | W 79-55 | -42.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs UML | W 110-47 | -36.5 | W +26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs COLU | W 89-62 | -32.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs BYU | W 86-84 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARIZ | L 67-71 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 23 | vs BRY | W 72-49 | -36.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs ILL | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ KU | W 61-56 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 5 | vs ETAM | W 83-59 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 9 | vs FLA | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 12 | vs TEX | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs BTLR | W 79-60 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−18.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+26.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−5.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
−4.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−8.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−13.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
+8.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
+1.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
−12.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
−0.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−3.5
16
vsBTLR
BTLRW 79-60
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 8avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−11.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+5.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−4.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
+13.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−18.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−26.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
−15.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
−24.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
+0.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
+4.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−11.5
16
vsBTLR
BTLRW 79-60
−5.5
over 4under 8avg −7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
DePaul
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHST | W 92-62 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs STO | W 72-64 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 11 | vs BUF | L 53-66 | -18.5 | L −31.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | vs NU | L 79-81 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs GWEB | W 93-62 | -21.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs DETM | W 95-75 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 28 | vs GT | W 75-61 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs LSU | L 63-96 | +5.5 | L −27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UAPB | W 76-72 | -23.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 9 | vs MORG | W 92-49 | -21.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 13 | @ WICH | W 61-58 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 16 | @ SJU | L 66-79 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHST
CHSTW 92-62
+5.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 72-64
−14.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-66
−31.5
14
vsNU
NUL 79-81
+3.5
18
vsGWEB
GWEBW 93-62
+9.5
23
vsDETM
DETMW 95-75
+0.5
28
vsGT
GTW 75-61
+12.5
29
vsLSU
LSUL 63-96
−27.5
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 76-72
−19.5
9
vsMORG
MORGW 92-49
+21.5
13
@WICH
WICHW 61-58
+10.5
16
@SJU
SJUL 66-79
+6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHST
CHSTW 92-62
+10.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 72-64
−11.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-66
−34.5
14
vsNU
NUL 79-81
+14.5
18
vsGWEB
GWEBW 93-62
−0.5
23
vsDETM
DETMW 95-75
+18.5
28
vsGT
GTW 75-61
−11.5
29
vsLSU
LSUL 63-96
+6.5
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 76-72
−8.5
9
vsMORG
MORGW 92-49
−9.5
13
@WICH
WICHW 61-58
−26.5
16
@SJU
SJUL 66-79
−2.5
over 4under 8avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UConn
11-1 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Butler79–60
- Wvs Texas71–63
- Wvs Florida77–73
- Wvs East Texas A&M83–59
- W@ Kansas61–56
5 days since their last game.
DePaul
8-4 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ St John's66–79
- W@ Wichita St61–58
- Wvs Morgan St92–49
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff76–72
- Lvs LSU63–96
5 days since their last game.