First National Bank Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
NDSU -3.5✓ NDSU covered by 9.5
NDSU -3.5✓ NDSU covered by 9.5Closing total142.5Under by 43.5
| NDSU | This season | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 1-2 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 0-3 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NDSU 75–73 JXST · ✓ NDSU (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 35 | 21 | 56 |
| JXST | 21 | 22 | 43 |
1st half: NDSU 35, JXST 21 (NDSU by 14). The model had NDSU by 1.2 and a total of 69.5 (actual 56).
Team stats
| NDSU | JXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-50 38% | Field goals | 13-50 26% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 4-21 19% |
| 10-17 59% | Free throws | 13-23 57% |
| 37 8 off | Rebounds | 39 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 9 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 36 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Trevian Carson G | 33 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 27 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 26 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tay Smith G | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Carson Smith G | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 13 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Max Majerle G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Riley Massey G | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Emil Skytt, Riley Saunders, Dom Clay, Caleb Schoenrock
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Hill G | 33 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaye Nash G | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ben Vungo G | 17 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| AC Bryant G | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 21 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-1 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jamar Franklin G | 15 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-7 | 0-6 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Toby Nnadozie G | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Connor Loy G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aitor Anabitarte F | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Thomas Tut F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Driggers F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordan Vick
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNDSU -3.5
ModelNDSU -1.7
Model edgeJXST +1.8
L NDSU covered
Total
Market142.5
Model148.4
Model edgeOver 5.9
L Under
Projected score
NDSU 75.1 · JXST 73.3
NDSU 56 · JXST 43
Win probability
NDSU 56%
1st half
Spread
NDSU -1.2
NDSU -14.0
Total
69.5
56 points
Projected score
NDSU 35.4 · JXST 34.1
NDSU 35 · JXST 21
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -3.5
no move
CloseNDSU -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
no move
Close142.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
NDSU -166 · JXST +140
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -3.5 · unchangedmodel NDSU -1.5
model NDSU -1.5
Opened 142.5 · unchangedmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSUlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% |
| JXSTlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 0-3 0% | 2-1 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NDSU 0–1 JXSTJXST leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · NDSU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022-23 | NDSU 71 vs JXST 81 | JXST -1 | JXST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Dakota St
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@
UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vs
CSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
17
vs
SIU
SIUW 92-85
+5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+23.5
over 3under 1avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jax State
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vs
CCU
CCUW 74-67
−0.5
19
vs
USA
USAL 65-71
−8.5
24
@
ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−6.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
+1.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
+0.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−18.5
over 2under 1avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Dakota St
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs S Illinois92–85
- Wvs CSU Northridge90–68
- L@ UC Davis68–80
- L@ Oregon St65–67
A week or more of rest.
Jax State
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arkansas St63–74
- Lvs South Alabama65–71
- Wvs Coastal74–67
2 days since their last game.