Knapp Center · at Drake · Conference game
Closing line
DRKE -6.5✓ INST covered by 4.5
DRKE -6.5✓ INST covered by 4.5Closing total149.5Under by 3.5
 INST | This season | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | Record | 5-7 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: INST 72–79 DRKE · ✓ DRKE (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 39 | 33 | 72 |
| DRKE | 33 | 41 | 74 |
1st half: INST 39, DRKE 33 (INST by 6). The model had DRKE by 3.7 and a total of 70.8 (actual 72).
Team stats
| INST | DRKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-51 45% | Field goals | 31-59 53% |
| 10-27 37% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 16-19 84% | Free throws | 4-9 44% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 29 10 off |
| 16 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| INST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jo Van Buggenhout G | 32 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Ian Scott F | 31 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Camp Wagner G | 29 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Derek Vorst C | 29 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-3 |
| Xavier Hall G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bruno Alocen G | 30 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Enel St. Bernard F | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Sterling Young G | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Sivert Waerstad Nordheim G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Martin Kaupanger, Caden Huttenlocker, Jayan Walker, Cooper Bean, Hunter Harding, Zyair Greene, Markus Harding
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Quinn G | 37 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 8-16 | 1-3 |
| Andrew Alia G | 37 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Okku Federiko F | 32 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 6-15 | 0-3 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 27 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-8 |
| Owen Larson G | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 28 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 6-7 | 2-3 |
| Griffen Goodbary F | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Braden Appelhans G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Heri Bukinga, Bryson Bahl, LJ Rush, Wilguens Jr. Exacte
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDRKE -5.5
1 → DRKE
CloseDRKE -6.5
1 pt toward DRKE
Total
Open144.5
▲ 5
Close149.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
INST +225 · DRKE -278
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DRKE -5.5 · closed DRKE -6.5 · moved 1 toward DRKEmodel DRKE -6.5 matches the line
model DRKE -6.5 = line ✓
Opened 144.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 5 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DRKE -6.5 | DRKE -6.5 | — | INST covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 151.2 | Over 1.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | INST 72.4 · DRKE 78.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DRKE -3.7 | INST -6.0 |
| 1H total | 70.8 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | INST 33.5 · DRKE 37.3 | INST 39 · DRKE 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| DRKE | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
INST 2–7 DRKEDRKE leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · DRKE has won the last 3 meetings · INST 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | INST 81 @ DRKE 85 | DRKE -11.5 | INST W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | DRKE 71 @ INST 53 | INST +7.5 | DRKE W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | DRKE 84 vs INST 80 | INST -2.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | DRKE 67 @ INST 75 | INST -5 | INST W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | INST 78 @ DRKE 89 | DRKE -2.5 | DRKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana St
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLT | L 76-92 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 10 | @ SIUE | W 64-55 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ DUKE | L 62-100 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 19 | vs LT | W 60-51 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 22 | vs BALL | W 70-52 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 26 | @LT | L 73-75 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs ALCN | L 74-81 | -12.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | vs USI | W 77-55 | -11.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ MILW | W 70-68 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vs BRAD | L 99-108 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | @ ILST | L 65-85 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs BEL | W 81-80 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @ UNI | L 66-75 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
−11.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
+11.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−0.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
+5.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
+10.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+0.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
−19.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
+10.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
+4.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
−3.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−6.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+8.5
1
@UNI
UNIL 66-75
+1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
+15.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
−40.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−1.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
−36.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
−32.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+6.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
+2.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
−26.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
−21.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
+56.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−2.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+1.5
1
@UNI
UNIL 66-75
+5.5
over 6under 7avg −5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Drake
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vsSIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs NDSU | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @ MUR | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @ EVAN | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | vsILST | L 56-73 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
−10.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−1.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
+3.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−12.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
+47.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−3.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
−10.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−16.5
over 5under 7avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana St
6-7 overall · 1-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Northern Iowa66–75
- Wvs Belmont81–80
- L@ Illinois St65–85
- Lvs Bradley99–108
- W@ Milwaukee70–68
3 days since their last game.
Drake
5-7 overall · 1-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Illinois St56–73
- W@ Evansville66–65
- L@ Murray St72–81
- Lvs N Dakota St94–99
- Lvs UAB69–74
6 days since their last game.