Knapp Center · at Drake · Conference game
Closing line
ILST -4.5✓ ILST covered by 12.5
ILST -4.5✓ ILST covered by 12.5Closing total145.5Under by 16.5
| ILST | This season | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| 9-3 | Record | 5-6 |
| 8-4 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 5-7 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILST 73–71 DRKE · ✓ ILST (58%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 31 | 42 | 73 |
| DRKE | 27 | 29 | 56 |
1st half: ILST 31, DRKE 27 (ILST by 4). The model had ILST by 1.6 and a total of 67.3 (actual 58).
Team stats
| ILST | DRKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-41 63% | Field goals | 19-56 34% |
| 13-23 57% | 3-pointers | 7-26 27% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 11-18 61% |
| 37 4 off | Rebounds | 20 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 12 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 23 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger G | 36 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Boden Skunberg G | 32 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Ty Pence G | 28 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Chase Walker F | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landon Wolf G | 29 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 5-6 | 4-5 |
| Landon Moore G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mason Klabo G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Nick Allen, Isaac Ericksen, Jack Daugherty, Ty Blake, Cameron Barnes
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Alia G | 33 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Jalen Quinn G | 32 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-13 | 0-2 |
| Owen Larson G | 30 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Okku Federiko F | 25 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Wilguens Jr. Exacte F | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eli Shetlar G | 24 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Braden Appelhans G | 22 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Griffen Goodbary F | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Heri Bukinga, Bryson Bahl, LJ Rush, Jaehshon Thomas
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILST -2.5
2 → ILST
CloseILST -4.5
2 pts toward ILST
Total
Open145.5
no move
Close145.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ILST -180 · DRKE +150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILST -2.5 · closed ILST -4.5 · moved 2 toward ILSTmodel ILST -2.5
model ILST -2.5
Opened 145.5 · unchangedmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ILST -4.5 | ILST -2.4 | DRKE +2.1 | L ILST covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 143.7 | Under 1.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | ILST 73 · DRKE 70.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ILST -1.6 | ILST -4.0 |
| 1H total | 67.3 | 58 |
| 1H projected score | ILST 34.4 · DRKE 32.9 | ILST 31 · DRKE 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| DRKE | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
ILST 0–7 DRKEDRKE leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · DRKE has won the last 7 meetings · ILST 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | DRKE 84 @ ILST 77 | ILST -0.5 | DRKE W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | ILST 62 @ DRKE 66 | DRKE -10.5 | ILST W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | DRKE 77 @ ILST 56 | ILST +6.5 | DRKE W |
| Jan 2, 2023-24 | ILST 71 @ DRKE 88 | DRKE -12.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 22, 2022-23 | ILST 51 @ DRKE 82 | DRKE -15.5 | DRKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois St
12 games played
Straight up
9-3
75% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg +6.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs CLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs FUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs CHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs USU | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 18 | @ SIU | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs INST | W 85-65 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+3.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
+8.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
+6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+12.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
−10.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
−2.5
over 5under 7avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Drake
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs SIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs NDSU | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @ MUR | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @ EVAN | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
−10.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−1.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
+3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
+47.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−3.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
−10.5
over 5under 6avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois St
9-3 overall · 2-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Indiana St85–65
- W@ S Illinois75–68
- Lvs Utah State78–83
- Wvs Chicago St95–53
- Wvs E Kentucky89–78
A week or more of rest.
Drake
5-6 overall · 1-1 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Evansville66–65
- L@ Murray St72–81
- Lvs N Dakota St94–99
- Lvs UAB69–74
- Wvs W Illinois108–57
A week or more of rest.