Delta Center · Neutral site
Closing line
USU -8.5✓ ILST covered by 3.5
USU -8.5✓ ILST covered by 3.5Closing total148.5Over by 12.5
 ILST | This season | USU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | Record | 7-1 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILST 70–78 USU · ✓ USU (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 33 | 45 | 78 |
| USU | 40 | 43 | 83 |
1st half: ILST 33, USU 40 (USU by 7). The model had USU by 4.7 and a total of 69.6 (actual 73).
Team stats
| ILST | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-51 59% | Field goals | 32-61 52% |
| 5-14 36% | 3-pointers | 7-18 39% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 18 7 off | Rebounds | 33 19 off |
| 10 | Assists | 18 |
| 11 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger G | 37 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 4-14 | 1-4 |
| Ty Pence G | 33 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 8-9 | 0-0 |
| Boden Skunberg G | 30 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Chase Walker F | 28 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landon Moore G | 17 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5-6 | 2-3 |
| Landon Wolf G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mason Klabo G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Barnes F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Daugherty F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ty Blake, Isaac Ericksen, Nick Allen
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 36 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 6-13 | 4-6 |
| Mason Falslev G | 33 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Drake Allen G | 27 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Zach Keller F | 15 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garry Clark F | 25 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 7-8 | 0-1 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 20 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Kolby King G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Karson Templin F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jordy Barnes G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Kearney, David Iweze, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -8.5
no move
CloseUSU -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ILST +320 · USU -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -8.5 · unchangedmodel USU -8
model USU -8
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 148.5 matches the line
model 148.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USU -8.5 | USU -8.0 | ILST +0.5 | W ILST covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 148.6 | Over 0.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ILST 70.3 · USU 78.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USU -4.7 | USU -7.0 |
| 1H total | 69.6 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | ILST 32.5 · USU 37.1 | ILST 33 · USU 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILSTlast 9 | 7-2 78% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
| USUlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 5-3 63% | 3-5 38% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois St
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs CLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs FUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs CHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
over 4under 5avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah State
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
over 3under 5avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois St
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Chicago St95–53
- Wvs E Kentucky89–78
- Wvs Furman72–65
- Wvs Charlotte79–69
- Wvs Coastal94–42
A week or more of rest.
Utah State
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Charlotte79–53
- L@ South Florida61–74
- Wvs Montana St84–81
- Wvs Davidson94–60
- Wvs Tulane96–75
6 days since their last game.