Dee Glen Smith Spectrum · at Utah State
Closing line
USU -17.5✓ MTST covered by 14.5
USU -17.5✓ MTST covered by 14.5Closing total148.5Over by 16.5
 MTST | This season | USU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 5-0 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 4-1 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTST 65–85 USU · ✓ USU (96%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTST | 34 | 35 | 12 | 81 |
| USU | 36 | 33 | 15 | 84 |
1st half: MTST 34, USU 36 (USU by 2). The model had USU by 11.8 and a total of 70.2 (actual 70).
Team stats
| MTST | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-69 39% | Field goals | 29-62 47% |
| 11-36 31% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 16-18 89% | Free throws | 18-26 69% |
| 43 14 off | Rebounds | 37 9 off |
| 9 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 11 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MTST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick McMahon G | 40 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 8-21 | 1-3 |
| Chris Hodges F | 34 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Davis G | 31 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Jed Miller G | 31 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Cavin Holden G | 27 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4-12 | 3-11 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davian Brown G | 33 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 7-16 | 4-9 |
| Jaden Steppe F | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Waka Mbatch F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Howie Keene G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Grayson Gaddis, Calum Rutherfurd, CJ Purdie, Christian King, Seth Amunrud, James Steward
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 42 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 6-11 | 4-8 |
| Mason Falslev G | 37 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7-14 | 1-4 |
| Drake Allen G | 27 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0-7 | 0-3 |
| Karson Templin F | 26 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kolby King G | 29 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Garry Clark F | 23 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jordy Barnes G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Keller F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Iweze, Luke Kearney, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -18.5
1 → MTST
CloseUSU -17.5
1 pt toward MTST
Total
Open148.5
no move
Close148.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MTST +1300 · USU -2800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -18.5 · closed USU -17.5 · moved 1 toward MTSTmodel USU -20
model USU -20
Opened 148.5 · unchangedmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USU -17.5 | USU -19.9 | USU +2.4 | L MTST covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 149.9 | Over 1.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MTST 65 · USU 84.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USU -11.8 | USU -2.0 |
| 1H total | 70.2 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | MTST 29.2 · USU 41 | MTST 34 · USU 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSTlast 5 | 1-4 20% | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% |
| USUlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana St
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
COLO
COLOL 78-84
+5.5
9
vs
DEN
DENL 73-75
−9.5
12
@
STAN
STANL 68-77
+5.5
15
@
BOIS
BOISL 58-62
+12.5
21
@
LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+13.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
+1.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
−3.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
−27.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+9.5
over 3under 2avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah State
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
VCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vs
WEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vs
UTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vs
TULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vs
DAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
over 2under 3avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana St
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Long Beach St78–72
- L@ Boise St58–62
- L@ Stanford68–77
- Lvs Denver73–75
- L@ Colorado78–84
A week or more of rest.
Utah State
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Davidson94–60
- Wvs Tulane96–75
- Wvs UTEP75–51
- Wvs Weber St83–73
- Wvs VCU80–77
6 days since their last game.