Knapp Center · at Drake
Closing line
DRKE -5.5✓ NDSU covered by 10.5
DRKE -5.5✓ NDSU covered by 10.5Closing total145.5Over by 47.5
 NDSU | This season | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 4-4 |
| 6-3 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NDSU 69–74 DRKE · ✗ DRKE (67%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSU | 55 | 44 | 99 |
| DRKE | 41 | 53 | 94 |
1st half: NDSU 55, DRKE 41 (NDSU by 14). The model had DRKE by 2.8 and a total of 67.3 (actual 96).
Team stats
| NDSU | DRKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-62 53% | Field goals | 27-52 52% |
| 19-33 58% | 3-pointers | 14-27 52% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 26-29 90% |
| 27 6 off | Rebounds | 33 6 off |
| 23 | Assists | 22 |
| 9 | Steals | 2 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 36 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 7-10 | 6-7 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 36 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 3-13 | 2-7 |
| Trevian Carson G | 32 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 11-15 | 5-7 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 24 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Noah Feddersen C | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Treyson Anderson F | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Carson Smith G | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Tay Smith G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Riley Massey G | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Max Majerle, Emil Skytt, Riley Saunders, Dom Clay, Caleb Schoenrock
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Quinn G | 38 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 34 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 5-8 | 5-8 |
| Okku Federiko F | 32 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Andrew Alia G | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Owen Larson G | 21 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Wilguens Jr. Exacte F | 14 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Braden Appelhans G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Griffen Goodbary, LJ Rush, Bryson Bahl, Heri Bukinga
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDRKE -5.5
ModelDRKE -4.9
Model edgeNDSU +0.6
W NDSU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model143.7
Model edgeUnder 1.8
L Over
Projected score
NDSU 69.4 · DRKE 74.3
NDSU 99 · DRKE 94
Win probability
DRKE 67%
1st half
Spread
DRKE -2.8
NDSU -14.0
Total
67.3
96 points
Projected score
NDSU 32.2 · DRKE 35.1
NDSU 55 · DRKE 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDRKE -5.5
no move
CloseDRKE -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▲ 4
Close145.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
NDSU +195 · DRKE -238
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DRKE -5.5 · unchangedmodel DRKE -5
model DRKE -5
Opened 141.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 4 upmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDSUlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 6-3 67% | 4-5 44% |
| DRKElast 8 | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Dakota St
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ORST | L 65-67 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 5 | @ UCD | L 68-80 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | vs CSUN | W 90-68 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIU | W 92-85 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs JXST | W 56-43 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Nov 28 | @ ARST | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONT | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs NAU | W 69-68 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 11 | @ CSUB | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+5.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
+9.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
−1.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
+12.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
+3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+23.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
−43.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
+4.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
−0.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
−0.5
over 4under 5avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Drake
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsNAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs SIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
over 4under 4avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Dakota St
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Bakersfield80–69
- Wvs N Arizona69–68
- W@ Montana81–72
- L@ Arkansas St80–85
- Wvs Jax State56–43
2 days since their last game.
Drake
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UAB69–74
- Wvs W Illinois108–57
- Wvs Georgia Tech84–74
- Lvs LSU62–71
- W@ Charleston71–62
A week or more of rest.