Ford Center · at Evansville · Conference game
Closing line
EVAN -2.5✓ DRKE covered by 3.5
Closing total141.5Under by 10.5
| This season | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 2-8 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DRKE 73–69 EVAN · ✓ DRKE (65%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 29 | 37 | 66 |
| EVAN | 27 | 38 | 65 |
1st half: DRKE 29, EVAN 27 (DRKE by 2). The model had DRKE by 2.8 and a total of 66.4 (actual 56).
Team stats
| DRKE | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-57 46% | Field goals | 21-53 40% |
| 9-25 36% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 5-11 45% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 10 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Larson G | 32 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 30 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 7-12 | 4-6 |
| Wilguens Jr. Exacte F | 29 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5-15 | 1-6 |
| Andrew Alia G | 25 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Okku Federiko F | 17 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Griffen Goodbary F | 20 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 18 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Jalen Quinn G | 16 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Braden Appelhans G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Heri Bukinga, Bryson Bahl, LJ Rush
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller G | 29 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Connor Turnbull F | 28 | 20 | 15 | 1 | 8-18 | 0-3 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 22 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Quinet G | 21 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 19 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Casey F | 28 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Keishon Porter G | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Trent Hundley F | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Kaia Berridge G | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| James Dyson-Merwe F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aaron Gutman, Weston Aigner, Dakota Candler, Leo Amari IV, Marlon Barnes Jr.
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDRKE -3.5
6 → EVAN
CloseEVAN -2.5
6 pts toward EVAN
Total
Open144.5
▼ 3
Close141.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
DRKE +120 · EVAN -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DRKE -3.5 · closed EVAN -2.5 · moved 6 toward EVANmodel DRKE -4.5
model DRKE -4.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 3 downmodel 141.5 matches the line
model 141.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | EVAN -2.5 | DRKE -4.3 | DRKE +6.8 | W DRKE covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 141.7 | Over 0.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | DRKE 73 · EVAN 68.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DRKE -2.8 | DRKE -2.0 |
| 1H total | 66.4 | 56 |
| 1H projected score | DRKE 34.6 · EVAN 31.8 | DRKE 29 · EVAN 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | |
| 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
DRKE 8–0 EVANDRKE leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · DRKE has won the last 8 meetings · DRKE 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | DRKE 65 @ EVAN 61 | EVAN +8.5 | EVAN W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | EVAN 40 @ DRKE 63 | DRKE -15.5 | DRKE W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | EVAN 58 vs DRKE 79 | DRKE -14.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | DRKE 78 @ EVAN 75 | EVAN +7.5 | EVAN W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | EVAN 48 @ DRKE 97 | DRKE -17.5 | DRKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Drake
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @ | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NAU
W 77-71
−2.5
6
vs
RMU
L 79-81
−9.5
14
vs
SIUE
L 59-61
−9.5
17
@
COFC
W 71-62
+16.5
28
vs
LSU
L 62-71
+2.5
29
vs
GT
W 84-74
+14.5
2
vs
WIU
W 108-57
+33.5
5
vs
UAB
L 69-74
−6.5
13
vs
NDSU
L 94-99
−10.5
18
@
MUR
L 72-81
−1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
NAU
W 77-71
+3.5
6
vs
RMU
L 79-81
+8.5
14
vs
SIUE
L 59-61
−22.5
17
@
COFC
W 71-62
−20.5
28
vs
LSU
L 62-71
−18.5
29
vs
GT
W 84-74
+20.5
2
vs
WIU
W 108-57
+26.5
5
vs
UAB
L 69-74
−5.5
13
vs
NDSU
L 94-99
+47.5
18
@
MUR
L 72-81
−3.5
over 5under 5avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Evansville
10 games played
Straight up
2-8
20% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 51-82 | +33.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 12 | vs | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs | L 76-84 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 73-69 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 59-97 | +11.5 | L −26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 59-78 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 64-52 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 79-80 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 58-82 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 16 | vs | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
PUR
L 51-82
+2.5
12
vs
MTSU
L 72-77
−7.5
18
vs
UTA
L 76-84
−10.5
21
vs
ORST
W 73-69
+10.5
23
vs
AKR
L 59-97
−26.5
24
vs
COFC
L 59-78
−14.5
3
vs
BALL
W 64-52
+5.5
6
@
WKU
L 79-80
+10.5
13
@
ND
L 58-82
−9.5
16
vs
BEL
L 78-83
+3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
PUR
L 51-82
−17.5
12
vs
MTSU
L 72-77
+8.5
18
vs
UTA
L 76-84
+21.5
21
vs
ORST
W 73-69
+5.5
23
vs
AKR
L 59-97
−0.5
24
vs
COFC
L 59-78
−4.5
3
vs
BALL
W 64-52
−20.5
6
@
WKU
L 79-80
+11.5
13
@
ND
L 58-82
+3.5
16
vs
BEL
L 78-83
+13.5
over 6under 4avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Drake
4-6 overall · 0-1 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Murray St72–81
- Lvs N Dakota St94–99
- Lvs UAB69–74
- Wvs W Illinois108–57
- Wvs Georgia Tech84–74
3 days since their last game.
Evansville
2-8 overall · 0-1 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Belmont78–83
- L@ Notre Dame58–82
- L@ Western KY79–80
- Wvs Ball State64–52
- Lvs Charleston59–78
5 days since their last game.