Thomas Assembly Center · at Louisiana Tech
Closing line
LT -2.5✓ INST covered by 0.5
LT -2.5✓ INST covered by 0.5Closing total141.5Over by 6.5
 INST | This season | LT |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 1-2 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 1-4 | O/U | 0-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: INST 69–71 LT · ✓ LT (54%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 26 | 47 | 73 |
| LT | 37 | 38 | 75 |
1st half: INST 26, LT 37 (LT by 11). The model had LT by 0.6 and a total of 65.6 (actual 63).
Team stats
| INST | LT | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-56 52% | Field goals | 33-65 51% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 3-15 20% |
| 9-10 90% | Free throws | 6-7 86% |
| 23 4 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| INST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Scott F | 34 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Markus Harding C | 33 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Camp Wagner G | 31 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-10 | 3-8 |
| Xavier Hall G | 30 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 8-13 | 1-4 |
| Sterling Young G | 29 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bruno Alocen G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Jo Van Buggenhout G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Enel St. Bernard F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jayan Walker F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Martin Kaupanger, Sivert Waerstad Nordheim, Caden Huttenlocker, Derek Vorst, Cooper Bean, Hunter Harding, Zyair Greene
| LT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Bates G | 29 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 7-13 | 2-3 |
| Jaylen Fenner G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Avery Thomas II F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Melian Martinez C | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Allen F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DJ Dudley G | 30 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 7-14 | 0-2 |
| Kaden Cooper F | 27 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Sir Issac Herron F | 24 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Scooter Williams G | 21 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Jermaurhiyun Anderson G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kylan Howze F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Will Jeffress F | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: A'Meir Williams, Keegan Rowell, Lachlan Thompson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLT -2.5
ModelLT -1.2
Model edgeINST +1.3
W INST covered
Total
Market141.5
Model139.9
Model edgeUnder 1.6
L Over
Projected score
INST 69.4 · LT 70.5
INST 73 · LT 75
Win probability
LT 54%
1st half
Spread
LT -0.6
LT -11.0
Total
65.6
63 points
Projected score
INST 32.5 · LT 33.1
INST 26 · LT 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLT -1.5
1 → LT
CloseLT -2.5
1 pt toward LT
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
INST +120 · LT -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LT -1.5 · closed LT -2.5 · moved 1 toward LTmodel LT -1
model LT -1
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INSTlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% | 1-4 20% |
| LTlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 0-3 0% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
INST 1–0 LTINST leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · INST 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025-26 | LT 51 @ INST 60 | INST -3.5 | INST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana St
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −19.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CLT
CLTL 76-92
−11.5
10
@
SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
+11.5
14
@
DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−0.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
+5.5
22
vs
BALL
BALLW 70-52
+10.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
+15.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
−40.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−1.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
−36.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
−32.5
over 1under 4avg −19.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisiana Tech
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −24.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
NEV
NEVL 50-77
−17.5
15
vs
JKST
JKSTW 68-51
+8.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−9.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
−27.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−36.5
over 0under 3avg −24.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana St
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ball State70–52
- Wvs Louisiana Tech60–51
- L@ Duke62–100
- W@ SIUE64–55
- L@ Charlotte76–92
4 days since their last game.
Louisiana Tech
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Indiana St51–60
- Wvs Jackson St68–51
- L@ Nevada50–77
A week or more of rest.