McLeod Center · at Northern Iowa · Conference game
Closing line
UNI -10.5✓ INST covered by 1.5
UNI -10.5✓ INST covered by 1.5Closing total135.5Over by 5.5
 INST | This season | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | Record | 9-3 |
| 7-5 | ATS | 8-4 |
| 5-7 | O/U | 2-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: INST 64–75 UNI · ✓ UNI (82%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 38 | 28 | 66 |
| UNI | 33 | 42 | 75 |
1st half: INST 38, UNI 33 (INST by 5). The model had UNI by 6.1 and a total of 65.0 (actual 71).
Team stats
| INST | UNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-55 53% | Field goals | 31-57 54% |
| 6-26 23% | 3-pointers | 3-13 23% |
| 2-4 50% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 22 2 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 18 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 6 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| INST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp Wagner G | 30 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-6 |
| Jo Van Buggenhout G | 29 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 3-9 | 1-6 |
| Ian Scott F | 28 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 7-10 | 1-3 |
| Xavier Hall G | 28 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Derek Vorst C | 26 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Enel St. Bernard F | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Sterling Young G | 18 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Bruno Alocen G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Hunter Harding C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Martin Kaupanger, Sivert Waerstad Nordheim, Caden Huttenlocker, Jayan Walker, Cooper Bean, Zyair Greene, Markus Harding
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Bond III G | 38 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Trey Campbell G | 37 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 7-13 | 2-7 |
| Ben Schwieger F | 34 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 7-13 | 0-1 |
| Tristan Smith F | 34 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Will Hornseth F | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ismael Diouf F | 27 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Max Weisbrod G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Pock F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Geon Hutchins G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cade Courbat, Levi Valdo, Chase Courbat, Marino Dubravcic, Redek Born, Hunter Jacobson, RJ Taylor, Jalen Wilson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNI -10.5
no move
CloseUNI -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open131.5
▲ 4
Close135.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
INST +455 · UNI -625
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNI -10.5 · unchangedmodel UNI -10.5 matches the line
model UNI -10.5 = line ✓
Opened 131.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 4 upmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNI -10.5 | UNI -10.3 | INST +0.2 | W INST covered |
| Total | 135.5 | 138.7 | Over 3.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | INST 64.2 · UNI 74.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNI -6.1 | INST -5.0 |
| 1H total | 65.0 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | INST 29.5 · UNI 35.5 | INST 38 · UNI 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| UNI | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
INST 4–4 UNISeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · UNI has won the last 2 meetings · INST 5-2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | INST 73 @ UNI 88 | UNI -8.5 | UNI W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | UNI 74 @ INST 56 | INST +3.5 | UNI W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | UNI 72 vs INST 94 | INST -7.5 | INST W |
| Jan 7, 2023-24 | INST 77 @ UNI 66 | UNI +2.5 | INST W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | INST 80 @ UNI 62 | UNI +2.5 | INST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana St
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLT | L 76-92 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 10 | @ SIUE | W 64-55 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ DUKE | L 62-100 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 19 | vs LT | W 60-51 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 22 | vs BALL | W 70-52 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 26 | @LT | L 73-75 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs ALCN | L 74-81 | -12.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | vs USI | W 77-55 | -11.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ MILW | W 70-68 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vs BRAD | L 99-108 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | @ ILST | L 65-85 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs BEL | W 81-80 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
−11.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
+11.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−0.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
+5.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
+10.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+0.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
−19.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
+10.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
+4.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
−3.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−6.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
+15.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
−40.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−1.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
−36.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
−32.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+6.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
+2.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
−26.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
−21.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
+56.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−2.5
29
vsBEL
BELW 81-80
+1.5
over 5under 7avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northern Iowa
12 games played
Straight up
9-3
75% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-10
17% overs · avg −13.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CSUN | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | vs SDST | W 65-58 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 14 | vs FUR | W 70-54 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 18 | vs NIU | W 70-57 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | @ UCI | W 70-69 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs LUC | W 72-51 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs TLSA | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs WICH | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs OAK | W 75-63 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @ UIC | W 60-54 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ SMC | L 58-63 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | vs VAL | W 58-48 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−3.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
+6.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−6.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+3.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
+12.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−5.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
+3.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
+0.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
+6.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
+1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−27.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
−17.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−19.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+0.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
−11.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−14.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
+7.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
−11.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
−19.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
−11.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
−25.5
over 2under 10avg −13.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana St
6-6 overall · 1-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Belmont81–80
- L@ Illinois St65–85
- Lvs Bradley99–108
- W@ Milwaukee70–68
- Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles77–55
3 days since their last game.
Northern Iowa
9-3 overall · 2-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Valparaiso58–48
- L@ Saint Mary's58–63
- W@ UIC60–54
- Wvs Oakland75–63
- Lvs Wichita St69–74
3 days since their last game.