University Credit Union Pavilion · at Saint Mary's · Conference game
Closing line
SMC -11.5✓ SMC covered by 5.5
SMC -11.5✓ SMC covered by 5.5Closing total139.5Over by 29.5
 SEA | This season | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| 10-4 | Record | 13-2 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 8-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SEA 62–74 SMC · ✓ SMC (86%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 44 | 32 | 76 |
| SMC | 39 | 54 | 93 |
1st half: SEA 44, SMC 39 (SEA by 5). The model had SMC by 7.1 and a total of 63.8 (actual 83).
Team stats
| SEA | SMC | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-64 47% | Field goals | 34-63 54% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 9-17 53% |
| 5-7 71% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 19 7 off | Rebounds | 46 17 off |
| 18 | Assists | 24 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 7 | Blocks | 6 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| SEA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Heimbrodt F | 34 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 7-15 | 1-3 |
| Maleek Arington G | 34 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Brayden Maldonado G | 33 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 2-15 | 1-7 |
| Junseok Yeo F | 32 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 9-13 | 6-8 |
| Austin Maurer C | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Houran Dan C | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| John Christofilis G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Miles Amos G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jojo Murphy G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Brock Felder F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JT White, Jeremiah Harshman, Stratos Papastavrou, Yuto Kawashima, Eric Zheng, Ray Adams
| SMC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent G | 40 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Dillan Shaw G | 39 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7-10 | 6-8 |
| Paulius Murauskas F | 39 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11-21 | 0-1 |
| Mikey Lewis G | 25 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Harry Wessels C | 21 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew McKeever C | 19 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Liam Campbell G | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Rory Hawke G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trent MacLean, Oliver Faubert, Mantas Juzenas, Tony Duckett, Kevin Gad, Cade Bennett, Jazz Gardner
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMC -10.5
1 → SMC
CloseSMC -11.5
1 pt toward SMC
Total
Open138.5
▲ 1
Close139.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SEA +525 · SMC -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMC -10.5 · closed SMC -11.5 · moved 1 toward SMCmodel SMC -12
model SMC -12
Opened 138.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 upmodel 136
model 136
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMC -11.5 | SMC -12.1 | SMC +0.6 | W SMC covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 136.2 | Under 3.3 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | SEA 62 · SMC 74.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SMC -7.1 | SEA -5.0 |
| 1H total | 63.8 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | SEA 28.4 · SMC 35.5 | SEA 44 · SMC 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| SMC | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Seattle U
14 games played
Straight up
10-4
71% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DEN | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs CP | L 71-73 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs EWU | W 94-67 | -8.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDST | W 83-74 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ STAN | W 77-69 | +10.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs TXST | W 66-52 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs UCSB | L 71-74 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTEP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCD | W 79-78 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 19 | vs WASH | W 70-66 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTSA | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | vs SF | L 59-67 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | vs WSU | W 69-55 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 2 | @ GONZ | L 72-80 | +24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
−2.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−12.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+18.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
−2.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
+18.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
+6.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
−5.5
7
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-68
−5.5
17
@UCD
UCDW 79-78
−1.5
19
vsWASH
WASHW 70-66
+11.5
22
@UTSA
UTSAW 71-68
−7.5
28
vsSF
SFL 59-67
−10.5
30
vsWSU
WSUW 69-55
+7.5
2
@GONZ
GONZL 72-80
+16.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
+20.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−20.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+12.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
+18.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
−6.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
−18.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
+2.5
7
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-68
+6.5
17
@UCD
UCDW 79-78
+13.5
19
vsWASH
WASHW 70-66
−15.5
22
@UTSA
UTSAW 71-68
−9.5
28
vsSF
SFL 59-67
−20.5
30
vsWSU
WSUW 69-55
−20.5
2
@GONZ
GONZL 72-80
−3.5
over 6under 8avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Mary's
15 games played
Straight up
13-2
87% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg −0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs STMN | W 84-58 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTC | W 87-66 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 11 | vs OHIO | W 90-60 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UNT | W 80-49 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARST | W 85-72 | -20.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | vs WICH | W 70-65 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 27 | vs VT | W 77-66 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VAN | L 71-96 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 7 | @ DAV | W 70-61 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 14 | vs BOIS | L 67-68 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAU | W 88-75 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs UNI | W 63-58 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 28 | @ LMU | W 78-73 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | @ PEPP | W 72-45 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 2 | vs PORT | W 78-57 | -18.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+12.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+5.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+16.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
−7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
+5.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
−20.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
+0.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−3.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
−0.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−6.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
−4.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
+7.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
+2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+0.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+7.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+5.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+0.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
+7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
−1.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
+17.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
−6.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−4.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
+17.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−11.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
+7.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
−24.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
−11.5
over 8under 7avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Seattle U
10-4 overall · 1-2 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Gonzaga72–80
- Wvs Washington St69–55
- Lvs San Francisco59–67
- W@ UTSA71–68
- Wvs Washington70–66
2 days since their last game.
Saint Mary's
13-2 overall · 3-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Portland78–57
- W@ Pepperdine72–45
- W@ LMU78–73
- Wvs Northern Iowa63–58
- Wvs FAU88–75
2 days since their last game.